Making the 'Big 5'

La_Para

Rookie
I assume everybody knows about the Big four:

Rafael Nadal, better known as the king of clay, no one has dominated one surface like he did. besides his numerous achievements on the surface he's also completed the career grand slam and is currently in the posession of 11 slams.

Roger Federer, considered by many to be the GOAT of tennis, on basis of his achievements one of the best performing/most succesful players the game has ever seen. Possesses 17 slams at the moment.

Novak Djokovic, the man who broke the Fedal stronghold in 2011, a feat which many considered to be impossible. he is in possession of the third best season of all times according tot Tennis Magazine, and has cemented that position. Certainly no longer 'best of the rest'. Possesses 6 slams.

Andy Murray, a man who faced great adversity, who struggled, fought, and was ultimately awarded with olympic gold and his first slam. He was always at the heels of of the three above and seems to have gotten it all together. Possesses 1 one slam.

These four have been at the top of the game for I can't remember how long. Their consistency, and level of play, is amazing. At times is seems as if the number 5 position is the highest possible for the rest of the field. People at the number 5 position have come and gone, but none have been able to turn the Big 4 into a big 5.

The question I'm asking is as follows:
which of the players on tour, do you think, has/had the biggest possibilities of making the Big 4 a Big 5? What is it that gives your player the edge over the others, and what flaw is it that prevented him from doing so? If he fixed it, where do you think he would rank among the Big 5(going by supposed prime).

When talking about the flaw, please, no trolling. The flaw has to be something which the player has shown he can overcome. So no: Nishikori for 5 because if he had the Nadal forehand, Federer footwork and Djokovic backhand, he would own everybody, sort of thing. You would have to provide a match showing his forehand to be on par with Nadal, for example.

My pick for the guy I think had/has massive chances of making a Big 5 would be, believe it or not, Jo Wilfried Tsonga.
When I look at Tsonga I see a man full of possibilities. He's got a wicked forehand, great serve, seems to be dancing on court at times and has shown that he can have deft touch at the net:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RgPC0wEvug#t=41s
His backhand isn't his strongest shot, but when it's working he can deal some real damage, for example:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RgPC0wEvug#t=07m53s
His forehand can be quite imposing:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RgPC0wEvug#t=10m27s

Tsonga is quite a complete player/has a lot of variation, and has got multiple tools at his disposal to use. Despite all this he hasn't been able to become a Big 5 player, I think this is due to several reasons.

His Miami match vs Nadal shows several issues which have been recurrent throughout his career.
First of all,he's known for making bad choices:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RgPC0wEvug#t=06m18s
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RgPC0wEvug#t=05m10s

Something is not quite right in his head at times. If you've watched matches you'll know what I'm talking about. Going for 'miracle balls', forgetting whether he has a double of a single hander(jack of both backhands, master of none), playing shots which appear to be plain suicide when he thinks the point takes too long. A commentator once said that you never knew what could happen when you're up against Tsonga, as long as you keep the ball in play.

Secondly, It doesn't seem as if he's got the drive to realize all of his potential. I heard a commentator once praise him for being honest, he had said in a press conference that 'he didn't have what it takes' to go on court every day and practice like the top four does. He said it had gotten less when he got a new coach, promptly making the semi's of the AO 2013 where he lost a five setter vs Federer. I thought it was going in the right direction... but then he lost the next tournament(ABN Amro, rotterdam) where he went out in the first round...

Finally, I think he could lose a little bit more weight, not only would it make him faster on court, it would also make him less injury prone, wouldn't it?

You can say that Tsonga can improve on technical aspects(backhand, slice), but his main problem is a mental one. The times when he gets over them, he's a problematic threat to everyone on tour, including the big four.

