Nadal is the favorite to win this year's US Open...

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by GasquetGOAT, Aug 5, 2009.

  1. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    ...eventhough Fed won the last two slams and is ranked No.1, for two reasons, 13-7 and 5-2. Enough said.

    After Nadal, I'd say Murray is the second favorite because, 6-2.

    And then Simon, coz 2-0.

    These are my top 3 picks to win this year's US Open.
     
    #1
  2. PimpMyGame

    PimpMyGame Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Nov 2, 2006
    Messages:
    2,432
    Is Federer injured?
     
    #2
  3. big bang

    big bang Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Jul 22, 2009
    Messages:
    1,885
    Location:
    behind your curtain
    Rafa takes it and then we have 2 players who won all 4 in the same year.. WOW would´nt that be great:)
     
    #3
  4. dragonfire

    dragonfire Banned

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    401
    no

    ggggggggggggggggg
     
    #4
  5. Can you motivate that??:evil:
    Or are you just trying to be a big jerk??
     
    #5
  6. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    Jerky is 13-7 over Smooth.:twisted: ;)
     
    #6
  7. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    Nadal must be injured if he fails to win USO. Like I said Nadal is the favorite.
     
    #7
  8. Yeah but i prefer 15/6, that was such a nice day right?!:twisted:
     
    #8
  9. PimpMyGame

    PimpMyGame Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Nov 2, 2006
    Messages:
    2,432
    So the bookies are making Nadal favourite? What are the current odds? Would like to check but gambling sites are prohibited at work.
     
    #9
  10. 1hbhBUX

    1hbhBUX Semi-Pro

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2008
    Messages:
    401
    I don't think he's saying that Nadal is THE favorite. He's saying that he's HIS favorite.

    What about Roddick this time around?
     
    #10
  11. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    Screw the bookies or odds. Nadal is the favorite no matter what. 13-7 and 5-2 are the only numbers that matter.
     
    #11
  12. Fifteen-six
    Femton-sex
    Funftzen-sechs
     
    #12
  13. PimpMyGame

    PimpMyGame Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Nov 2, 2006
    Messages:
    2,432
    The only time you'll ever win at the bookies is when you know more than they do. And you seem to know more than the bookies, hell you seem to know more than most of the members here about who is the favourite. Slap a couple of grand on Nadal and buy us a beer when the money comes rolling in.
     
    #13
  14. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    You bet. But also a painful day below the thighs. ;)
     
    #14
  15. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    Roddick has the odds against him, exactly 2-19 as it stands.
     
    #15
  16. deltox

    deltox Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,639
    Location:
    NC, USA
    everyones odds cant be the h2h with federer, he cant play everyone.
     
    #16
  17. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    Good point. But its like with the GOAT's issues, H2H is all that matters in tennis.
     
    #17
  18. PimpMyGame

    PimpMyGame Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Nov 2, 2006
    Messages:
    2,432
    Just checked on my phone:

    Fed 6/4
    Murray 3/1
    Nadal 9/2
    Djoker 10/1
    Roddick 12/1

    Only thing I would disagree with (in terms of odds ranking) is that Djokovic has more chance than Roddick. I'd like to see the draw then maybe place a bet that Roddick will go deeper into the draw. I may cover it by betting that Murray will go deeper than Nadal, if they are in the same half.
     
    #18
  19. Really?? Something tells me that you are just saying that because Nadal happens to have an h2h- advantage vs Federer, if Fed was 13-7 h2h and Nadal had 15-6 GS advantage i bet my life you would say "-oh yeah you know...uhm slams are all that matters, oh yeah, defientely"
     
    #19
  20. Interesting, because Nadal then is O W N E D by both James Blake AND MIchail Youzhny!:twisted:
     
    #20
  21. deltox

    deltox Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,639
    Location:
    NC, USA
    30358 FEDERER Roger 2.00 $
    30405 MURRAY Andy 3.50 $
    30406 NADAL Rafael 5.50 $
    30418 RODDICK Andy 11.00 $
    30354 DEL POTRO Juan Martin 13.00 $
    30357 DJOKOVIC Novak 13.00 $
    30435 TSONGA Jo-Wilfred 41.00 $
    30428 SODERLING Robin 51.00


    my sight has roddick above djokovic and jmdp tied with him
     
    #21
  22. mandy01

    mandy01 G.O.A.T.

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2008
    Messages:
    11,518
    Nadal's chances are def.good.Nadal loves to be the underdog and he's been playing down his chances so far.I'm sure he'll be as comfortable as ever going into the USO.
    Besides,he always comes back strong after a break so I wouldnt be surprised
     
    #22
  23. bulldawg

    bulldawg Rookie

    Joined:
    May 24, 2009
    Messages:
    105
    Nadal might be the OP's favorite player to win the Open, but I say he goes out in the semi's. :twisted:
     
    #23
  24. PimpMyGame

    PimpMyGame Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Nov 2, 2006
    Messages:
    2,432
    Interesting, there may be some opportunity given the UK has IMO slightly messed-up odds.
     
    #24
  25. rocket

    rocket Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    May 23, 2005
    Messages:
    1,538
    Yes, if Nadal faces Fed in the USO final, there's a 60/40 chance he'll win it, even when limping around.

    As to Murray & Simon, they might beat Fed in the quarters or semis, but in a slam final, Fed kicks everyone's ass but Nadal's.
     
    #25
  26. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    Nadal was tired/exhausted (probably had blisters too) during those ownages so you can't really blame him. But that doesn't make him not the favorite as long as he's 100%.
     
