#1 Middlebury vs. #5 Amherst, today at 1pm Eastern. Live video is here. Midd and Amherst have played once this season, Middlebury taking a 5-4 victory. Honestly I don't think this match will be that close. Midd's #3 player, Conrad Olson (who played #1 last year and was among the top 5 players in the nation) was injured for that match and held out of singles. It's been a wild week for Moritz Koenig, the 'Herst #3. Amherst played #2 Emory in the national quarterfinals and was swept in doubles. Against Emory, a 3-0 hole should be completely unsurmountable, since Emory has two near-automatic wins at #1 and #2 singles. But Tuesday, this was not the case. Amherst pulled off huge upsets at 1 and 2 and miraculously tied the match at 4-4 with only Koenig's match remaining. Koenig kept Amherst's season alive with a tense third set tiebreak win, denying Emory their NINTH straight Final Four appearance. Then, in the national semifinal against #3 Claremont Mudd-Scripps, the Jeffs were down 4-3 in the match needing two third set victories at #3 and #4. Wes Waterman stormed to a 5-2 lead at #4, so it looked like Amherst's season would again come down to Koenig's match at #3. Again, the third set went to a tiebreak at 6-6. In the end, Koenig saved five match points in the third set and won 4-6, 6-0, 7-6 (11-9). Koenig's opponent today will be Middlebury's Olson, the best #3 player in DIII. If Amherst's hero can steal another one, Midd might be in trouble. I think Midd should win at #2 and #3 doubles, and Amherst will need to take #1 to stay alive. 2-1 Midd after doubles. Amherst's sophomore Chafetz has been unstoppable lately. He's won eight straight matches, including taking down Emory's Dillon Pottish (the consensus national #1) in straight sets and a few other top 10 players as well. He won 2 and 1 against Midd earlier this season and needs to repeat that success again today. Tied 2-2. The matches at #4 and #5 should be over in straight sets. Despite strong recent play by Waterman and Doerfler from Amherst, Midd's 4 in ranked in the top 20 nationally and their 5 has yet to drop a set in the tournament. 4-2 Midd. I see this match ending at 5-2 Middlebury with a clinching win somewhere in the bottom of the lineup, maybe #6. Amherst has a chance at #2 and #3, but those matches will probably both be decided in three sets, so the Jeffs will need some more magic to win a title. If they take the lead in doubles, watch out...we could see another deciding third set at #3, and after the past couple days that's a situation Midd does not want to be in.