Is Federer more likely to win 28 slams or only 20?

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by federerfanatic, Feb 22, 2007.

?

Which is Federer more likely to win in his career?

  1. 28 slams

    20.0%
  2. 20 slams

    80.0%
  1. federerfanatic

    federerfanatic Banned

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    I think the most likely number of slams for Federer the great is either 28 or 20. I will explain why.

    He will want 28 slams perhaps because it would mean-10 Wimbledons, not just breaking the record but the first to do double digits which he knows he would always be the first to do even if somebody breaks his record in the future he will always be the first guy to double digits then. 8 U.S Opens, not just breaking the open era record but all time including pre-open era. 7 Australian Opens, not just breaking the open era record but all time including pre-open era. 3 French Opens, enough to be an all time great on clay, not just a great player on clay as if you win 3 times at the French it makes you one of the all time greats on clay.

    Or he will be satisfied with this following and not have the extra motivation to reach those heights. 8 Wimbledons, breaking the record of Sampras at 7 but not pushing for the first to be double digits. 6 U.S Opens, breaking open era record of 5 but not pre-open era record of 7. 5 Austalian Opens, breaking open era record of 4 but not pre-open era record of 6. 1 French Open, enough to compelete career slam and maybe calender slam, but not enough to be all time great on clay, just a great player on clay.

    I am going to try to make this into a poll. I am not sure if it will go through but if it went through right then you can vote. I am not quite sure how to make the polls here.
     
    #1
  2. Swissv2

    Swissv2 Hall of Fame

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    good to speculate, but at this point it is ONLY speculation.

    when we speak in terms of "all things considered...Fed will have 28 GS" then you might have not even considered the "all things" including:
    • Health
    • Fitness
    • Other players
    • Personal issues
    • A bit of luck
    • etc
    "all things considered (going well)" then Fed at least has a chance of breaking Pete's record.
     
    #2
  3. 8PAQ

    8PAQ Banned

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    Please don't be a Nadalgirl26. Please don't. She was saying same crap about Nadal last year, except with some intentional spelling mistakes.
     
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  4. shrakkie

    shrakkie Semi-Pro

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    Only?only? Only 20?!
     
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  5. federerfanatic

    federerfanatic Banned

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    Fed has won 10 slams the last 3.5 years. He has just as much improvement left as the younger players and can easily play atleast another 6 years. He also will not have a personal nemisis that keeps him from winning the French Open ever like Nadal forever. Nadal now struggles vs Roger head to head more and is already burning out so Federer will have more chances to win the French then in the past in addition to the other 3. 28 is very difficult but very realistic for Roger, 20 is quite likely in fact.
     
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  6. Polaris

    Polaris Hall of Fame

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    What? You are saying that Federer has as much scope for improvement as someone like Djokovic or Murray. This is absurd. Besides, 6 years is an eternity in tennis terms.
    It is amazing that you write "will not have a personal nemesis" with such certainty. As a poster already pointed out, this reminds everyone of nadalgirl26. It might not be a coincidence after all.
    He is currently at 10. 11 or 12 is difficult enough. Winning a GS is a function of a lot of things: talent (check), mental game (check), health (don't know), injury (don't know), an opponent on a hot streak (don't know), luck (don't know). If you really are a federer fanatic, as opposed to a troll, you would probably be appreciative of every single GS win, rather than assigning random targets as if this were a game of marbles.
     
    #6
  7. Polaris

    Polaris Hall of Fame

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    I wish TW could do something about people opening multiple accounts. We have a role-playing circus on our hands. Here is the latest: capriatifanatic = federerfanatic. Same style, same unintentional spelling mistakes.

    The number of accounts this user has is anybody's guess.
     
    Last edited: Feb 22, 2007
    #7
  8. hewittboy

    hewittboy Banned

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    I would guess around 26 slams. Since 26 is closer to 28 then 20 I will vote 28.
     
    #8
  9. Zimbo

    Zimbo Semi-Pro

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    Still to early to know for sure but I would bet my life savings that he won't win close to 28.
     
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  10. Fedexeon

    Fedexeon Hall of Fame

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    Winning 28 slams is beyong any mortals' abilities.
     
    #10
  11. Nick Irons

    Nick Irons Semi-Pro

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    Roger will win Wimby only this year (after Aussie). RG is Rafa's and the US Open will be Andy Murray
     
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  12. federerfanatic

    federerfanatic Banned

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    Rafa will win the butt picking contest at Roland Garros. Federer will win the trophy. Murray wont win the U.S Open. Federer wont show up tired for the match like he did in Cincinnati if they play there.
     
