NCAA tournament bubble watch

Discussion in 'College Tennis Talk' started by Clemson_tennis, Apr 8, 2014.

  1. Clemson_tennis

    Clemson_tennis Legend

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    remaining schedules in parentheses

    Safe zone
    35 South Carolina (@14 Kentucky, @26 Vanderbilt)
    36 Purdue (69 Indiana, 16 Penn State, 1 Ohio State, @Michigan State, @50 Michigan)
    37 Texas Tech (@24 Oklahoma State, @4 Oklahoma, 56 TCU, 7 Texas)
    38 Drake (@ Illinois State, @ Bradley, 73 Wichita State)
    39 Oregon (@64 Santa Clara, @19 Cal, @43 Stanford, @Washington)
    40 Dartmouth (Penn, 59 Princeton, @Yale, Brown, @28 Harvard)
    41 Tulsa (@1 Ohio State, Incarnate Word, Oral Roberts)

    Crunch Zone
    42 Virginia Tech (48 VCU, 23 Wake Forest, 32 NC State, 5 Virginia)
    43 Stanford (Cal Poly, Washington, 39 Oregon, Saint Mary's, @19 Cal)
    44 Elon
    45 UNC Wilmington
    46 Miami (@12 Notre Dame, @Boston College, 28 Florida State)
    47 Pepperdine
    48 VCU

    Outside looking in
    49 San Diego
    50 Michigan (@55 Minnesota, @74 Wisconsin, 69 Indiana, 36 Purdue)
    51 Utah (3 UCLA, 2 USC, @Arizona)
    52 Cornell (@Yale, @Brown, @59 Princeton, Penn)
    53 Ole Miss (@10 Texas A&M)
    54 George Washington
    55 Minnesota (50 Michigan, Michigan State, @11 Illinois, @34 Northwestern)

    The ones without schedules listed will determine their tournament status in the conference tournament rather than their remaining schedule.
     
    #1
  2. Kirijax

    Kirijax Hall of Fame

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    Gotta beat Notre Dame or Florida State. I am not confident but these Canes have surprised. Hope Coach Rincon can get them motivated after the thrashings they have endured the last couple of weeks.
     
    #2
  3. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    Go Rebels !!!
     
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  4. George Opelka

    George Opelka New User

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    I went to the match versus Florida on Sunday and I was impressed by the Ole Miss international team, particularly #1 and #2. The lefty that plays #2 has a massive forehand.
     
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  5. JLyon

    JLyon Hall of Fame

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    He would do even better but does not think enough on the court, the other lefty that plays #3 also has all the shots but has been in a major slump the last 2 months, then the big Swede @ #4 has been playing great.

    Ole Miss needs to win 2 matches at SEC to even sniff at getting into tournament, but the SCarolina loss is bad timing as was the Bama loss.
     
    #5
  6. Nostradamus

    Nostradamus G.O.A.T.

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    Really surprising to see Michigan has fallen off so far. They used to be automatic in. Not sure what is going on with that program.
     
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  7. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    a lot has gone wrong for them...every game they lost...was close..(only vs UGA and maybe UK / Baylor was clear games)
    they lost doubles..vs teams like bama/auburn/Lsu and never came back in singles...with the doubles they would ve won at least 2 of this 3
    and in other matches they took the doubles and played bad in singles, like vs MSU
     
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  8. Clemson_tennis

    Clemson_tennis Legend

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    Purdue needs to avoid losing to Indiana today to keep themselves in the safe zone.

    Big match between VCU and VT today for two teams squarely on the bubble.
     
    #8
  9. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    vtech is winning easily vs vcu...dominating singles easily
    purdue vs iu is another story..very close match
     
    #9
  10. MC86

    MC86 Rookie

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    On a similar note it looks like Carlos Lopez-Villa (ODU) is going to miss out on making the singles draw. Tough for a guy who is 18-1 on the dual match season and also won a Fall Regional and made last 16 of the National Indoors. Further proof I suppose of how the formula the ITA use rewards 'quality' wins much more than it punishes losses.
     
    #10
  11. Clemson_tennis

    Clemson_tennis Legend

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    And look who's right behind him. Tsvetan Mihov. A guy who was barely winning games for most of the season.

    ITA does need to slightly tweak its rankings formula I think.
     
    #11
  12. Hmmmmm

    Hmmmmm Rookie

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    Not enough talent. No one wants to go there because it's too cold and you seldom play outside.
     
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  13. Nostradamus

    Nostradamus G.O.A.T.

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    LOL, tennis is indoor sport. nobody likes playing tennis outside in the Wind and Sun penetrating your eye and making you develop cataracts. Not to mention skin cancer.............
     
