This has become such a fall-back position for so-called "Tennis fans" (read: Nadal fans) every time Federer adds another GS title and is widely acclaimed as the Greatest player Of All Time.
It's an argument that has numerous holes in it, but why let all those holes spoil a good excuse to denigrate Federer's achievements and at the same time pump Nadal up to All-Time Great status he has not (yet) earned (with the exception of clay)?
We pick apart the argument as follows:
Myth: Federer despite all his achievements has a 7-13 head-to-head against Nadal, who is almost universally recognized among tennis circles as being the Greatest (or at least one of the Greatest) clay court players of All-Time. Therefore Federer cannot be the Greatest Ever.
Actual truth: Federer and Nadal out of the 20 times they have played, have met on clay 11 times, with Nadal holding an 9-2 advantage. Given the fact that Clay is Federer's weakest surface (relatively speaking) and Nadal is the de-facto GOAT on Clay, this is no disgrace. The rest of their H2H in their remaining 9 matches on other surfaces is: 5-4 Federer.
Fact: Nadal was not good enough to keep getting to the finals of the US Open or Australian Open when Federer was in his pomp. He always fell out early, thus depriving Federer of the same opportunities to beat him on his worst surface (hardcourt) that Federer, by reaching the finals of almost all the clay tournaments from 2005-2009, was giving Nadal on his best surface (clay).
Therefore can we assume that if Federer was just a bit worse on clay like for e.g. Pete Sampras, he would not have given Nadal the opportunity to beat him all those times on clay because Federer would have bombed out relatively early in all the clay court events, thus depriving Nadal of an advantageous H2H record against him. (Nadal would have been playing other cannon-fodder in all those finals instead of Federer).
But wait, isn't it due to Federer's prowess on clay that he (eventually) won the elusive French Open after 3 final attempts, when Nadal did not do his part and show up in the final at the tournament he ruled with an iron fist, thus completing the career Grand Slam, which was so widely acclaimed at the time.
So due to Federer's prowess on Clay, not only has he an inferior H2H record against Nadal, but he also has French Open crown which made him the only man after Andre Agassi to have won all 4 Grand Slams on 4 different surfaces.
Now if he did not have this clay-court prowess, he would not have won the French Open, but would still have 15 GS titles, but I can almost guarantee that if he had 15 GS titles and no French, that this would be used as an argument against him for GOAT. Well which way do you want it? You cannot have it both ways. Federer has the losing H2H record vs Nadal due to his excellent clay court aptitude which ALLOWED him to get to all the finals vs Nadal, only to lose 9 times out of 11. Thus giving Nadal this lopsided H2H advantage. Turn it around and ask yourself if Nadal had met Federer 11 times on US Open's DecoTurf (and Cincy & Montreal/Toronto) from 2005-2008, how lopsided the H2H would be in Federer's favour? Sadly for Federer, Nadal wasn't good enough to get to all those finals.
Now we move on to hard stats:
Federer: reached 23 consecutive GS Semi Finals spanning 5 years.
Nadal: his best SF consecutive record is 5 SF's from AO 2008, to AO 2009.
Federer: 10 consecutive GS Finals (prior to AO 2008 ), 8 consecutive GS Finals (current)
Nadal: 2 consecutive GS finals, 3 times
Federer: 237 consecutive weeks at No. 1
Nadal: ? weeks at No. 1
Federer: 5 consecutive GS titles at 2 different GS events
Nadal: 4 consecutive FO titles
(Yes, Nadal could not even do on his absolute best surface, what Federer could do TWICE on his two best surfaces).
Federer: 16 GS titles (22 finals)
Nadal 6 GS Titles (8 finals)
So in a nutshell do people honestly think that we people who are intelligent tennis followers, are devoid of all common sense? We see a player who has made a mockery of statistics and established an unprecedented record of dominance and consistency in the game for the last 5 years, but he is denigrated because he happens to have been good enough on his worst surface to keep getting to finals, where he has been beaten by the GOAT on that surface.
I'm not sure there are many people even among the idiots (like Mats Wilander for one) who openly flog Federer for his abysmal H2H record against Nadal, who would choose Nadal's career record (and his resultant prize money) over Federer's. At the end of the day your career is determined by the Major titles you won, not by favourable/unfavorable records against any one single player, especially not when that player is nowhere even remotely close to your career records. At present Nadal has not even reached the title haul of Ivan Lendl & Andre Agassi, and has no career slam so he is even below Agassi at this point in reckoning. He has another 2 GS to win to get to their level.