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  13. SoBad

    SoBad Legend

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    My sweet Safin will.......................slams.............................., so no more slams for Federer, sorry!
     
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  14. MTF07

    MTF07 Semi-Pro

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    Are you kidding me? Those numbers are absurd. 28 slams?? I dont think so, nor do I think he'll even approach that number.
     
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  15. caulcano

    caulcano Hall of Fame

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    Indeed, 28 is absurd, considering he's only won 10 atm.

    With only 2 option a would have thought 16 or 22 would have been a better number.
     
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  16. FedFan_2007

    FedFan_2007 Banned

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    Another retarded troll thread. Fed will be lucky to win 15 slams.
     
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  17. dozu

    dozu Banned

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    i voted 28, double up the current record and put the argument to rest, once and for all.

    but maybe not, because still, his rivals are weaker..... sigh... what can you do.
     
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  18. fastdunn

    fastdunn Legend

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    I think it would something like 15.
     
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  19. BeckerFan

    BeckerFan Rookie

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    I don't understand how anyone can be making Grand Slam predictions yet.

    As always, we won't have a good sense of how things stand for Roland Garros until well into the clay season. That part of the year, especially, is often filled with surprises.

    The strongest bet is probably Federer at Wimbledon. But even then, who knows?
     
    #19
  20. TheNatural

    TheNatural Legend

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    if he plays 6 more years he could end up with 24 more slams, totalling 34. SO allowing for 6 losses, 28 seems like a good target. He can lose one slam a year for the next 6 years. For 20 slams , he can lose 14 slams in the next 6 years. Thats too mnay to lose. I think i'll vote 28.
     
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  21. fastdunn

    fastdunn Legend

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    I think Federer has more chance to win French Open than
    to achieve 6 year #1.
     
    #21
  22. Budgerigar

    Budgerigar Rookie

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    let's not count the bush before we get bird in hand, even 20 is a long way off.
     
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  23. noeledmonds

    noeledmonds Professional

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    This is madness? You realise Graf had 15 slams by this stage in her career (and 18 by the end of the equivalent year). She still only went on to win 22 and she had everything running in her favour (lack of competition [Seles], proved sucess at all the slams etc.). I think Federer will win about 15 or 16 slams.
     
    #23
  24. dukemunson

    dukemunson Rookie

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    might just be the most ridiculous thread I have ever read...28!!! Please tell me that even the Federer fanatics are writing this in jest...he's won 10 out of the last 11 so that means he'll win at least 18 out of ght enxt 20...tennis, sports, life dont work like that....do you seriousaly suppose this level of domination can continue forever? Have a bit of common sense, I mean im all for an outrageous post or two perhaps followed up by a ridiculous prediction but to say this in any form of seriousness is delussion beyond comprehension...
     
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  25. lambielspins

    lambielspins Banned

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    I think 20 slams for Fed will be easy. Whether he goes far beyond that or not I am not sure. We will see.
     
    #25
  26. lambielspins

    lambielspins Banned

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    Dont be silly, there is nobody coming up who will stop him from being #1 before the end of 2009 or 2010 anyway. Who would it be. Gael Monfils? Marcos Bhagdatis? Burnt out Nadal? Andy Roddick? Richard Gasquet? Andy Murray? Sorry no serious candidates. At the very least he will end the year #1 6 or 7 times
     
    #26
  27. drakulie

    drakulie Talk Tennis Guru

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    28 is out of the question.

    27???? >>> Very attainable.
     
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  28. FedFan_2007

    FedFan_2007 Banned

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    I stand by my prediction. Fed will win slam #15 in 2009 at Wimbledon.

    Slam #11 2007 FO
    Slam #12 2007 Wimbledon
    Slam #13 2007 US Open
    Slam #14 2008 Wimbeldon
     
    #28
  29. drakulie

    drakulie Talk Tennis Guru

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    ^^^^^ I sure hope so. I f he wins out 2007 we would be witness to one of the greatest achievements in this sport.
     
    #29
  30. danb

    danb Professional

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    You are far fetching... I think it will be more like 15 or 16 grand slams - best case scenario for Federer.
     
    #30
  31. lambielspins

    lambielspins Banned

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    15-16 slams is more like the absolute worst case scenario. To say 15-16 is a best case scenario is ludricious.
     
    #31
  32. BeckerFan

    BeckerFan Rookie

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    10 is the 'absolute worst case scenario.'

    Tragedy has been known to strike in tennis.

    It would be ludicrous to assume anything.
     
    #32
  33. severus

    severus Rookie

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    Hmm..........
     
