Early May 2009: Novak 21 years old, Rafa 22 Nadal's H2H with Novak = 14-4 Since his 22nd birthday (Late May of 2009) Novak has gone 7-2 with him. H2H = 16-11 now. Rafa prior to his 22nd birthday: Just 3 FO titles. Novak prior to his 22nd birthday: 1 AO . Summary... Novak in his pre-prime and prime years (after turning 22) has been a better player than Rafa. With two 3 or more match win streaks in the period. Rafa's GS win at the US Open is highly misleading in that Novak had for 1. Not reached his current state which happened late last year. He's clearly physically stronger, we do not have to even bring up the mental part. 2. The main topic of conversation during that Federer/Novak semifinal was how Federer was going to be fit to play Rafa if he won, I would think the same would apply with Novak. He was not physically 100%. Lastly, i'm predicting (bar no injuries) this 4 match consecutive streak will reach 12-3/13-3/13-4 type numbers. Basically were going to see Novak utterly dominate Rafa in his prime. This is how they match up in my opinion.