Federer's walking to the no1 spot has just begun !

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by sheq, Mar 18, 2012.

  1. sheq

    sheq Professional

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    I made some calculations after IW final and realize that how much roger has a chance to regain no1 spot just after the shanghai.

    So if there something wrong please correct it.

    Djokovic (12.670): he has 9.320 points to defend till the end of the Shanghai.

    Nadal (10.175): he has 8.325 points to defend till the end of the Shanghai.

    Federer (9.350): he has 3.540 points to defend till the end of the Shanghai.

    Murray (7.450): he has 5.990 points to defend till the end of the Shanghai.

    Whats your thoughts about his chance ?
     
    #1
  2. Nathaniel_Near

    Nathaniel_Near G.O.A.T.

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    Relax folks, ...
    Did the other thread get deleted?

    I think his chances are not bad at regaining no.1 for a short while, but ending the year as no.1, that will go to whoever creams the Majors the most, in likelihood.
     
    #2
  3. sheq

    sheq Professional

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    I agree. To finish the year as the no1 he have to repeat his last year end performance.

    However, if he can regain the spot he might finish strong as well. It depends on mostly Us open and Wimbledon.
     
    #3
  4. Nathaniel_Near

    Nathaniel_Near G.O.A.T.

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    Relax folks, ...
    Yeh, well Roger is very confident right now and if he can sniff no.1 it might spur him on to some great things. He still needs a Slam, though. I'm liking his proficiency on serve and his no nonsense aggression, and he is certainly stamping his authority onto matches. At the same time, he's also moving very well and making some incredible gets and turning more points around from disadvantageous positions than he was before his run started in Basel last year. I actually think he's moved up another half level in form in comparison to what it was during his hat trick of titles at the tail-end of 2011.
     
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  5. timnz

    timnz Hall of Fame

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    First Goal/Second Goal

    I think Roger's first goal is to get the number 1 for just 2 more weeks so he can get the record (he is at 285 weeks and Sampras is at 286 weeks). After that he might reset is sights for a year end number 1 - but first things first.
     
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  6. Polaris

    Polaris Hall of Fame

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    Way too early to say, IMO.

    I'm just shocked that Federer has won 3 consecutive tournaments. That's already enough enjoyment for me, so I'm trying not to expect too much. One tournament at a time.
     
    #6
  7. Nathaniel_Near

    Nathaniel_Near G.O.A.T.

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    Relax folks, ...
    I'll make it clear now that I don't expect him to do anymore than Defend his semi-final points in Miami. Anyway, we'll see what happens.
     
    #7
  8. tennis_pro

    tennis_pro G.O.A.T.

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    Let's look at the draw, first.

    (Let me guess, Del Potro in round 4 as usual?)
     
    #8
  9. Nathaniel_Near

    Nathaniel_Near G.O.A.T.

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    Relax folks, ...
    Lol. Never in doubt.
     
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  10. rodrigoamaral

    rodrigoamaral Hall of Fame

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    Would love to happen but not happening in 2012
     
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  11. boredone3456

    boredone3456 Hall of Fame

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    Well points wise he has the most to gain and least to lose but just because he has the fewest to defend does not mean he is gonna walk to it. He needs to win at least 1 of the remaining 3 majors..likely 2 and probably prau djokovic doesnt win any and probably not make any finals. He will also have to hope he keeps making finals at least a lot of the rest of the year and that sjoker burns big. It may look possible..and it is..but I think its a long shot
     
    #11
  12. TopFH

    TopFH Hall of Fame

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    If Fed wins one major and gets enough points from the other M1000s, he will do it. Especially if Djokodal start losing before finals.
     
    #12
  13. jigar

    jigar Professional

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    #13
  14. Cup8489

    Cup8489 Legend

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    That's what is so surprising. Federer may not have won australia, but he's pretty much swept every other big event this year. I won't say much about the FO as we know it's a long shot for him to win it, but if he does... who knows what could happen.
     
    #14
  15. dudeski

    dudeski Hall of Fame

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    GOAT happens.
     
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  16. joeri888

    joeri888 G.O.A.T.

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    ATP Ranking points since after Miami last year:

    1. Djokovic 11.670
    2. Nadal 9.575
    3. Federer 8.990
    4. Murray 7.455

    ATP ranking points since after MC and Barcelona last year:

    1. Djokovic 11.420
    2. Federer 8.990
    3. Nadal 8.075
    4. Murray 7.105

    ATP ranking points since after Madrid last year:

    1. Djokovic 10.420
    2. Federer 8.630
    3. Nadal 7.475
    4. Murray 7.015

    ATP ranking points since after Rome last year:

    1. Djokovic 9.420
    2. Federer 8.360 (+400?)
    3. Nadal 6.875
    4. Murray 6.655

    ATP ranking points since after Roland Garros last year:

    1. Djokovic 8.700
    2. Federer 7.160
    3. Murray 5.935
    4. Nadal 4.875

    ATP ranking points since after Wimbledon last year:
    1. Federer 6.800
    2. Djokovic 6.700
    3. Murray 4.965
    4. Nadal 3.630
     
    #16
  17. sureshs

    sureshs Bionic Poster

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    Only Slams matter
     
    #17
  18. Polaris

    Polaris Hall of Fame

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    Dude, I know you like to troll and such, but what do you think you are accomplishing with this pettiness. It's like, "I'll light a match, and let's see how many suckers are angered enough to get into a flame war". Then, when that flaming subsides, "Let's light another match, and let's do it all over again."

