Australian Open predictions and surface comparison

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by dandelion_smiley, Jan 17, 2011.

  1. dandelion_smiley

    dandelion_smiley Banned

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    #1
  2. dandelion_smiley

    dandelion_smiley Banned

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    Federer's win % probability against certain players:

    Against:
    Nadal 64 %
    Soderling 75 %
    Djokovic 80 %
    Roddick 83 %
    Nalbandian 88%
    Del Potro 87 %
    Davydenko 88 %
    Berdych 83 %
    Cilic 92 %

    there's no Andy Murray...weird, but there's Jamie Murray

    86 % against Simon
    100 % against Falla lol
     
    #2
  3. rainingaces

    rainingaces Legend

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    Seems accurate enough, might use this for the pridiction league if its not cheating.

    Jaime murray has a 45% chance against dimitrov find that hard to believe.
     
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  4. dandelion_smiley

    dandelion_smiley Banned

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    Nadal vs:

    Davydenko 76 % (that's odd given he lost the last 4 matches)
    Djokovic 64 %
    Berdych 65 %
    Del Potro 76 %
    Ferrer 73 % (way too low)
    Melzer 81 %
    Nalbandian 75 %
    Roddick 69 %
    Simon 74 % (wtf)
    Tsonga 85 %
    Lacko 96 %

    Donald Young 100%
     
    #4
  5. NadalAgassi

    NadalAgassi Guest

    On Davydenko are you talking just this Australian Open or in general. Nadal to beat Davydenko in a slam is of course probable, even on hard courts. Davydenko is a renowned big match choker.

    Berydch at 65%, LOL! Nadal is a terrible matchup for even Berdych at his best, 99% is more like it.

    Remember on Ferrer he has beaten Nadal in the past and often gives him competitive matches. He has a better shot than Berdych really.
     
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  6. dandelion_smiley

    dandelion_smiley Banned

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    I don't know what it's based on, recent form? ATP points accummulated? records in Slams, on hard courts? head-to-head?

    I think they would easily make a case for Blake being a threat for Nadal on hard courts but look where he is now...Nadal would stand at something like 105% to win a match vs Blake now
     
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  7. TheNatural

    TheNatural Legend

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    Those %'s account for the possibility of Nadal playing injured or getting injured during the matches. That adds an extra 20-30% chance to Nadal's opponents chances compared to playing uninjured Nadal.
     
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