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  34. freedomtennis

    freedomtennis Rookie

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    haha he has 16 now
     
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  35. himynameisNIKE

    himynameisNIKE Professional

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    :shock: oh my
     
    #35
  36. stapler

    stapler Professional

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    [​IMG]
     
    #36
  37. djokovicgonzalez2010

    djokovicgonzalez2010 G.O.A.T.

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    Jesus, unban him that is an epic win.
     
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  38. Lotto

    Lotto Professional

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    An absolutely RIDICULOUS prediction lol. Fair play..however, the FO 07 and Wimbledon 08 make it slightly imperfect im afraid :(
     
    #38
  39. kishnabe

    kishnabe G.O.A.T.

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    WOW...JUST WOW:shock:!
     
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  40. TMF

    TMF Talk Tennis Guru

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    Too bad FedFan_2007 got banned. I want to hear his prediction after 2012.
     
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  41. Blade0324

    Blade0324 Hall of Fame

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    He's going to actually go backwards. The ITF and ATP are going to find out that he has actually been a cyborg sent from the future and take his slams away.

    In all seriousness I don't see him winning even 20. I would actually hope that the number of slams he wins from here out is zero.
     
    #41
  42. SLD76

    SLD76 Legend

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    50 slams easily since as a GOAT candidate Fed will not lose in any slam finals, which he will undoubtedly reach.
     
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  43. plum556

    plum556 Semi-Pro

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    I think the total amount of slams Fed will ultimately win will have a lot to do whether or not Rafa can come back healthy and be at least close to the form he was in when he peaked. I think a healthy Rafa is the one tennis player out there right now that can give Fed a consistent threat at AO and Wimby. I think Rafa would be the favorite at RG. If Rafa does not come back to his true form.........I believe Fed will win at least 4-6 more slams. I believe he will have a lock on Wimby and close to a lock on AO. He will surely have players like Delpo and Murray and even the up and coming Cilic who would be very real threats at the USO. Even without Rafa there are quite a few players who could beat him on clay. I'm going to say that Fed will probably end up with about 20 slams before his career ends providing he stays healthy.
     
    #43
  44. davey25

    davey25 Banned

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    I am not sure who you think those players are. Djokovic is the next best clay courter, but his level has fallen off and he isnt a big threat to beat Federer in a slam in the near future I dont think. Murray on clay, forget it. Del Potro could perhaps, but he would need to be fit and injury free, and that isnt a good bet for him neccessarily. Davydenko, no way. Soderling, I doubt it. Anyone I havent mentioned yet, no way. I know people will talk about something like Federer's close match with Haas last year but that was the day after Nadal lost. Put that match on any other day and I doubt it is even close.

    As for the U.S Open I agree Federer will have competition there but that has been his most dominant slam probably overall, despite that he has won 1 more Wimbledon. He rarely has even been pushed too hard there. Last years final was mediocre for his standards and still could have won in 3 sets if he were a bit more focused in the 2nd. That was also vs Del Potro who I agree with you is probably his toughest competition of anyone he could face there. I dont think he is a shoo in there but I would certainly see him as the favorite at this moment.
     
    #44
  45. plum556

    plum556 Semi-Pro

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    You are right Davey is used a poor choice of words..... I should have said threats against him on clay instead of beat him on clay. On the other hand I do believe a player like Soderling or Davydenko could upset Federer on clay. Players like Delpo,Murray and even Cilic could be very viable threats at USO and AO(IMO). Wimbledon is a total different game......here is where I feel he will have the most domination without a healthy Rafa. I am not going by what Fed has done in the past because things have changed dramatically in the last couple of years on the men's tour. In looking forward I still see Fed winning most of his remaining slams at Wimby and AO. I think he has a lot more chance of being upset at USO or RG. I'm no tennis expert or anything, it's just the way I see it.
     
    #45
  46. djokovicgonzalez2010

    djokovicgonzalez2010 G.O.A.T.

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    ^ Agree. Wimby: Roddick's worse and worse, Rusty and Haas are perpetually injured, as is Rafa, Ferrero is too old, Wawrinka is a headcase and....those are about the only players that were ever any good.
     
    #46
  47. DownTheLine

    DownTheLine Hall of Fame

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    I voted 28, but I would be shocked if he got around 22-24.
     
    #47
  48. LetsGoRoddick

    LetsGoRoddick Professional

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    Where is Roddick by the way? He's dropped off the face of the Earth. He better step up by Wimbledon, or there's practically nobody with even a smidgen of a chance to down Fed.
     
    #48
  49. Ocean Drive

    Ocean Drive Hall of Fame

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    LMFAO to the people voting for 28. What the hell were they thinking?

    It is NOT happening.
     
    #49
  50. Robert_parker

    Robert_parker New User

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    i hope he'll make it to 20 though.
     
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