If Rafa is Rafa, he's not winning it, but if he is slow on the comeback, Murray possibly can. From 2009-2011, Murray's results at the FO were better than at the USO, yet going into the 2012 USO he was considered a favorite while it is said he has no chance at the FO. Questionable logic at times. If you are making quarters and semis, you certainly have a chance to win it. Murray's performance at the FO to date is similar to Rafa's at the USO before he broke through and won it and made a F.