The Official Australian Open 2013 thread

Who will win the first Slam of 2013?


  • Total voters
    258

Goosehead

Legend
Any ideas on why Del Potro has never really done well here? I would think slow hardcourts would suit him exceptionally well, but he hasn't done very much. Ran into Roger twice in the quarters, but could hardly put up a fight each time.

2010 del potro (4th rd),struggled to get through matches with wrist injury that he would soon rest for 3months before surgery in may, meant he only played 2 more match at end of 2010 season,

2011 was the start of the comeback, he lost in 2nd rd to bagdhatis or tsonga (jmdp world rank after aust open 485),..2012 rank 11, as you say he lost to fed in qf..so really its very distorted as 2009 when he was few months past 20yrs was last time he fully fit there.
 
M

monfed

Guest
Logical order -

1)Djokovic
2)Murray
3)Ralph
4)Federer

Likely to happen -
1)Federer
2)Murray
3)Djokovic
4)Ralph
 

PeteD

Legend
Extremely difficult to predict. Either Djokovic or Murray, cant see Fed or Rafa for obvious reasons. However Murray and Djokovic getting drawn together, could give some hope to Fed/Rafa.

Yes! Murray-Dokovic go five sets all tie-breaks! Then all Rog has to worry about is Del Birdy. Rafa's not an issue -- He's going to be up on the camera wire with a mask on, "Phantom of the Stadium."
 

Ripster

Hall of Fame
Djokovic loves the AO, it suits his game perfectly. He just finished the season as the best player in the world - it's his tournament to lose.
 

Towser83

G.O.A.T.
have to admit it's looking like Djokovic, followed by Murray then Federer and then either Nadal or Del Potro. Unless nadal somehow gets back to top shape in time, in which case he has a better chance than Federer and Murray.
 
N

NadalAgassi

Guest
My odds of wnning:

Djokovic- 65%. The huge favorite. Will cement himself as probably the Australian Open GOAT ahead of both Agassi and Federer if he wins.

Murray- 15%
Nadal- 10%
Federer 8%
All others- 2% combined

As usual any of the top 4 could win, but it would still be surprising if that one isnt Djokovic in this case. Anyone outside the top 4 at this venue would be a huge surprise. Del Potros least likely slam to ever win is the Australian Open, the conditions are way too hard for him. That plus he isnt even ready to win another slam yet anyway. Ferrer is never going to win a slam on a surface that all the more favored people excel on. The others arent worth a mention.
 

Netspirit

Hall of Fame
I do not think Fedal have good shots at the AO 2013 trophy.

For Nadal, winning a slam after 6 months of not playing is going to be very hard.

Federer won his last 5 slam finals by beating Murray 3 times, Roddick+Soderling pigeons in 2009, so his slam winning odds are quite poor since 2008. He is still good and can win more, but 5 years after his prime he is just very unlikely to.
 
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joeri888

G.O.A.T.
I do not think Fedal have good shots at the AO 2013 trophy.

For Nadal, winning a slam after 6 months of not playing is going to be very hard.

Federer won his last 5 slam finals by beating Murray 3 times, Roddick+Soderling pigeons in 2009, so his slam winning odds are quite poor since 2008. He is still good and can win more, but 5 years after his prime he is just very unlikely to.

I agree that Novak's the favourite followed by MUrray. However, if they both end up in the same half of the draw, you have to favour Fedal to have at least one of them in the final. In which case basically everything is possible.
 

joeri888

G.O.A.T.
Looking forward, 2013 promises to be a most interesting year of Tennis, with a 4-way Tug of war for every title.

This has been said many years for the last few. I'm a bit afraid that if Nadal can not come back and Fed plays a reduced schedule, it'll be a two-way grind, with Djokovic easily more consistent, but Murray winning some big ones.
 

Mike Sams

G.O.A.T.
The trophy belongs to Novak Djokovic. His offense and defense on the AO surface is something else. Twice he straight-setted Federer. The only guy who has any chance is Murray and to a much lesser extent, Nadal who has no form, no confidence and no physical or mental strength to grind with the current form of Djokovic.
 

Mike Sams

G.O.A.T.
I agree that Novak's the favourite followed by MUrray. However, if they both end up in the same half of the draw, you have to favour Fedal to have at least one of them in the final. In which case basically everything is possible.

Federer can't compete with Djokovic on the slow hardcourts of Australia. Nadal even in superman mode and an extra day off couldn't beat a tired Djokovic in the final. The only guy who has any chance is Murray.
 

Towser83

G.O.A.T.
I do not think Fedal have good shots at the AO 2013 trophy.

For Nadal, winning a slam after 6 months of not playing is going to be very hard.