    Why? Do you actually like doing this? If so, is there nothing better to do than increasing useless traffic on an internet forum? Or, do you think that you are smart (which you definitely are) and so you should employ sarcasm to show people the folly of their ways?

    And as regards your comment, we all know that "Only Slams matter." But, you see, old man Fed won a Masters Series tournament without choking. Throw us grateful fans a tiny bone, ok?
     
    #18
  19. cc0509

    cc0509 G.O.A.T.

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    Exactly how I feel. Let's not get ahead of ourselves but what a joy these last few tournaments have been! :mrgreen:
     
    #19
  20. KHSOLO

    KHSOLO Semi-Pro

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    Ya, same here and hes been playing the most wonderfull game ever really, more mature, more complete
     
    #20
  21. cc0509

    cc0509 G.O.A.T.

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    I really hope not, it is getting stupid already and Del Potro is officially Roger's b-tch now. Boring!
     
    #21
  22. kOaMaster

    kOaMaster Hall of Fame

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    he is somehow on the right track though - key for the number one spot would be, to win one or at least do better than last year in the following 3 majors. this will be very hard to do, because it's not like he did bad back in 2011. A final, a SF and a QF isn't what usually comes by.

    this.
     
    #22
  23. Bobby Jr

    Bobby Jr Legend

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    Nice list.. Thanks for doing the calcs so we can see it after each milestone.

    By the looks of it anyone at all other than the top 3 winning Wimbledon or the US Open would actually benefit Federer since (especially at Wimbledon) Nadal and Djokovic have the most to lose from a loss.

    Federer will be cheering on Tsonga, Berdych, Del Potro in any slam match against Nadal or Djokovic.
     
    #23
  24. seattle_1hander

    seattle_1hander Rookie

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    The most important tournament is Wimbledon. It'll be around that time that he may have it within reach, and it is at that major he has the most points to pickup. A QF Loss to Winning the Tournament just might put him over the top. Needs a GREAT Clay Court season though...and maybe a win in Madrid or something. It's possible
     
    #24
  25. kaku

    kaku Professional

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    It's very possible that Fed can get to number one and finish something like 2 this year, but I don't see it happening. I see Fed taking #2 for a bit, but Rafa will take it back.
     
    #25
  26. dudeski

    dudeski Hall of Fame

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    I am glad you agree that Fed with record number of slams is the GOAT.
     
    #26
  27. tistrapukcipeht

    tistrapukcipeht Professional

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    Federer is only 825 points behind Nadal, if Nadal crashes out earlier and Federer manages to win Miami, He will take that #2 in less than a month.
     
    #27
  28. cknobman

    cknobman Legend

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    Its like your reading my mind. Im just going to sit back, relax, and enjoy. Try not to expect too much and just relish watching roger play well while it lasts.
     
    #28
  29. RogerRacket111

    RogerRacket111 Semi-Pro

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    Why can't you use comma (,) like a normal person instead of decimal point (.) ? They are two different things you know. Unless you put a k at the end that might work :)
     
    #29
  30. Rhino

    Rhino Legend

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    Of course he has a chance. He keeps surprising us all during the last six months and if he can keep this level up then it's a very real possibility.

    Having said that, if Djokovic wins Wimbledon this year, that would probably be enough to stop Federer.
     
    #30
  31. sheq

    sheq Professional

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    the things federer is doing these days make my days :) I am really happy seeing him kind of dominating except Slams of course.
     
    #31
  32. niff

    niff Legend

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    #32
  33. sheq

    sheq Professional

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    We use decimal point instead of comma for seperating thousands. I dont know your rules about using commas and dots very well :)
     
    #33
  34. sheq

    sheq Professional

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    People around here doesnt exactly know the point systems so well. You know roger doesnt have to win everything to reach the top. Plus, djokovic or nadal dont have to fall before the semis or something neither.

    I mean djokovic won everything last season around these times. He will have to do the same which I dont expect this time. Even he reachs final regularly but cant win he will lost tones of points ? Same with rafa, if he cant reach finals he will lose tones of points beacuse there is so much point differences between winning it or being just finalist or between being finalist and couldnt reach finals.
     
    #34
  35. celoft

    celoft Guest

    I concur...................
     
    #35
  36. Sentinel

    Sentinel Talk Tennis Guru

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    Thanks, bookmark this for future reference, guys :D
     
    #36
  37. mattennis

    mattennis Hall of Fame

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    What Federer is doing in the last 6 months is just amazing. He has lost only one match (SF in the AusOpen) in his last 8 tournaments.

    He has been clearly the best in the last 6 months, and pointwise he is the best of the last 8 months too.

    He is almost a lock for nº2 and he has great chances to get to nº1 too in the following months.

    At 30 years old he mantains himself in perfect physical and mental shape.

    In the moment Nadal and Djokovic go down a little bit (like what is happening right now) Federer will raise to the very top.

    The level (and consistency) he is playing at 30......it is just formidable.

    Possibly the best tennis player of the Open Era (even though I usually don't compare players from different eras, because of all the changes in so many things).

    Enjoy it while it lasts, because you will never see again a player like Roger Federer.
     
    #37

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