PDA

View Full Version : What are Rafa's chances of getting to 20 slams?


kragster
03-15-2012, 03:37 PM
Please only serious comments.

BigServer1
03-15-2012, 03:40 PM
0%. No one currently playing on the tour has any chance to get to 20.

In response to the poll, 44%.

jamauss
03-15-2012, 03:43 PM
lol nice troll job there.

says "only serious comments." and posts ridiculously close percentage options of no relevance.

rommil
03-15-2012, 03:43 PM
Please only serious comments.

Rafa has a better chance of getting 20 Slams (from Djokovic) than you getting serious comments.

OddJack
03-15-2012, 03:47 PM
Seriously,

it's too cold for this time of the year in Southern California.

sunof tennis
03-15-2012, 03:49 PM
The only way he gets there is to win 10 more French Opens....

Biscuitmcgriddleson
03-15-2012, 03:52 PM
He has a 42% chance of making it to 20 slams. 20 slam finals that is. Even then I wish there was a lower choice for that one.

Making it to 20 slams is in the 0 to 1% percent area. Meaning you have a better chance of hitting double zero in Vegas.

OrangePower
03-15-2012, 04:17 PM
Actually I believe he has already surpassed that - he has gotten into 31 slams so far IIRC.

His chance of winning 20 slams is <1%

Hood_Man
03-15-2012, 04:23 PM
He's nearly 26, he essentially needs to repeat his career up to this point to do that.

Clarky21
03-15-2012, 04:27 PM
Zero,zilch,nada,none. In other words not a single solitary chance in h*ll.

kaku
03-15-2012, 04:43 PM
I don't see Rafa winning Cincinnati any time soon

TopFH
03-15-2012, 04:50 PM
None. Troll thread.

MichaelNadal
03-15-2012, 05:58 PM
None. Troll thread.

This. Don't feed the troll.

Fate Archer
03-15-2012, 08:08 PM
I don't see Rafa winning Cincinnati any time soon

Beat me to it. As we well know around here he so far has 0 true slams.
Chances are he won't be getting any.

celoft
03-15-2012, 08:08 PM
LOL. He won't even reach Pete's 14. Get real.

Nathaniel_Near
03-15-2012, 08:16 PM
Isn't the correct answer supposed to be: 'Connors in five'?

BTW, celoft, do you really think it's so laughable to imagine that Nadal could reach 14 Majors?

Praetorian
03-15-2012, 08:33 PM
Here's a serious comment.... 0%

Mustard
03-15-2012, 08:35 PM
20 majors? That implies Nadal has currently won half the number of his eventual career majors.

Let's see Nadal get number 11 first, eh? :)

ZeroSkid
03-15-2012, 08:41 PM
I say he will get about 15 slams, 20 seems impossible with Nole around

Sentinel
03-15-2012, 08:47 PM
Rafa is looking extremely fresh and has not dropped a set all week. Nole OTOH was exhausted at AO and is still carrying his fatigues.

Rafa will have a great 2012, even better than 2011 or 2010, but won't win any more majors. With some luck he may one day win one more major but 11 will be his max.

Therefore in conclusion, 45.5%.

sbengte
03-15-2012, 08:52 PM
Rafa is looking extremely fresh and has not dropped a set all week. Nole OTOH was exhausted at AO and is still carrying his fatigues.

Rafa will have a great 2012, even better than 2011 or 2010, but won't win any more majors. With some luck he may one day win one more major but 11 will be his max.

Therefore in conclusion, 45.5%.

Duh ! He is winning a major this weekend and adding the Crappy Slam to his collection.

jayoub95
03-15-2012, 08:54 PM
I don't think Rafa's chances of getting 20 slams are very high because as long as Djokovic is around and playing well.. the slams are going his way unless Nadal can get on top of him somehow :-?

TMF
03-15-2012, 09:08 PM
This thread is not as bad as the "Serena will end up with 20 slams by the end of 2013" thread.

MichaelNadal
03-15-2012, 09:17 PM
If he didn't lose the last 3 finals, he'd be sitting on 13 right now o_O

Nathaniel_Near
03-15-2012, 09:18 PM
If he didn't lose the last 3 finals, he'd be sitting on 13 right now o_O

So?

If my auntie had balls....

TMF
03-15-2012, 09:19 PM
If he didn't lose the last 3 finals, he'd be sitting on 13 right now o_O

If they didn't slow down the court even further Nadal wouldn't be sitting on 10 slams. :)

MichaelNadal
03-15-2012, 09:20 PM
So?

If my auntie had balls....

Don't be an *** and take my comment out of context. Im not playing the "if" this and "if" that game. Just making a simple statement that Djokovic just in the past months stopped him from getting 13.

Nathaniel_Near
03-15-2012, 09:24 PM
Don't be an *** and take my comment out of context. Im not playing the "if" this and "if" that game. Just making a simple statement that Djokovic just in the past months stopped him from getting 13.

If David Beckham were a woman, he would use premiership sanitary towels!

