Agree with most , but not all your points ..... Its a combination of the BH weakness and mental weakness vs nadal and not just one of them. @ the bold & underlined part: He almost did, except for dubai 2006, he won the 4 other matches , 2 at wimbledon and 2 at the TMC. Aren't you putting too much of focus on the dubai match ? He's shown mental weakness vs nadal too often but there have been occasions where's he's held on well ... Wimbledon 2007 final being the best of them all, saving 2 BPs twice in the final set . Miami 2005 - coming from being down 2 sets to love. nearly came from being down 2 sets to love in wimbledon 2008 as well ......... 2006 wimbledon final, federer took the 4th set rather easily as well ....The third set, nadal had 20 winners to 3 UEs and only won it in the TB.I wouldn't read too much into losing a set to someone playing at that level in a set ..