If he could solve his problems, become more stable and look at things on a match to match basis, I could see him cement his place in the big 5. My pick of the big 5 would then be:
Federer
Nadal
Djokovic
Tsonga
Murray

I could definitely see see Tsonga overtake Murray, seeing as he's got a more agressive, more dominant type of play. Tsonga has said he has problems with Murray his playing style, but I think that if he gets over his mental problems he would be able to turn things around, securing the number four position in the big 5.
As to how he would fare against the other three, it's hard to imagine, but prime vs 'supposed prime' I think they have the edge over him. I don't see him beating them on a consistent basis, I'd guess 6 out of ten matches in favour of any of the top 3.
Note: The top 3 in my example are interchangeable, It's solely about your guy and what place he takes in the big 5. Whether it's Djokovic, Nadal or Federer at number 1 is of lesser importance. Important is whether or not they're above your pick in level of play. I hope to avoid arguments like whether Nadal is better than Federer this way. We already have more than enough of those, don't we?


Do you agree/disagree? If you do, then name your pick.
 

BHud

Hall of Fame
I don't think anyone will crack the "boys club" until one of them retires...then it will be the big three...they are that much better than the field.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
I assume everybody knows about the Big four:
I could definitely see see Tsonga overtake Murray, seeing as he's got a more agressive, more dominant type of play. Tsonga has said he has problems with Murray his playing style, but I think that if he gets over his mental problems he would be able to turn things around, securing the number four position in the big 5.

I think Tsonga has a worse H2H against Murray than against any of the other Top 4 players bar Federer. It's currently 1-7. The problems he has with Murray's playing style are just as he says...Murray is a worse match-up for him than any of the others. It's not a mental issue. It's about him either adapting his play to match Murray's style or staying focussed enough and playing aggressively enough to hit him off the court. So far he's not shown he's been able to do either. I actually think he has better chances against Federer, whom he beat at 2011 Wimbledon and took to the brink at this year's AO and Djokovic against whom he held multiple match points at 2012 Roland Garros. But I doubt he could ever beat 2 of the top 4 back to back.

In my opinion, Del Potro has always been the player with the most potential to join the top guys. He is the only one, apart from them, to have won a Slam (except past-it Lleyton Hewitt) and the only one to have shown that he can take at least 2 of them out back to back as he did at 2009 USO and recently again at Indian Wells. He has been and continues to be hampered by injury and fitness issues. These are what hold him back. If he could ever resolve them, I think he would definitely be up there and it would be:

Federer
Nadal
Djokovic
Murray
Del Potro

Tsonga would probably come next.
 
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J

JRAJ1988

Guest
Djokovic, Nadal and Federer in no particular order then Murray then the rest...and it will stay that way till either someone else really steps up their game...or one of the big 4 retires. The top four are in the top 4 down to talent and consistency...for now 5 years after September these 4 have been there...says a lot about their talent.
 

NRod2

Rookie
Dimitrov would be a flashy pick right now because of potential and opportunity. But being so far down the rankings, it could be possible that by the time he breaks into the top 5, Federer will be retired.

Del Potro, Tsonga and Berdych are the obvious choices, but with a rare exception of Del Potro's GS run, none of them have proved to have the physical and mental toughness to really make headway into the top 4.

I do like Wawrinka as a dark horse to possibly cause some waves at AO and USO in the next 3 years.
 

Relinquis

Hall of Fame
if ferrer were english or american it would be considered big five...

he's basically murray without the single slam, but far better looking.
 

firepanda

Professional
Ferrer's been 'the gatekeeper' for the last couple of years now. If anyone deserves to be in a 'top 5', it's him.
 

VeeSe

Rookie
if ferrer were english or american it would be considered big five...

he's basically murray without the single slam, but far better looking.

Also he's not as good at tennis. Not saying he's bad, I like him a lot, but he's no Murray.
 

veroniquem

Bionic Poster
I don't see a big 5 coming. Neither Delpo nor Tsonga have the consistency for that. Ferrer is in his 30s. Too late.
 
D

Deleted member 307496

Guest
There will never be a big five, as somebody ranked #5 will never make it past the quarterfinals in a slam without taking out a top guy first. And if they consistently take out a top guy in the quarterfinals, it would mean their ranking would drop below #5 and they would be somewhere from #6-7. So it will never work.
 
if ferrer were english or american it would be considered big five...

he's basically murray without the single slam, but far better looking.

