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View Full Version : How far will Nadal get at Wimbledon?


jackabee
06-18-2006, 08:35 AM
Well, with Wimbledon just 8 days away and Nadal being pretty impressive on grass at Queens, considering his past form, how far do you all think he will get?

exruda
06-18-2006, 08:36 AM
Depends on the draw.
I can't wait to see it!

federerhoogenbandfan
06-18-2006, 08:38 AM
If he plays 4th round, but it is not even certain he is playing Wimbledon, in fact he probably wont being injured only 10 days before the event. It is unlikely he will even play so this poll really shouldnt be up until it is confirmed he will be, when it is looking like he wont. If he does 4th round I am guessing.

siber222000
06-18-2006, 08:58 AM
wow some people actually voted for champion? be real guys

federerhoogenbandfan
06-18-2006, 09:15 AM
Like I said it looks like he wont even play Wimbledon probably, so I dont know why this poll is up anyway. 2 out of 8 voting for Champion is bogus though.

jackabee
06-18-2006, 09:22 AM
Poll is up to see how far people think Nadal could get if he played Wimbledon this year - regardless of whether or not he will!

Have to agree - can't see him being champion this year - he has a long way to go before he gets anywhere near there!

Breaker
06-18-2006, 09:24 AM
30% say he'll be the champion so far, I had to laugh for a bit after seeing that.

BabolatFan
06-18-2006, 09:31 AM
Yeah it's a loaded question depending on the draw. I'd say out in 2nd round.

alienhamster
06-18-2006, 09:33 AM
My guess is 4th Round or Quarters.

Has anyone reported that he may actually pull out? That would be great for Roddick, but I'd def. like to see how he'd do this year.

Breaker
06-18-2006, 09:34 AM
If he does pull out and Roddick gets the 2 seed again we'll be hearing about the conspiracy theories from Barry and Chadwixx...again.

federerhoogenbandfan
06-18-2006, 09:37 AM
Well Nalbandian or Ljubicic, both ranked over Roddick, have not even reached the quarters of Wimbledon since his shock final in 2002, so I would have no problem with Roddick as #2 seed if Nadal pulls out, heck I would have no problem with it even if Nadal played. I dont think he will reach the final this year, but his ranking is still high enough, and recent years record good enough to warrant that. Probably next year he wont be the #2 seed since he will be ranked even lower, or the same as now, and wont have as good of grass results this year as past years.

Count Grishnackh
06-18-2006, 09:39 AM
I would say QF. If the courts get worn down pretty good, no rain and they get hard you might see a final. But if its soggy and slippery he may lose earlier.

Lee
06-18-2006, 09:49 AM
DEPENDS ON THE DRAW... easiest answer ever

alienhamster
06-18-2006, 09:53 AM
If he does pull out and Roddick gets the 2 seed again we'll be hearing about the conspiracy theories from Barry and Chadwixx...again. LOL.

Let me guess: "Well, the USTA clearly must have snuck into Nadal's room at night while he was sleeping and sabotaged his left shoulder muscles. It's the only way they could get their little over-hyped whiny baby Rod-DICK into the finals at Wimbly."

"P.S. They should seed fairly. How many top 10 players has Roddick beaten in the past 3000 years? Hmmm?"

Andres
06-18-2006, 09:54 AM
3rd Round.

tennis_nerd22
06-18-2006, 09:55 AM
he'll be a finalist guys, just watch

alienhamster
06-18-2006, 10:00 AM
he'll be a finalist guys, just watch Look, I suddenly find myself rooting for the guy this year (at least on this surface). But this just ain't realistic.

What makes you think he can make it to the finals so convincingly?

Feņa14
06-18-2006, 10:07 AM
Out in the 1st Round to a certain Mr. T. Henman ;)

exruda
06-18-2006, 10:09 AM
That would be a lucky draw for Tim. I'd like to see it, though :)

sandiegotennisboy
06-18-2006, 10:09 AM
he'll be a finalist guys, just watch

not with those long, loopy strokes and defensive playing style and a creampuff serve. he'd be lucky to get to the 4th round, even with a good draw.

clay season is over. thank god i dont have to see this guy late in the draw of anything til dirt season starts again next year.

HollerOne5
06-18-2006, 10:15 AM
If he plays 4th round, but it is not even certain he is playing Wimbledon, in fact he probably wont being injured only 10 days before the event. It is unlikely he will even play so this poll really shouldnt be up until it is confirmed he will be, when it is looking like he wont. If he does 4th round I am guessing.