Fate Archer
03-15-2012, 09:25 PM
It's funny how things go in circles. Now we have Nadal fans behaving much like some Fed fans wondering what it would be like had their player won X slam finals.

Nathaniel_Near
03-15-2012, 09:26 PM
If Djokovic was twice as good as he is now, he'd be the GOAT of all time!

If I didn't have a butthole then where would the...

Hmmmmmmm



If Djokovic hadn't stopped Nadal from reaching 13 Slams by this stage, then Nadal would have good chances to reach 20 Slams and beyond!

Nah.

MichaelNadal
03-15-2012, 09:27 PM
If David Beckham were a women, he would use premiership sanitary towels!

http://michaeljacksonanimatedgifs.com/images/others/mjgif280.jpg

Nathaniel_Near
03-15-2012, 09:28 PM
http://michaeljacksonanimatedgifs.com/images/others/mjgif280.jpg

That's mah boy!

MichaelNadal
03-15-2012, 09:31 PM
That's mah boy!

You brought it out lol :p

Nathaniel_Near
03-15-2012, 09:32 PM
You brought it out lol :p

lol. I've succeeded in life. Can I get a yeehee - naah, just kiddin'.:)

kragster
03-15-2012, 09:35 PM
If David Beckham were a woman, he would use premiership sanitary towels!

If Ivanovic were a man... I'd be gay for him.


Side note, clearly I should have used 25 slams instead of 20 given that people are actually seriously evaluating this.

Nathaniel_Near
03-15-2012, 09:38 PM
If Ivanovic were a man... I'd be gay for him.


Side note, clearly I should have used 25 slams instead of 20 given that people are actually seriously evaluating this.

http://www.celebritymasterchef.com/uploads/gregg_wallace.jpg

kragster
03-15-2012, 09:41 PM
http://www.celebritymasterchef.com/uploads/gregg_wallace.jpg

Dad is that you?

Sentinel
03-15-2012, 09:54 PM
If he didn't lose the last 3 finals, he'd be sitting on 13 right now o_O
http://roflrazzi.files.wordpress.com/2011/09/funny-celebrity-pictures-if-balls-your-aunt-had-your-uncle-she-would-be.jpg

MG1
03-15-2012, 10:15 PM
The only player had a real chance to win 20 slams was Federer.

He has won 16 and missed couple of GS by small margin e.g 2005 AO, 2009 USO.

monfed
03-15-2012, 11:55 PM
If he didn't lose the last 3 finals, he'd be sitting on 13 right now o_O

And if Fed hadn't lost finals to Ralph, he'd have already crossed 20 slams. :lol:

jokinla
03-16-2012, 12:45 AM
Only serious comments, in a hilarious thread, bahahahaha. Oh sorry, zero.

joeri888
03-16-2012, 01:49 AM
0%. No one currently playing on the tour has any chance to get to 20.

In response to the poll, 44%.

Federer has a 1% chance, the rest none.

purge
03-16-2012, 11:47 AM
no one can win 20 cincis. no one.

sportsfan1
03-16-2012, 12:14 PM
What's the story (in short) behind the whole Cincytard stuff? :)

Squall Leonheart
03-16-2012, 12:16 PM
Please only serious comments.

Then why are the poll choices what they are?

agentaviles
03-16-2012, 12:17 PM
Federer has a 1% chance, the rest none.

I agree. Djokovic and possibly others are going to stop Nadal from winning anything other than Roland Garros, and even if he was absolutely the best player in the sport right now, I would still think his chances are remote just because I don't think he'll play long enough due to his style being so hard on his body.

purge
03-16-2012, 12:18 PM
What's the story (in short) behind the whole Cincytard stuff? :)
im afraid there is no short story to this http://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/showthread.php?t=282818

none that would do it justice anyway

mattennis
03-16-2012, 12:41 PM
He has no chance. Period.

He could get to 16 or 17 GS if Djokovic2.0 didn't exist (and it is a bit shocking to think about it) but 20 GS is just too much for everybody.

I think he will end up with 11 or 12 GS (it depends on Djokovic2.0 heavily).

sportsfan1
03-16-2012, 07:42 PM
im afraid there is no short story to this http://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/showthread.php?t=282818

none that would do it justice anyway

LOL, thanks, that whole thread can be read many times over. 4 months 26 days to the Real Slam!

On topic, IIRC since Rafa hasn't won the Real Slam yet, so getting from 0 to 20 is impossible.

Evan77
03-16-2012, 08:39 PM
the silliest thread ever... 20 GS, whatever

Pushmaster
03-17-2012, 05:32 PM
Not impossible, but he'll have to figure out a way to beat the Joker in order to get there.

joeri888
03-17-2012, 05:37 PM
And if Fed hadn't lost finals to Ralph, he'd have already crossed 20 slams. :lol:

If Federer dominated the Nadal the way he dominated the field, he'd have 1 more W, one more AO(09) and one more RG (2011). I don't think he was a better player at any other RG against the field than Rafa, and Djokovic was better at AO 2012 against the field I think, though that's a close one.

agentaviles
03-19-2012, 10:29 AM
If Federer dominated the Nadal the way he dominated the field, he'd have 1 more W, one more AO(09) and one more RG (2011). I don't think he was a better player at any other RG against the field than Rafa, and Djokovic was better at AO 2012 against the field I think, though that's a close one.

