How far will Fed go?

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by Jeffrey573639, Jan 11, 2013.

?

How far?

  1. 1st Round

    2 vote(s)
    3.0%
  2. 2nd Round

    2 vote(s)
    3.0%
  3. 3rd Round

    1 vote(s)
    1.5%
  4. 4th Round

    3 vote(s)
    4.5%
  5. QF

    8 vote(s)
    12.1%
  6. SF

    17 vote(s)
    25.8%
  7. Final

    11 vote(s)
    16.7%
  8. Win it all

    22 vote(s)
    33.3%
  1. Jeffrey573639

    Jeffrey573639 Semi-Pro

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    In AO ofc
    Vote in the poll
     
    #1
  2. tennis_pro

    tennis_pro G.O.A.T.

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    I'd give it a:

    5% - loses before the QF
    20% - loses in the QF
    30% - loses in the SF
    35% - loses in the final
    10% - wins the tournament
     
    #2
  3. Bartelby

    Bartelby G.O.A.T.

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    Underprepared and tough draw so it could even be the second round.
     
    #3
  4. forzamilan90

    forzamilan90 Legend

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    Idk semis? I'll just go match and match and judge on form
     
    #4
  5. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    He will make at least the semis and could well win it.

    Some Sexi fans going a bit OTT over his draw.
     
    #5
  6. kalyan4fedever

    kalyan4fedever Hall of Fame

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    Murraa will push his way to the victory :)
     
    #6
  7. Carsomyr

    Carsomyr Hall of Fame

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    He is going to be 32. The QF streak isn't going to last forever. And some of these youngsters have to emerge sometime. I really think Tomic has a pretty good chance at an upset. He's played well of late and I think he wants to send a message.
     
    #7
  8. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    Not for another 7 months or so.

    Tomic is playing well and will have a puncher's chance I suppose, but Roger will be strong odds-on favourite.

    There will come a time when I lower my expectations of Roger at slams - but it's not this time.
     
    #8
  9. joeri888

    joeri888 G.O.A.T.

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    I voted semis. I think this is Roger's worst surface against the big 4 (except for Rafa on clay) and he'll have some tough matches before facing Murray. I see Murray as the favourite for that one.
     
    #9
  10. kishnabe

    kishnabe G.O.A.T.

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    The one place he hasn't lost in the quarters or lower since 2003. I doubt it will be this year where he loses early.

    He can reach the semifinals.....with 1 scary match in the early rounds. From then on...it would be hard to tell.

    2004 RG, 2010 RG.
    2010 SW.
    2012 US.
     
    #10
  11. zam88

    zam88 Professional

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    This could be the tournament where Roger has his Rosol moment against someone like Raonic.... but honestly depending on how he looks i think he can advance to the quarters...

    in the Quarters if it's Tsonga then he is hit or miss... could be hitting hard, or could wilt away. Tsonga has that one win over Roger in the 2010 wimbledon, but honestly Roger was playing pretty bad at that time... and Tsonga just started beasting in that match.

    if he wins there he gets Murray... we know that guys don't win slams right after their maiden slam.... we know that other than in the Olympics (after Roger got pushed to the brink by DelPO) that Roger wins 5 sets matches vs. Andy.

    If Djoker makes the final, and barring injury, he should, then the problems would really start.

    If it was anyone other than Djoker, Roger would be HEAVILY favored.... can you imagine if it was Ferru or something? LOL.

    Why is it that Roger has seemed to always get the crap end of the 1/2/3/4 draw.. he drew Djoker rather than murray for years when they were 3/4... . drew Nadal last year... but almost never draws murray
     
    #11
  12. Bobby Jr

    Bobby Jr Legend

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    It's still amazing though that his worst result at the Aussie Open since 2003 is still better than his worst result at any of the other majors (multiple occasions in the case of Wimbledon).
     
    #12
  13. Duncan Bell

    Duncan Bell Hall of Fame

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    Except we've heard of Raonic, and Raonic is good. No comparison..
     
    #13
  14. nikdom

    nikdom Hall of Fame

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    ^^ Good point Bobby. That is indeed amazing especially given that pretty much everyone is refreshed at the beginning of the year and raring to go, even the early rounders.

    But back to the thread title, it's difficult to say. As a Fed fan, the more likely scenario for me is that he makes at least the quarters. I'm not that optimistic about him going all the way. Like Roger said in the interview recently, when the matches become night matches (QF on?) that's when the extra 30% slowness affects his weapons.
     
    #14
  15. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

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    My prediction is that he'll lose in 4 sets to Murray in SF and have a 5 set scare on the way.
     
    #15
  16. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

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    Here, fixed it for you.
     
    #16
  17. Duncan Bell

    Duncan Bell Hall of Fame

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    I think that's a solid prediction, can definitely see that.
     
    #17
  18. Gonzo_style

    Gonzo_style Hall of Fame

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    Davydenko will get his revenge in 2R
     
    #18
  19. Carsomyr

    Carsomyr Hall of Fame

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    Your fingers might break if you cross them that hard.
     
    #19
  20. Smasher08

    Smasher08 Hall of Fame

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    The Canadian Cannon hasn't been playing that well lately. He has a decent ranking, but he really hasn't had a breakthrough tournament yet . . . Unlike JJ.

    In any event, I expect Fed's QF streak to remain intact. The two matches after that will be complete coin tosses.
     
    #20
  21. 3fees

    3fees Hall of Fame

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    Federer has a tougher draw, he's good for semi finals and possible finals.


    _________________
    Good Luck
     
    #21
  22. veroniquem

    veroniquem Bionic Poster

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    I voted semi. (Unless Djoko got upset, in which case I think he would be super motivated to make the final, otherwise he won't sweat it, he knows he has no chance).
     
    #22
  23. FlashFlare11

    FlashFlare11 Hall of Fame

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    I'm pretty positive of his chances of making at least the semis. I'm absolutely positive that if he meets Murray in SFs, the only thing that'll be in Andy's mind will be the Olympic Singles final. Aside from that, I can't really see anyone really giving Federer a lot of scares before the final (Tsonga can, but this is a slower surface than Wimbledon, so I don't think it's as likely that he'll beat Roger).
     
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2013
    #23
  24. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    I think Federer makes the SFs and loses to Murray in 4 sets.
     
    #24
  25. West Coast Ace

    West Coast Ace G.O.A.T.

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    I can buy this. Raonic being the scare.
     
    #25
  26. Prisoner of Birth

    Prisoner of Birth Banned

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    Yeah, that'd be my guess too, but I'll say it'll be a 5-setter against Murray. Djokovic is taking this.
     
    #26
  27. SoBad

    SoBad Legend

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    He got a wildcard into QF, so QF I guess.
     
    #27
  28. Prisoner of Birth

    Prisoner of Birth Banned

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    Ridiculous post fueled by bias and hate. Why did Federer beat Djokovic at Roland Garros in 2011, then? Surely his chances there were no better than against Djokovic at the AO? Federer is a fighter, he fights every match and believes he can win. And he can, however unlikely.
     
    #28
  29. cc0509

    cc0509 G.O.A.T.

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    You don't know what Federer's form will be like in this slam. If Federer does make the final, Djokovic is the favorite but Federer ALWAYS has a chance. Depends what Federer shows up that day.
     
    #29
  30. TheCheese

    TheCheese Professional

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    He'll win of course. Nadal is not there to give him trouble.
     
    #30
  31. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    Like at the USO?
     
    #31

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