Federer won his last 5 slam finals by beating Murray 3 times, Roddick+Soderling pigeons in 2009, so his slam winning odds are quite poor since 2008. He is still good and can win more, but 5 years after his prime he is just very unlikely to.

yeah but he's beaten Djokovic as well in two of those title runs and also at his run to the RG final in 2011. Just because it wasn't a final doesn't mean it wasn't a good win.

however I don't give Fed much of a shot on the slow courts of Australia when he had enough trouble with Djokovic indoors.
 

joeri888

G.O.A.T.
Federer can't compete with Djokovic on the slow hardcourts of Australia. Nadal even in superman mode and an extra day off couldn't beat a tired Djokovic in the final. The only guy who has any chance is Murray.

Even if you are right i am not wrong. If murray beats Djokovic in the semis hè might still lose the final to a fresher Federer or Nadal
 

sbengte

G.O.A.T.
This has been said many years for the last few. I'm a bit afraid that if Nadal can not come back and Fed plays a reduced schedule, it'll be a two-way grind, with Djokovic easily more consistent, but Murray winning some big ones.

Hoping for someone outside the big 4 to take it this time.
 

5555

Hall of Fame
I can't believe that Federer is not leading in the poll. I hope this is a sign that TW is getting serious.
 
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Deleted member 3771

Guest
I do not think Fedal have good shots at the AO 2013 trophy.

For Nadal, winning a slam after 6 months of not playing is going to be very hard.

Federer won his last 5 slam finals by beating Murray 3 times, Roddick+Soderling pigeons in 2009, so his slam winning odds are quite poor since 2008. He is still good and can win more, but 5 years after his prime he is just very unlikely to.

Feds 4 slams in the last 4 years all came while Nadal was injured, so his chances depend a lot on Nadal's condition.
 
Can't wait as well, my favorite major/tournament of them all even though the surface is a joke these days.

It was my fav. tourney in the whole wide world up until 2007. After that, it was still good, but the last two years it's become increasingly worse and no longer my fav. tournament./

You mean 2008, right? When they ditched rebound ace?
 

Nostradamus

Bionic Poster
Why does everyone think Federer and Novak will do better than Murray in the polls ? I thought everybody would be picking Murray since his game suits this surface well, really well.
 

Netspirit

Hall of Fame
Why does everyone think Federer and Novak will do better than Murray in the polls ? I thought everybody would be picking Murray since his game suits this surface well, really well.

Because he has proven his inability to beat Fedalovic in slams unless there is crazy wind or another natural disaster.
 

Towser83

G.O.A.T.
Why does everyone think Federer and Novak will do better than Murray in the polls ? I thought everybody would be picking Murray since his game suits this surface well, really well.

I can see people picking Murray over Fed, but you think everyone would pick him over Djokovic? Seriously?
 

Hawkeye7

Professional
Why does everyone think Federer and Novak will do better than Murray in the polls ? I thought everybody would be picking Murray since his game suits this surface well, really well.

This is a good thing, actually, as TW is almost never right about these kinds of things. ;)

And aside from that, Djokovic is the 2-time-defending-champion and won the WTF. He should be the favourite. As for Fed, well... Federer forum. People will still vote for him even when he is retired.
 

Lavs

Hall of Fame
When exactly AO2013 (my favourite event ever :)) starts precisely? I think kick off should be either 14.01 or 21.01.. I need to plan my vacation to not miss it! :)
 
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Deleted member 307496

Guest
When exactly AO2013 (my favourite event ever :)) starts precisely? I think kick off should be either 14.01 or 21.01.. I need to plan my vacation to not miss it! :)
I think it's the 14th this year.
 

Hood_Man

Legend
I'm going to say Murray, he's reached the semi's or better 3 years in a row and damn near came back to beat Djokovic this year. With the slam monkey finally off his back I think he can do it.
 
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Deleted member 307496

Guest
I'm going to say Murray, he's reached the semi's or better 3 years in a row and damn near came back to beat Djokovic this year. With the slam monkey finally off his back I think he can do it.
If he does it, he will improve his chances at #1 by fifty fold.

Lavs said:
I think it's the 14th this year.

I hope the season will start 07.01.. and then AO kick off 20.01.. which is more convenient time for me.. :)
It depends on what day the rankings end for the year. If they end on the 31st, it's possible it may start then.
 

Hawkeye7

Professional
I hope the season will start 07.01.. and then AO kick off 20.01.. which is more convenient time for me.. :)

If I remember correctly, Brisbane and Hopman Cup start on December 31st. As do two other 250 events.
 
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Hawkeye7

Professional
Yes, WTA events in China and New Zealand.
Going by the GPP threads lately, they can't come soon enough.

I was actually referring to Doha and Chennai (ATP events).

The Aussie Open starts on January 14th.
 
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