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  14. TopDawg

    TopDawg Legend

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    Oregon is clearly on the bubble now - they lost at Santa Clara today 4-2. They must at the very least beat Stanford or Cal this weekend or possibly both.

    No. 64 Santa Clara (13-5) 4, No. 39 Oregon (15-5) 2

    SINGLES
    1. John Lamble (SCU) def. Kevin Farin (ORE) 6-1, 2-6, 6-1
    2. Ilya Osintsev (SCU) def. #59 Robin Cambier (ORE) 7-5, 7-6
    3. Ashot Khacharyan (SCU) def. Daan Maasland (ORE) 6-4, 6-4
    4. Daniel Sardu (ORE) vs. Mikheil Khmiadashvili (SCU) 3-6, 7-6, 2-1
    5. Jayson Amos (ORE) def. Sam Bertram (SCU) 6-1, 6-2
    6. Joey Swaysland (ORE) def. Michael Tjuatjadarma (SCU) 6-3, 6-0

    DOUBLES
    1. Osintsev/Lamble (SCU) def. Cambier/Farin (ORE) 8-3
    2. Khacharyan/Khmiadashvili (SCU) def. Maasland/Swaysland (ORE) 8-6
    3. Sardu/Amos (ORE) def. Bertram/Tjuatjadarma (SCU) 8-0
     
    #14
  15. Clemson_tennis

    Clemson_tennis Legend

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    Disastrous result. It was even tactically scheduled away to get a few bonus points.
     
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  16. Nostradamus

    Nostradamus G.O.A.T.

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    what happened to that huge tall dude from Oregan, he was good. did he graduate ?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZIFhdhNP6i8
     
    #16
  17. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    amazing that Fain and Cambier BOTH liost this.
     
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  18. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    Rebels won all 3 matches vs UAPB yesterday ! All were 4-0 sweeps ! Great results !!! :):shock:
    lets go Rebels !!! U can do it !!!
    They are 11-12 now for the season, could they sneak into ncaas???
     
    #18
  19. JLyon

    JLyon Hall of Fame

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    Not unless they win 2 matches at the SEC's
     
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  20. goldy0084

    goldy0084 Rookie

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    Apparently, the coach cancelled most of the their ranked opponents after poor recruiting. He won the regional in the fall, but hasn't played against enough decent players in the spring. It's a shame, since he is very good!
     
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  21. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    they ll not do it..and furthermore not will be in ncaas
    so it is
     
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  22. MC86

    MC86 Rookie

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    Yea they had a couple of guys leave and couldn't get replacements in. Might have thought he could have scheduled a couple of matches to give Lopez-Villa a chance to get some higher ranked wins...
     
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  23. George Opelka

    George Opelka New User

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    Live Score schedule and tweets for today's @ustacollege10s is now live at http://chalkflewup.com/ncaa/

    This page is also iPhone/mobile/tablet friendly.
     
    #23
  24. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    41st to 44th in the rankings should be the line for bubble teams
    i think
    it is too tough to calculate every conference tournament, or too much to search
    but on 41st or 42nd u could be safe.
     
    #24
  25. Clemson_tennis

    Clemson_tennis Legend

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    Oregon not done yet
     
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  26. Nostradamus

    Nostradamus G.O.A.T.

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    Does the top seed always host the 1st the 2nd round ?
     
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  27. TopDawg

    TopDawg Legend

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    Not always but usually - probably 95% of the time.
     
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  28. TopDawg

    TopDawg Legend

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    The bubble teams need Boise State to beat New Mexico today in the Mountain West Final otherwise that'll steal away an at-large bid.
     
    #28
  29. TopDawg

    TopDawg Legend

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    If Boise State wins today I think the cutoff will be at 42. If Alabama isn't eligible due to their sub .500 record that'd make it 43. Texas Tech, Auburn, Purdue, and Oregon will all be right in that range. Here is where they are right now if the rankings were run like normal this week - once they are run again tonight it'll likely change a bit but I wouldn't think they'd change enough to raise LSU up past Oregon but we'll wait and see.

    37 Louisville* 23.14
    38 San Diego* - Auto Bid 22.44
    39 Ole Miss* 22.18
    40 Texas Tech* 21.79
    41 Auburn* 21.78
    42 Purdue* 21.49
    43 Oregon* 21.36
    44 Drake* - (Auto Bid with win today) 20.85
    45 Tulsa - Auto Bid 20.53
    46 LSU* 18.60
    47 Dartmouth* 18.52
    48 TCU* 16.29
     
    #29
  30. chris-swede

    chris-swede Hall of Fame

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    Ttech & Purdue are deserving the most

    lsu was in better form as auburn recently
    ole miss should move up in the rankings as most of their wins /losses got better after the last weeks
     
    #30

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