Correction, if Federer dominated Nadal the way he dominated the field, he would have 4 more RG Titles, if not 5. Since Nadal beat Fed at 3 straight RG Finals 06-08. (Nadal beat Fed at the 05 RG Semis if you recall, and I'm pretty sure Fed would've beaten Puerta.)

So if you add that all up, Federer would have 22 Slams right now, possibly 23.

Marius_Hancu
03-19-2012, 03:41 PM
zero zero zero

pvaudio
03-19-2012, 03:53 PM
Is this a thread in probability theory?

kiki
03-19-2012, 03:54 PM
In such a weak era, he can win them...and he can always enter the WTA field, where he has not to fear an Evert,Seles, Graf or Navy...

kishnabe
03-19-2012, 04:05 PM
He has at least 16 more chances at slams.....he could get to 20.....but Djokovic, Murray and Federer would stop him more than 8 of 16 events.

More likely for Nadal to win 5 more slams.

JustBob
03-19-2012, 04:52 PM
Why do Rafa fans have such silly lofty expectations? The fact that someone with such average raw/natural tennis talent has been able to win 10 slams is already an astounding achievement.

ZeroSkid
03-19-2012, 05:26 PM
Probably 15, 20 is impossible, not even Roger can get that many

Winners or Errors
03-19-2012, 05:38 PM
0%. He's at 10. Are you saying he's going to win another 6 titles at RG, because that's what it will take for him to get to 20?

MichaelNadal
03-19-2012, 06:17 PM
Why do Rafa fans have such silly lofty expectations? The fact that someone with such average raw/natural tennis talent has been able to win 10 slams is already an astounding achievement.

http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y3/mikeynitro/yeah-you-better-smile.jpg

TMF
03-19-2012, 06:22 PM
He has a better chance in winning 20 slams than 20 MS.

DeShaun
03-19-2012, 06:26 PM
He wont even play in 20 slam finals

kragster
03-19-2012, 07:12 PM
Then why are the poll choices what they are?

you're on to me :)

CDestroyer
03-19-2012, 07:40 PM
The sme chances that he moves out of his parents house. Zero.

SoBad
03-19-2012, 07:44 PM
Please only serious comments.

It is much closer to over 50% than most people realise, even though it has been shifting toward a strong era lately.

cc0509
03-19-2012, 07:57 PM
It is much closer to over 50% than most people realise, even though it has been shifting toward a strong era lately.

Nadal is not getting to 20 slams. He will be lucky to get to 13 or 14.

SoBad
03-19-2012, 08:10 PM
Nadal is not getting to 20 slams. He will be lucky to get to 13 or 14.

If Nadal banks fewer than 18 slams, despite this increasingly strong era, you should feel very lucky.

cc0509
03-19-2012, 08:16 PM
If Nadal banks fewer than 18 slams, despite this increasingly strong era, you should feel very lucky.


I'll take your words under advisement! :roll:

You can live in your own fantasy world but Nadal is not getting to 18 slams, and I don't think even the most batty Nadal fan thinks he will.

SoBad
03-19-2012, 08:20 PM
Thanks, duly noted.:lol:

celoft
03-20-2012, 07:06 AM
Nadal is not getting to 20 slams. He will be lucky to get to 13 or 14.
He won't reach 13-14.

11-12 tops.

TMF
03-20-2012, 09:17 AM
Nadal is not getting to 20 slams. He will be lucky to get to 13 or 14.

If I can get 20 grand slam, I'm sure Nadal can get it too.
http://www.ladecostified.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/dennys.jpg

agentaviles
03-20-2012, 10:03 AM
If I can get 20 grand slam, I'm sure Nadal can get it too.
http://www.ladecostified.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/dennys.jpg

LMAO!!! That's a nice burn

Boricua
03-20-2012, 10:11 AM
None, too much competition. Could win a bunch of French Opens though and a few of the other Slams. He could get to 14 or 15 Slams if he plays real well.

mattennis
03-20-2012, 10:51 AM
The most I can see for him is 13 GS.

He is not getting to 16 GS.

16 GS is an aberration, something that has ocurred just one time (in the Open Era) because several factors came in together: the most talented/best tennis player in the Open Era, homogeneization of conditions, slower conditions all along (so less casualties, less surprise defeats), homogeneization of playing styles (baseliners everybody)....

These same conditions have allowed Nadal to reach 10 GS (that I don't think he would have achieved in other eras), but 16 GS is just too much.

I don't see Djokovic reaching 16 GS either. The most I see for Nole is about 10 GS.