I usually agree with you Relinquis, but you are trolling this time, right?
"Ferrer is basically Murray without a Slam" ? Really ?
Murray is part of the Big 4 not only because of his US Open win and the Gold he got last year but more so because he can beat the triumvirate of Fedalovic at almost every tournament or at least challenge them. He has a winning h2h against Fed, whom Ferrer has never beaten or even challenged. Can be toe to toe with Djoker and Nadal (well, at least on hard courts ). And has been part of the top 4 for at least 5 yrs.
So, NO. A big no. Ferrer is not a Murray without a Slam.

As far as the OP is concerned, I can only vouch for Del Potro, if he can only improve his consistency
 
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Relinquis

Hall of Fame
[...]
I'm sure Judy and Kim beg to differ! ;)

haha, the fact that you have to mention his mum... poor guy... but hey, kim is pretty enough to sort out the next generation of murrays ;)

just messing re the Ferrer = Murray - slam comment by the way, but i genuinely think there is a gap between murray and the other three at the moment. i think his clay game is what's missing. once he sorts that out he will be as complete as they are in terms of level of tennis currently being played.

i think Ferrer has resigned to not being in top 3. he's accepted his position, which is kinda sad. I would have liked to see him attempt "david vs golaith" scenarios (pun intended)... Whereas Murray is still fighting for more and could very well achieve it.
 
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mariecon

Hall of Fame
If Ferrer had another 4" on him (get your heads out of the gutter) he would be up there with the other 3 but he's limited by his height.
 

Relinquis

Hall of Fame
nah, imo, not limited by height, rather by his ambition... remember, for a long time tennis wasn't his passion.

it's a testament to his work ethic and talent that he is playing at such a high level, pwning 97%+ of the tour... if not more.
 

BHud

Hall of Fame
if ferrer were english or american it would be considered big five...

he's basically murray without the single slam, but far better looking.

Ummm...right...Ferrer is basically a gnat flying around the big 4...none of them have trouble beating him becasue he has no weapons. Why do you think a change in nationality would mean a change in status for him? When Roddick was hovering around #5, nobody thought of him as being in the same league as the others...
 

batz

G.O.A.T.
haha, the fact that you have to mention his mum... poor guy... but hey, kim is pretty enough to sort out the next generation of murrays ;)

just messing re the Ferrer = Murray - slam comment by the way, but i genuinely think there is a gap between murray and the other three at the moment. i think his clay game is what's missing. once he sorts that out he will be as complete as they are in terms of level of tennis currently being played.

i think Ferrer has resigned to not being in top 3. he's accepted his position, which is kinda sad. I would have liked to see him attempt "david vs golaith" scenarios (pun intended)... Whereas Murray is still fighting for more and could very well achieve it.

Talk to me about this gap that exists between Fedal and Murray at the moment

Is the gap there because, at the moment, unlike Murray, Fedal haven't made the last 3 slam finals or because Murray beat both of them the last time they met?

I see the 'career achievements' gap - in fact I see a yawning chasm that resembles the grand canyon. But an 'at the moment' gap?
 
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Ehh

Banned
Ferrer is an annoying bug that stops fans watching any decent matches, because he single-handedly manages to take anyone that could challenge the Big Three out of every tournament, and then proceeds to get swatted by the Big Three.

Is is indeed a strange situation when someone that gets beat so comprehensively by the Big Three can so comprehensively own those that actually can beat the Big Three. It is this phenomenon that prevents fans from watching decent matches in the later stages of big tournaments. Instead we get Ferrer/Djokovic, Ferrer/Federer, Ferrer/Nadal matches.
 

spinovic

Hall of Fame
Gotta be Delpo. He doesn't turn 25 until September and he's already won a slam. The wrist injury obviously set him back or he may have crashed the party already.

