Had a new player on my team this year. He self-rated as a 3.5. He played three singles matches and won two of them. The Early Start ratings have him bumped to 4.0. The three matches he played: His two wins came against weak 3.5 players with weak records. His loss came to a strong 3.5 player, where he lost in a 3rd set tie break. I'm amazed that a 2-1 record record gets people bumped. Especially with 2 wins against players with mediocre records themselves. Is also seems odd to me that USTA would allow their computer model to bump a player after only 3 matches. 3 matches is not a large enough sampling to provide statistically significant data for a bump. In this case, if this player played a few more 3.5 matches, he would most likely lose a couple of them, and would not be getting bumped. Consequently, he will most likely lose most of his 4.0 matches, and will get bumped down next year. Why would USTA want to bump players up and down so frequently?