Don't know why you would think Nadal is going to pull out, or seem so certain he won't play. He even said he will be fine. I think the fact he pulled out of Queens was more of a precaution so he can play Wimbledon. He went to queen's, proved he can play on grass, and that was enough for him. There was no point in RISKING injury. But he will be playing Wimbledon, that is obvious.

siber222000
06-18-2006, 10:40 AM
he'll be a finalist guys, just watch
u said enough, please no more of this nadal supporting thing sometimes u gotta deal with a REAL LIFE

dh003i
06-18-2006, 10:59 AM
Nadal has about as much chance of making the quarterfinals or better in Wimbledon as Roddick does of making the Finals in the French Open.

edberg505
06-18-2006, 11:06 AM
Well, if he draws Ivo Karlovic in the first round, he may as well not even unpack.

th41291
06-18-2006, 11:38 AM
round of 16 or round of 8

HollerOne5
06-18-2006, 11:46 AM
Nadal has about as much chance of making the quarterfinals or better in Wimbledon as Roddick does of making the Finals in the French Open.

Obviously you didn't catch the Queens tournament then. And obviously you have a subjective view being a Federer worshipper and a Nadal hater, but if took a set off Hewitt and was playing pretty well, even through injury (Hewitt won Queens), then obviously he has a better chance than Roddick making the finals of the French. What an idiotic comparison huh? Roddick is 23 and has been playing matches on clay for years now. Nadal has only had the opportunity to play 8 or 9 matches on grass in his whole career (and that spans 3 seasons). Obviously, he is just developing his grass court tactics.

Can always count on you making a splash with your negative posts about Nadal and your hype of Federer (yes, we already know he is good and the favorite for Wimbledon, and not to compare head to heads, because Blake owns Nadal, yada yada yada..)

dh003i = snooze fest

fastdunn
06-18-2006, 02:29 PM
Yeah, Nadal just has not played enough grass matches yet.
As described in other thread, grass courts are practically
hard courts covered with grass, much like bouces and
ball speed of hard courts.

But, as Nadal said of himself, he is not comfortable with
moving on grass yet. Howerver, a quarter-final is not
impossible, IMHO.

federerhoogenbandfan
06-18-2006, 02:33 PM
I think you will see them speed up grass and other surfaces again soon. It is crazy how slow they all have become and they wont accept that much longer.

OrangeOne
06-18-2006, 03:32 PM
Ok, i'm no statistics guru, I mean i did study it at uni but that was a while ago now...

But going on my "rough" memory, one can sometimes exclude extreme results at the 'top or tail' of a sample, excluding them as 'outliers' that are unlikely or insignificant. I guess it's sort-of like excluding the highest and lowest score in diving :). Looking at the current votes....

Round 1 3 6.82%
Round 2 7 15.91%
Round 3 10 22.73%
Round 4 11 25.00%
Quarters 9 20.45%
Semis 0 0%
Runner-up 1 2.27%
Champion! 3 6.82%

....we could probably slice off the 9% at the extreme 'tail' - the votes for r/up & champ (made easier to do given the 0 for the semis) :). Even if we don't slice, over 90% of people thinking that round 1 - quarters is likely. Sounds about right, really! Yay for the boards ;)

alienhamster
06-18-2006, 03:55 PM
Ok, i'm no statistics guru, I mean i did study it at uni but that was a while ago now...

But going on my "rough" memory, one can sometimes exclude extreme results at the 'top or tail' of a sample, excluding them as 'outliers' that are unlikely or insignificant. I guess it's sort-of like excluding the highest and lowest score in diving :). Looking at the current votes....

Round 1 3 6.82%
Round 2 7 15.91%
Round 3 10 22.73%
Round 4 11 25.00%
Quarters 9 20.45%
Semis 0 0%
Runner-up 1 2.27%
Champion! 3 6.82%

....we could probably slice off the 9% at the extreme 'tail' - the votes for r/up & champ (made easier to do given the 0 for the semis) :). Even if we don't slice, over 90% of people thinking that round 1 - quarters is likely. Sounds about right, really! Yay for the boards ;) Nice post!

Rickson
06-18-2006, 05:15 PM
Nadal has about as much chance of making the quarterfinals or better in Wimbledon as Roddick does of making the Finals in the French Open.
That's not true! Roddick has a much better chance of making the French Open final.

jackabee
06-19-2006, 07:02 AM
Well looks like Nadal WILL be playing Wimbledon - the reason he pulled out of Queens was because he didnt want to damage his shoulder any more - he would rather pull out of Queens and be certain of playing Wimbledon than damage his shoulder at Queens and miss the grand slam!

Tchocky
06-19-2006, 07:25 AM
This poll is meaningless. It all depends on the draw. Yes, Nadal looked pretty good at Queen's Club last week but he had to quit during his match with Hewitt. His left shoulder is a big question. Without seeing his side of the draw, I really can't see him winning more than 3 matches with his bad shoulder.

jackabee
06-19-2006, 07:29 AM
The poll isnt meaningless - your opinion is that he won't get any further than the 3rd round this year... that is what this poll is about - finding out how far you think Nadal will get at Wimbledon this year...

Rickson
06-19-2006, 07:35 AM
This poll is meaningless. It all depends on the draw. Yes, Nadal looked pretty good at Queen's Club last week but he had to quit during his match with Hewitt. His left shoulder is a big question. Without seeing his side of the draw, I really can't see him winning more than 3 matches with his bad shoulder.
I can't see him winning 1.

