fed will be 3.40 odds against rafa in final

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by Halba, May 28, 2010.

  1. Halba

    Halba Professional

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    assuming rafa/fed make it and both in good form he will be 3.40 odds

    rafa will be around 1.30, lower if he shows spectacular form/
     
    #1
  2. OKUSA

    OKUSA Hall of Fame

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    not bad actually
     
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  3. slicefox

    slicefox Banned

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    and... who are these noobs to call out the odds?
     
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  4. Nadalfan89

    Nadalfan89 Hall of Fame

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    Professional odds makers. Just face it, your idol sucks on clay.
     
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  5. abraxas21

    abraxas21 Professional

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    That's not possible. It would generate arbitrage oportunities (winning with no risk at all).

    Suppose you bet 100 on Rafa and then bet 100 on Roger. By those odds, you'd win (130-100)=30 if Rafa wins and win (340-100)=240 if Roger wins. You'd win in any case and that's not possible.


    That unless i'm interpreting the betting payoffs the wrong way.
     
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  6. Cup8489

    Cup8489 Legend

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    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Yeah, Federer's terrible on clay.
     
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  7. jigar

    jigar Professional

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    ^^ LoL....
     
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  8. OKUSA

    OKUSA Hall of Fame

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    i'm guessing these are the odds of straight set victories
     
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  9. Strateon

    Strateon New User

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    I'm not getting you.

    If you bet 100 on both, means you spend 200 in total right?

    First case scenario, if rafa wins, you spend 200 to gain 130 bucks. So 130-200= -70. Not exactly a profit right?

    Second case, if fed wins, you spend 200 to gain 340, so u earn 340-200=140 right?
     
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  10. OddJack

    OddJack Legend

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    bookies set the odds based on previous performances. There are other variables that they dont know about, or dont care. e.g. Nadal injuries in last year's FO. Nobody knew he was injured till he lost.
    Its the same for this year.
     
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  11. Ray Mercer

    Ray Mercer Semi-Pro

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    Federer's the greatest but I wouldn't take him over Nadal in a 5 set match on clay at 5 to 1 odds.
     
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  12. Nadalfan89

    Nadalfan89 Hall of Fame

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    I should reiterate - Federer sucks on clay compared to Nadal.
     
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  13. sh@de

    sh@de Hall of Fame

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    You mean correct yourself? You never said Fed sucks on clay compared to Nadal, you just said Fed sucks on clay. So you can't have been reiterating anything.
     
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  14. KingOfTennis

    KingOfTennis Professional

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    bahahahaha *********. anyone is good on clay if they can reach atleast the quarters consistently
     
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  15. [osu]ilovecows

    [osu]ilovecows Rookie

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    Apparently you forgot that it actually cost $200 to bet on both players? How is that so hard to understand?
     
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  16. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

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    I guess all those Nadal's RG and clay masters titles don't mean much then given that he beat such a crappy claycourter in the final most of the time? Thank you for opening our eyes to how overrated claycourter Nadal is and how this is such a weak claycourt era to have guy who sucks on clay reach 4finals in a row and win a title.
     
    #16
  17. angiebaby

    angiebaby Semi-Pro

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    Wait, you didn't know that already?

    :twisted:


    In all seriousness, Fed isn't a bad clay courter by any stretch of the imagination. He's just not as good as Rafa. But is anybody really?
     
    #17
  18. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

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    Of course Nadal is a much better claycourter than Fed but Fed is still a pretty damn good one.Saying that a guy who has FO title,reached 4 FO finals in a row and has 5 masters on clay "sucks" on that surface is completely clueless.
     
    #18

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