If he can stay healthy, he still has a chance, and the time to get to that level.

He's the only guy who has proven himself capable of slaying the giants, in succession, on the biggest stage. And he's still young. How can it be anyone but him?
 

Onehandedbackhand

Professional
Ferrer is an annoying bug that stops fans watching any decent matches, because he single-handedly manages to take anyone that could challenge the Big Three out of every tournament, and then proceeds to get swatted by the Big Three.

Is is indeed a strange situation when someone that gets beat so comprehensively by the Big Three can so comprehensively own those that actually can beat the Big Three. It is this phenomenon that prevents fans from watching decent matches in the later stages of big tournaments. Instead we get Ferrer/Djokovic, Ferrer/Federer, Ferrer/Nadal matches.

All I have to say is if your favorites want Ferrer gone, then BEAT him.

They can't, so quit whining.
 

Ehh

Banned
All I have to say is if your favorites want Ferrer gone, then BEAT him.

They can't, so quit whining.

The point is they can't. Yeah, Ferrer predictably wins, but then we get 'treated' to another Ferrer vs Djokovic/Federer/Nadal roll-over instead of a potentially exciting match with a Berdych/Tsonga/Gulbis/Wawrinka/Dimitrov/Nishikori/Del-Potro/Haas...etc... challenging Djokovic/Federer/Nadal.

Yeah, all credit to Ferrer for doing what he does best, and keeps grinding down all these players to submission - it's great for his results and career, but hurts the quality of the tournament when he wins, thus I always root against him.

Mentally, Ferrer completely checks out against the Big Three, and he has made several comments suggesting he walks onto the court trying to lose with some semblance of dignity instead of even trying to win. That's fair play to him - whatever, I don't care (I wish he had the same attitude towards everyone so he would be ranked somewhere around 200), yet, annoyingly he always squashes those types of players who actually are arrogant enough and talented enough to challenge the Big Three, and even beat them sometimes.
 
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La_Para

Rookie
Gotta be Delpo. He doesn't turn 25 until September and he's already won a slam. The wrist injury obviously set him back or he may have crashed the party already.

If he can stay healthy, he still has a chance, and the time to get to that level.

He's the only guy who has proven himself capable of slaying the giants, in succession, on the biggest stage. And he's still young. How can it be anyone but him?

I think Tsonga has a worse H2H against Murray than against any of the other Top 4 players bar Federer. It's currently 1-7. The problems he has with Murray's playing style are just as he says...Murray is a worse match-up for him than any of the others. It's not a mental issue. It's about him either adapting his play to match Murray's style or staying focussed enough and playing aggressively enough to hit him off the court. So far he's not shown he's been able to do either. I actually think he has better chances against Federer, whom he beat at 2011 Wimbledon and took to the brink at this year's AO and Djokovic against whom he held multiple match points at 2012 Roland Garros. But I doubt he could ever beat 2 of the top 4 back to back.

In my opinion, Del Potro has always been the player with the most potential to join the top guys. He is the only one, apart from them, to have won a Slam (except past-it Lleyton Hewitt) and the only one to have shown that he can take at least 2 of them out back to back as he did at 2009 USO and recently again at Indian Wells. He has been and continues to be hampered by injury and fitness issues. These are what hold him back. If he could ever resolve them, I think he would definitely be up there and it would be:

Federer
Nadal
Djokovic
Murray
Del Potro

Tsonga would probably come next.

Mainad, I knew Tsonga had a negative h2h vs Murray, didn't know it was that bad. I have difficulty seeing what it is that troubles Tsonga when he's up against Murray. When Federer is up against Nadal you know its the topspin which bothers Federer, when Nadal plays Djokovic I can see that it's the Djokovic backhand which becomes a strenght, I can't see anything like that with Murray and Tsonga. Is it the court positioning, Tsonga playing into Murray's zone...?