    #26
  27. jevonclyde

    jevonclyde Rookie

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2005
    Messages:
    104
    Location:
    The Hague, The Netherlands
    I don't share your point of view nor your explanation. If you say Nadal is now injury-free, fresher and more motivated to let himself and everyone else know that this US Open is his US Open, then throw in his results against the field, I then might be enclined to contemplate the idea of Nadal winning the US Open.
    But the US Open can be a racous, rowdy place (e.g. SAMurais, A-RODRARA's, FEDuchinis, BlakeBOX) and can get it into the top players heads (e.g. Nole, Hewitt). Bottom line: let's see if Rafa can built some momentum in Canada onwards.
     
    #27
  28. rocket

    rocket Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    May 23, 2005
    Messages:
    1,538
    Not in a slam, not anymore.
     
    #28
  29. rocket

    rocket Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    May 23, 2005
    Messages:
    1,538
    All Nadal has to do is battle his way through to the final, and then he can watch Fed beat himself.
     
    #29
  30. Both Blake and Youzhny toyed with Nadal at the Us Open.
     
    #30
  31. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    If he goes out in the semis then he must be not 100%, probably due to the same knee pain he had since miami eventhough he says he has recovered, which he only said it because he is such a fighter!
     
    #31
  32. No wonder he gets blisters from all that butt-picking
     
    #32
  33. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2007
    Messages:
    26,544
    Location:
    Weak era
    I agree,Nadal always severely plays down his chances,it's quite obvious by now that it's a tactic by him an uncle Toni.Even at the begining of AO this year I remember Toni saying Nadal hasn't recovered fully yet he went on to win AO playing 2 marathon matches in a row in SF and F which suggest that Nadal was perfectly fine and fully recovered.

    I wouldn't say he's the first favourite for USO but one of the main favourites for sure.
     
    #33
  34. raiden031

    raiden031 Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 31, 2006
    Messages:
    5,997
    My prediction is that Nadal loses in an early round because of sitting out for so long. He will be back in top form later in the year though, but USO is too early.
     
    #34
  35. dragonfire

    dragonfire Banned

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    401
    it's actually pretty clever, and sneaky too. I would say personally, federer, murray and roddick would go in top 3 favourites. But you can't predict anything, nadal might come out all gunz balzin'
     
    #35
  36. According to some very trustworthy ppl on these board with very reliable sources Nadal is serving a suspension, apparently he practiced like crazy before Wimbledon...
     
    #36
  37. dragonfire

    dragonfire Banned

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    401
    why might he be serving a suspension ???
     
    #37
  38. mandy01

    mandy01 G.O.A.T.

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2008
    Messages:
    11,518
    GasquetGOAT is too funny! :lol:
     
    #38
  39. mandy01

    mandy01 G.O.A.T.

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2008
    Messages:
    11,518
    Its a dumb theory with no credibility..pay no heed :wink:
     
    #39
  40. Due to forbidden substances in his body
     
    #40
  41. jonnythan

    jonnythan Professional

    Joined:
    Jul 20, 2009
    Messages:
    1,356
    Nadal is not the favorite.

    If you think he is, you don't understand what the term means.
     
    #41
  42. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2007
    Messages:
    26,544
    Location:
    Weak era
    Sure it is and I don't like it myself(I find it a bit annoying)but obviously it works for Nadal team so good for them.

    I don't know if I would put Roddick ahead of Nadal,historically Roddick has better results at USO but Nadal has better record against 2 other favourites Fed and Murray and had a stronger performance than Roddick in last USO they played.

    Overall I'd say Fed,Murray,Nadal and Roddick all have good chances at the title.Djokovic has a shot as well but only if he finds his good form and mentally stays tough.It will be also interesting to see how Delpo fares at USO given that he's maturing as a player and his best surface is HC.
     
    #42
  43. dragonfire

    dragonfire Banned

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    401
    ah, steroids i guess.

    then why didn't he get banned for a very long time??

    why did ITF make the news public like they did to everyone else who broke laws???
     
    #43
  44. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2007
    Messages:
    26,544
    Location:
    Weak era
    The OP's being sarcastic.
     
    #44
  45. I am not saying it is steroids.
    But forbidden substances in his body...(maybe taken during the spring in order to ba able to defend FO/Wimby/Montreal...
    Because he is tennis 2nd biggest star. And sponsored by Nike.
     
    #45
  46. dragonfire

    dragonfire Banned

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    401
    I don't think many people are concerned about playing djokovic right now, he's not on his best form, having said that, there's plenty of time for him to gain his confidence back before the open anyway.There's pressure on murray to do well. He needs to win a slam to prove himself on the biggest stage and he needs to defend alot of ranking points too. Like you said, if nadal is truly healthy, then he's ahead of everyone except for federer. Hopefully, roddick can keep this level of play up, if so, then he might just win, but you can't really predict anything without seeing them play on the hard courts yet.
     
    #46
  47. Fedfan1234

    Fedfan1234 Rookie

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2009
    Messages:
    328
    Maybe to you, but the rest of the world doesn't really care.
    Winning slams is all that matters in tennis! Everybody talks about the Wimbledon winner, not about the great player that has nice head to heads against everybody but doesn't win a slam. Ask any tennis player what would you want to achieve as a tennis player. I bet you that they would say win Wimbledon or another slam. Not something like have a possitive head to head against Federer or Nadal. That would really be pathetic.
     
    #47
  48. theroleoftheunderdog

    theroleoftheunderdog Professional

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2009
    Messages:
    1,477
    #48
  49. DownTheLine

    DownTheLine Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Apr 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,406
    Federer has won 5 straight USOs, he's won two straight slams and did I mention 5 straight USOs?

    Plus, nadal is just coming back from an injury.
     
    #49
  50. GasquetGOAT

    GasquetGOAT Hall of Fame

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2007
    Messages:
    3,372
    Thanks mandy! ;):)
     
    #50

Share This Page