Shabazza
06-19-2006, 07:40 AM
3rd or 4th round max, regardless of the draw...

KBalla08
06-19-2006, 09:35 AM
nadal will not be the #2 seed no matter what. Wimby seeds by grass court results over the last year, and Roddick was finalist at Wimby last year and won Queens club in 05, and was semifinalist at Queens this year... Nadal could be seeded lower than 5...

on topic now, i believe he could make the 3rd round, but we gotta wait till Friday for the draw...

rhubarb
06-19-2006, 03:50 PM
nadal will not be the #2 seed no matter what. Wimby seeds by grass court results over the last year, and Roddick was finalist at Wimby last year and won Queens club in 05, and was semifinalist at Queens this year... Nadal could be seeded lower than 5...

on topic now, i believe he could make the 3rd round, but we gotta wait till Friday for the draw...

Wimbledon seeds on current ranking plus last year's grass points plus 75% of the previous year's best grass result (although this is subject to change). Even though Roddick has reached the last two finals at the AELTC, Nadal is so far ahead of Roddick in the normal rankings that it's not enough to close the gap: Nadal will be seeded second.

In fact, Roddick only just passed Nalbandian for number three seed (had he lost to Gonzalez in the quarters at Queen's, he would have had to settle for fourth, not that it makes much difference).

HollerOne5
06-19-2006, 07:38 PM
nadal will not be the #2 seed no matter what. Wimby seeds by grass court results over the last year, and Roddick was finalist at Wimby last year and won Queens club in 05, and was semifinalist at Queens this year... Nadal could be seeded lower than 5...

on topic now, i believe he could make the 3rd round, but we gotta wait till Friday for the draw...


Wow, you must not know a lot about tennis. Nadal will be the #2 seed hands down, and if Wimbledon doesn't, there will be a bigger controversey than the Hewitt seeding last year by far.

bm99
06-19-2006, 08:23 PM
Nadal will make it farther than Andy "washed up" Roddick

framebreaker
06-19-2006, 09:50 PM
nadal will reach the final - if his shoulder is fine.
you guys just don't see his talent. at this moment he is the best tennis player on this planet. it's that simple

federerhoogenbandfan
06-20-2006, 12:42 PM
nadal will reach the final - if his shoulder is fine.
you guys just don't see his talent. at this moment he is the best tennis player on this planet. it's that simple

I guess his shoulder inevitably "wont be fine" in the end then, atleast you will be saying so.

bluescreen
06-20-2006, 01:27 PM
nadal will reach the final - if his shoulder is fine.
you guys just don't see his talent. at this moment he is the best tennis player on this planet. it's that simple

somebody's in denial.

lucky leprechaun
06-20-2006, 01:31 PM
I voted optimistically and said third round.

edberg505
06-20-2006, 01:51 PM
It really does depend on how he draws as some has said in here earlier.

brucie
06-20-2006, 01:59 PM
Round 3 and 4 currently equal thanks to my vote for round 4, i suppose im optimistic for him, but hes improved on grass and round 1 and 2 should be no prob as 2 seed, then 3 may get tough 4 he could geta decent player, maybe hell get henman early. Henman will be champ!!!!!!!! Haha!!!!!! I wish.

ACE of Hearts
06-20-2006, 02:01 PM
Like Edberg said, lets wait and see the draw.

framebreaker
06-20-2006, 02:04 PM
I guess his shoulder inevitably "wont be fine" in the end then, atleast you will be saying so.
haha, one little smart a**. If he doesn't has to interrupt a game because of his shoulder then i assume that his shoulder is fine. Nadal never fakes an injury. Neither does Federer.

Ztalin
06-20-2006, 02:05 PM
I hope Nadal draws Henman. Then Henman doesn't have to worry about a big seed for a while.

Klippy
06-20-2006, 09:41 PM
Lol. Champion. Heheh. Funny.

bagung
06-21-2006, 01:56 PM
all the way, and will beat fed again in 5 sets....... ready for nadal to become no.1...............

TacoBellBorderBowl1946
06-21-2006, 06:58 PM
4th round, no farther than that this year.

mileslong
06-21-2006, 07:18 PM
nadal will reach the final - if his shoulder is fine.
you guys just don't see his talent. at this moment he is the best tennis player on this planet. it's that simple
lol, you guys crack me up...

punch
06-21-2006, 09:14 PM
lol I actually laughed out loud when I read that quote above.

Any who voted Nadal for champion need a swift smack to the face.

If he EVER wins Wimby I will bow down to him, until then I will just laugh when someone says he'll win it, especially this year!

The fact is Nadal is a good player, great on clay, and that is about as far as it will go. I see in the upcoming years Nadal losing in the early rounds of every major except Roland Garros, and utlimately leading to Nadal becoming another clay court specialist.

go_nadal
06-22-2006, 12:23 AM
Lol. Im a huge nadal fan, but i really cant see him making it past the quarters... If he makes it that far i will be very happy... Of course it would be great if he makes semis or even the final... But i cant see that happening... not this year any ways...