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max
01-09-2009, 06:16 AM
These quotes are from Wikipedia; some Paul Ehrlich chestnuts. Ehrlich, of course, is the "authority" on overpopulation, the ecology of the planet, and other things as he chooses:
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"In ten years all important animal life in the sea will be extinct. Large areas of coastline will have to be evacuated because of the stench of dead fish." Paul Ehrlich, Earth Day 1970

"Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make, ... The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years." Paul Ehrlich in an interview with Peter Collier in the April 1970 of the magazine Mademoiselle.

"By...[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s." Paul Ehrlich in special Earth Day (1970) issue of the magazine Ramparts.

"The battle to feed humanity is over. In the 1970s the world will undergo famines . . . hundreds of millions of people (including Americans) are going to starve to death." (Population Bomb 1968)

"Smog disasters" in 1973 might kill 200,000 people in New York and Los Angeles. (1969)

"I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000." (1969)

"Before 1985, mankind will enter a genuine age of scarcity . . . in which the accessible supplies of many key minerals will be facing depletion." (1976)

"By 1985 enough millions will have died to reduce the earth's population to some acceptable level, like 1.5 billion people." (1969)

"By 1980 the United States would see its life expectancy drop to 42 because of pesticides, and by 1999 its population would drop to 22.6 million." (1969)

"Actually, the problem in the world is that there is much too many rich people..." - Quoted by the Associated Press, April 6, 1990

"Giving society cheap, abundant energy would be the equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun." - Quoted by R. Emmett Tyrrell in The American Spectator, September 6, 1992

"We've already had too much economic growth in the United States. Economic growth in rich countries like ours is the disease, not the cure." - Quoted by Dixy Lee Ray in her book Trashing the Planet (1990)

"People are welcome to any religious belief they want but I don't want them planning my planet on the basis of ideas that they think can be ascribed to some supernatural monster written down thousands of years ago. That's just silly" [14]

Steady Eddy
01-09-2009, 06:24 AM
Did anyone ever ask him how he thought he knew the future? Probably he simply extrapolated trends in a linear fashion, very simplistic. He was wrong about England, wasn't he? I mean it's still there isn't it? :)

ttbrowne
01-09-2009, 07:17 AM
Was Erlich the guy who stopped syphilis?

max
01-09-2009, 07:18 AM
I took a graduate course in statistics, and I think we looked at a couple of his things. . . this was long ago. . . and just laughed.

Of course, this doesn't keep a guy from writing best-sellers! :)

Or influencing public opinion :(