I can understand where you guys are coming from when you're choosing Del Potro. I had quite a lot of work deciding whether I'd choose Tsonga or Del Potro for top 5 position.
The thing which made me choose Tsonga over Del potro was the fact that I think that Tsonga gets more of a boost when he fixes his mental issues than Del Potro when he fixes his fitness issues.

I think Del Potro is a great player, but I've noticed two 'weaknesses' which limit him on the long run. The first you already mentioned, his fitness. He doesn't have the breath which Murray/Djokovic/Nadal have. It isn't that strange because they're fitness beasts, but his fitness level doesn't seem great compared to the 'lesser gods' on tour. If I recall correctly it sometimes seemed as if he had nothing left after playing 2-2,5 hours.

Despite this he has a slam(beating Federer and Nadal back to back) and has recently beaten Murray and Djokovic back to back. I think the reason for this is that he's probably the strongest player mentally in the top 10(outside of the top 4).

Another thing I noticed is that his footwork isn't quit on par with the big 4, I can't remember me ever seeing him move and think that he dancing across the court. He covers it up pretty well with his excellent groundstrokes, but on the long term I think this poses some big problems for him in winning big titles.

With a number 5 thrown in the draw the chances of meeting good players early on increases, something like the Federer US open 2012 draw(Berdych, Murray, Djokovic) would become more likely.
Del Potro doesn't come to the net often and doesn't do extraordinary things there. He usually stays at the baseline and tries to finish the point from there. Nothing wrong with that, but with a draw like the above you have a pretty big chance of it becoming battles of endurance, because he has less options to end the point soon.If he improved his fitness and footwork, there's still only so much you can physically do( I don't see him having the same stamina as Nadal et al).

Tsonga has more options, so he could opt to go about it the 'Federer way', trying to keep the points short and waste less energy. This too though, isn't a guarantee to easy victory against guys like Djokovic, Murray, etcetera.
Del Potro has problems with the stamina, but with his mental strength he could pull through.

I think a Tsonga with mental stability/strength, like he shows sporadically(akin to Del Potro), would have a bit more of an edge then a Del Potro with improved stamina and footwork vs the US open draw(and most of the tougher draws). I do agree that it's very close between the two.
However, seeing Tsonga his age, if he doesn't get it together soon it wouldn't take much to give the edge to Del Potro.
 

woodrow1029

Hall of Fame
There's only 2 active players right now other than the "Big 4" that have ever won a Grand Slam, and I don't think Hewitt is close enough to his former level, so I think the only obvious answer as to who makes the "Top 5" is Del Potro.
 

Onehandedbackhand

Professional
The point is they can't. Yeah, Ferrer predictably wins, but then we get 'treated' to another Ferrer vs Djokovic/Federer/Nadal roll-over instead of a potentially exciting match with a Berdych/Tsonga/Gulbis/Wawrinka/Dimitrov/Nishikori/Del-Potro/Haas...etc... challenging Djokovic/Federer/Nadal.

Yeah, all credit to Ferrer for doing what he does best, and keeps grinding down all these players to submission - it's great for his results and career, but hurts the quality of the tournament when he wins, thus I always root against him.

Mentally, Ferrer completely checks out against the Big Three, and he has made several comments suggesting he walks onto the court trying to lose with some semblance of dignity instead of even trying to win. That's fair play to him - whatever, I don't care (I wish he had the same attitude towards everyone so he would be ranked somewhere around 200), yet, annoyingly he always squashes those types of players who actually are arrogant enough and talented enough to challenge the Big Three, and even beat them sometimes.

Ferrer's brain checks out early because it has checked out late in matches against those guys.

Against Fed at the WTF, Fed plays like crap and Ferrer has two zillion advantages and breaks and collects zero of them.

Against Nadal TWICE last year, he had 7-6 scores and played his heart out, yet kept making stupid mistakes to miss the important breaks.

Against Djoker, has a 6-2 lead in blowing wind, and gets mauled when conditions are perfect.

So what happens? Djoker mauls him, and Nadal does. Murray is the one that he has confidence against, and it shows.
 
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