2009 USTA Year-End Ratings Move Predictions

Discussion in 'Adult League & Tournament Talk' started by fe6250, Nov 20, 2009.

  1. fe6250

    fe6250 Semi-Pro

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    As we approach year-end and we all start speculating whether or not the USTA will make mass changes and when ratings will be posted, etc... I thought - why not predict your own fate?

    So - simply state here one of the following choices as your Prediction:

    Stay the Same
    Move Up this year
    Move Down this year

    After ratings are posted - come back and edit your post (leaving your original prediction) and post what actually happened. For example:

    Move Up this year - (edit what actually happened here)

    This will prove whether any of us actually have a clue or if indeed it's all just magic!
     
    #1
  2. fe6250

    fe6250 Semi-Pro

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    Move Up this year
    Correct - Moved to 4.0 (as did the rest of my entire team!)
     
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2009
    #2
  3. SlapChop

    SlapChop Semi-Pro

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    Stay the Same - (3.0) I think I am going to sign up for both a 3.0 and a 3.5 league.

    Update: Rated at 2.5 - I only played three USTA matches last year. It was my first year to be in the USTA. I lost 2 and won 1 at 3.0

    I am not sure where to play now. I have been playing mostly with 3.5 players. I have never taken a set from them but lately the scores have been 3-6 4-6 on average. When I do play with 3.0's I am usually winning 6-3 6-4. Where should I play for 2010? I will likely play another tournament in December at 3.0.
     
    Last edited: Nov 30, 2009
    #3
  4. Topaz

    Topaz Legend

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    Original prediction - I will stay the same (3.5)
     
    #4
  5. Perry the Platypus

    Perry the Platypus Rookie

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    Me - Stay at 4.5

    Wife - get bumped up to 4.5
     
    #5
  6. Kostas

    Kostas Semi-Pro

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    Get bumped up to 3.5
     
    #6
  7. catfish

    catfish Semi-Pro

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    I think I'll stay a 4.5. Slight chance I may get moved down to 4.0.
     
    #7
  8. goober

    goober Legend

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    I am getting moved down. I didn't play much this year and all the official matches I did play that actually get calculated into ratings, I lost.
     
    #8
  9. JRstriker12

    JRstriker12 Hall of Fame

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    I won slightly more than 50% of my matches. Prob stay the same (3.5),
     
    #9
  10. innoVAShaun

    innoVAShaun Hall of Fame

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    moving away (taking my 3 years off)

    4.0 down to 3.0 (4.0)

    wifey:

    3.5 down to 2.5 (3.5)

    Still going to move away for 3 years and re-rate ourselves later.
     
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2009
    #10
  11. kylebarendrick

    kylebarendrick Professional

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    Stay the same (3.5)
     
    #11
  12. atatu

    atatu Hall of Fame

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    Stay at 4.5...
     
    #12
  13. raiden031

    raiden031 Legend

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    Prior to all the speculation about overall rating increases, I would've guessed moving down to 3.5. Now I think I will stay at 4.0 because of this.
     
    #13
  14. JavierLW

    JavierLW Hall of Fame

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    I have no idea what my rating will be, but I suspect it wont move.

    "ARE THE RATINGS HERE YET????"
     
    #14
  15. damazing

    damazing Rookie

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    I think I'll probably get bumped up having won about 80% of my matches this year.
     
    #15
  16. Jim A

    Jim A Professional

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    Move up from 3.0 to 3.5, looking forward to it
     
    #16
  17. 10sguy

    10sguy Rookie

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    That ("taking my three years off") won't work any more!
     
    #17
  18. Lame_Backhand

    Lame_Backhand New User

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    Moving on up??????

    I have a feeling that I will be moving up to 3.5, but would like to keep my 3.0 badge for next season's combo.
     
    #18
  19. D. Net Tricks

    D. Net Tricks New User

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    sticking at 4.0
     
    #19
  20. Hokiez

    Hokiez Rookie

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    Bumped up to 4.5

    edit: I was right, bumped to 4.5
     
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2009
    #20
  21. JLyon

    JLyon Hall of Fame

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    stay at 4.5 or small chance of bump to 5.0 if the ratings are bumped a tad higher this year.
     
    #21
  22. innoVAShaun

    innoVAShaun Hall of Fame

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    Why is that? Can you link me to the USTA documentation saying so? Is USTA going to stop it after this year? They still do it around here.
     
    #22
  23. Homey

    Homey Rookie

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    Kicked up to 4.5

    I am being told by Everybody that I will get kicked up to 4.5 We will see.

    Homey

    edit - I got bumped to 4.5
     
    Last edited: Nov 30, 2009
    #23
  24. vizsla

    vizsla Rookie

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    With the new algorithm, I'll likely get the big bump to 5.0
     
    #24
  25. Douggo

    Douggo Semi-Pro

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    I'll stay at 3.5. Hopefully, everybody above me will get bumped to 4.0, and I'll be King of the Dips#!ts.

    EDIT: Staying at 3.5; time to put my money where my mouth is.
     
    Last edited: Nov 30, 2009
    #25
  26. sMaShGaL

    sMaShGaL New User

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    Started as 3.0 B

    Record at Adult 3.0, 3.5 and 4.0: 31-3

    Prediction: Bumped to 3.5 B
     
    #26
  27. DANMAN

    DANMAN Professional

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    I am going to say 5.5, but I sure hope that isn't the case. 5.0 is lonely enough. If this new algorithm bumps plenty of people up all the way to the top, it won't seem to do much good. In my area, there are already no 4.5 leagues and no 5.0 leagues. Hopefully this doesn't result in more people at 5.0 and 5.5 with no leagues there and a weak 4.5 league. There will be a 4.5 league according to our coordinator, which in my opinion, will not be of too high of a level. There are only a handful of 5.0+ players in LA that play tennis, and I fear this change may make the situationw orse.
     