In the meantime, Roger Federer, at the ripe age of 28, continues to rack up the Grand Slam titles, with apparently no end in sight.
It's an argument that has numerous holes in it, but why let all those holes spoil a good excuse to denigrate Federer's achievements and at the same time pump Nadal up to All-Time Great status he has not (yet) earned (with the exception of clay)?
We pick apart the argument as follows:
Myth: Federer despite all his achievements has a 7-13 head-to-head against Nadal, who is almost universally recognized among tennis circles as being the Greatest (or at least one of the Greatest) clay court players of All-Time. Therefore Federer cannot be the Greatest Ever.
Actual truth: Federer and Nadal out of the 20 times they have played, have met on clay 11 times, with Nadal holding an 9-2 advantage. Given the fact that Clay is Federer's weakest surface (relatively speaking) and Nadal is the de-facto GOAT on Clay, this is no disgrace. The rest of their H2H in their remaining 9 matches on other surfaces is: 5-4 Federer.
Fact: Nadal was not good enough to keep getting to the finals of the US Open or Australian Open when Federer was in his pomp. He always fell out early, thus depriving Federer of the same opportunities to beat him on his worst surface (hardcourt) that Federer, by reaching the finals of almost all the clay tournaments from 2005-2009, was giving Nadal on his best surface (clay).
Therefore can we assume that if Federer was just a bit worse on clay like for e.g. Pete Sampras, he would not have given Nadal the opportunity to beat him all those times on clay because Federer would have bombed out relatively early in all the clay court events, thus depriving Nadal of an advantageous H2H record against him. (Nadal would have been playing other cannon-fodder in all those finals instead of Federer).
But wait, isn't it due to Federer's prowess on clay that he (eventually) won the elusive French Open after 3 final attempts, when Nadal did not do his part and show up in the final at the tournament he ruled with an iron fist, thus completing the career Grand Slam, which was so widely acclaimed at the time.
So due to Federer's prowess on Clay, not only has he an inferior H2H record against Nadal, but he also has French Open crown which made him the only man after Andre Agassi to have won all 4 Grand Slams on 4 different surfaces.
Now if he did not have this clay-court prowess, he would not have won the French Open, but would still have 15 GS titles, but I can almost guarantee that if he had 15 GS titles and no French, that this would be used as an argument against him for GOAT. Well which way do you want it? You cannot have it both ways. Federer has the losing H2H record vs Nadal due to his excellent clay court aptitude which ALLOWED him to get to all the finals vs Nadal, only to lose 9 times out of 11. Thus giving Nadal this lopsided H2H advantage. Turn it around and ask yourself if Nadal had met Federer 11 times on US Open's DecoTurf (and Cincy & Montreal/Toronto) from 2005-2008, how lopsided the H2H would be in Federer's favour? Sadly for Federer, Nadal wasn't good enough to get to all those finals.
Now we move on to hard stats:
Federer: reached 23 consecutive GS Semi Finals spanning 5 years.
Nadal: his best SF consecutive record is 5 SF's from AO 2008, to AO 2009.
Federer: 10 consecutive GS Finals (prior to AO 2008 ), 8 consecutive GS Finals (current)
Nadal: 2 consecutive GS finals, 3 times
Federer: 237 consecutive weeks at No. 1
Nadal: ? weeks at No. 1
Federer: 5 consecutive GS titles at 2 different GS events
Nadal: 4 consecutive FO titles
(Yes, Nadal could not even do on his absolute best surface, what Federer could do TWICE on his two best surfaces).
Federer: 16 GS titles (22 finals)
Nadal 6 GS Titles (8 finals)
So in a nutshell do people honestly think that we people who are intelligent tennis followers, are devoid of all common sense? We see a player who has made a mockery of statistics and established an unprecedented record of dominance and consistency in the game for the last 5 years, but he is denigrated because he happens to have been good enough on his worst surface to keep getting to finals, where he has been beaten by the GOAT on that surface.
I'm not sure there are many people even among the idiots (like Mats Wilander for one) who openly flog Federer for his abysmal H2H record against Nadal, who would choose Nadal's career record (and his resultant prize money) over Federer's. At the end of the day your career is determined by the Major titles you won, not by favourable/unfavorable records against any one single player, especially not when that player is nowhere even remotely close to your career records. At present Nadal has not even reached the title haul of Ivan Lendl & Andre Agassi, and has no career slam so he is even below Agassi at this point in reckoning. He has another 2 GS to win to get to their level.
In the meantime, Roger Federer, at the ripe age of 28, continues to rack up the Grand Slam titles, with apparently no end in sight.
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