    #27
  28. michael_1265

    michael_1265 Professional

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    Stay the same, 3.0
     
    #28
  29. Cindysphinx

    Cindysphinx G.O.A.T.

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    Staying at 3.5 for 2010. And 2011. And 2012 . . . .
     
    #29
  30. fe6250

    fe6250 Semi-Pro

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    Time to update results....
     
    #30
  31. Lame_Backhand

    Lame_Backhand New User

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    As expected.

    Bumped up to 3.5 as expected...... Oh well, I guess I will turn in my 3.0 badge.
     
    #31
  32. raiden031

    raiden031 Legend

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    I cannot believe the number of people who got bumped up in my area...WOW.
     
    #32
  33. Topaz

    Topaz Legend

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    The TTW NTRP police will be by to pick it up!
     
    #33
  34. Fedace

    Fedace Banned

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    I say that USTA bump up everybody 1 level to make the ratings eval more accurate. So much cheating has made a Mockery of ratings descriptions..
     
    #34
  35. damazing

    damazing Rookie

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    It's pretty unbelievable - some of the people who were sure sure sure that they weren't going to be bumped up got bumped.
     
    #35
  36. Topaz

    Topaz Legend

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    I stayed 3.5, as I predicted...only change is from C to B.
     
    #36
  37. Fedace

    Fedace Banned

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    not to mention it will help everyone's ego as well.....
     
    #37
  38. raiden031

    raiden031 Legend

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    Ok some guy on my 3.0 team from '08 is now a 4.5!!
     
    #38
  39. JLyon

    JLyon Hall of Fame

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    seems like few AR Players got bumped even from the Sectional Team, but I go 2-1 at 4.5 and 1-2 at 5.0 and get a bump to 5.0. Anyone who knows me I am an average 4.5 at "BEST" oh well guess I get to get stomped.
     
    #39
  40. raiden031

    raiden031 Legend

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    It seems like the tweak was really drastic with the men, but I don't know if there was much change with the women.
     
    #40
  41. Topaz

    Topaz Legend

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    Honestly, I'm completely baffled...I have a friend who has played singles at 3.5 nationals two years in a row...and she did NOT get bumped!
     
    #41
  42. 86golf

    86golf Semi-Pro

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    Any auto appeal success? I was denied.

    At least one guy at my club got the double bump and based on my sampling of ladies and men players at my club, I'd say 50% were bumped up. 3.5->4.0 had the most bump ups. Not too many 4.0->4.5 and none of our 4.5's got bumped to 5.0.

    North Carolina section
     
    #42
  43. Topaz

    Topaz Legend

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    But two tourny finals...better up those expectations JRS...up to 4.0 that is!

    Congrats!

    Crap, now I can't play mixed with you!!!!
     
    #43
  44. JLyon

    JLyon Hall of Fame

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    Denied here as well.
     
    #44
  45. Jim A

    Jim A Professional

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    We had I think 8 out of 12 from our team bumped up

    Based on who was bumped there was only 1 player who I was surprised stayed at 3.0 as he and his partner played almost exclusively. My thought is that he didn't play Twilight with us and his partner had a blowout win @ Districts. The other players on our squad either had poor seasons or are 3.0 stalwarts. One of our players I think only played in 3 matches all season, but had a good win @ Districts that likely put him over the top.

    I was a bit surprised at some of the players who were bumped up when looking at some of my opponents from throughout the year. A total of 17 out of 24 opponents were bumped up as well. I do think its the right thing, especially at 3.0.
     
    #45
  46. Fedace

    Fedace Banned

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    When is it coming out anyway ?
     
    #46
  47. HitItHarder

    HitItHarder Semi-Pro

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    One of my teamates successfully auto appealed after his bump up to a 3.5. Another teamate appealed and was denied. Interesting thing about the successful appeal is he played in 7 matches (plus a couple tournaments), so the rumored automatic denial if you played in 6 matches must not be true (at least for the Southern Section or SC).

    From a general standpoint, almost all of the top players from our local league got bumped. Should make for lots of new faces representing our Local League at State.
     
    #47
  48. herrburgess

    herrburgess Rookie

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    Remember that the 6 matches have to be ones recognized by the computer (i.e. not 6-0 6-0 matches or matches against non-computer-rated players). Also, didn't making the playoffs mean your teammates and you got benchmark ratings? I thought those can't be appealed? Or is this a different team you're referring to?
     
    #48
  49. HitItHarder

    HitItHarder Semi-Pro

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    This is our adult spring league team, not combo. All our our benchmark ratings are from going to sectionals two years ago as 2.5s. This was our first year as a 3.0 team.

    I double checked and one of the matches likely wouldn't count because he lost to a guy that got a mid-year DQ. So that would bring him down to 6 played matches. I am guessing that one of the other matches must have been against some self-rated players or something.

    I saw that you got the double bump. I only know of one person here in the PD that happened to.
     
    #49
  50. herrburgess

    herrburgess Rookie

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    Two of the guys we played at States in the spring (from LCTA) got double-bumped (matter of fact, my partner and I were the only ones to beat them all year, including at Sectionals). Also I know of one (sandbagger) guy from LATA that got double-bumped.
     
    #50

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