The Official Australian Open 2013 thread

Discussion in 'Pro Match Results and Discussion' started by joeri888, Nov 5, 2012.

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Who will win the first Slam of 2013?

  1. Novak Djokovic

    36.4%
  2. Roger Federer

    31.0%
  3. Andy Murray

    16.3%
  4. Rafael Nadal

    6.2%
  5. David Ferrer

    1.6%
  6. Thomas Berdych

    1.6%
  7. Juan Martin Del Potro

    3.1%
  8. Jo Wilfried Tsonga

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. Janko Tipsarevic

    1.6%
  10. Someone else

    2.3%
  1. Goosehead

    Goosehead Hall of Fame

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    2010 del potro (4th rd),struggled to get through matches with wrist injury that he would soon rest for 3months before surgery in may, meant he only played 2 more match at end of 2010 season,

    2011 was the start of the comeback, he lost in 2nd rd to bagdhatis or tsonga (jmdp world rank after aust open 485),..2012 rank 11, as you say he lost to fed in qf..so really its very distorted as 2009 when he was few months past 20yrs was last time he fully fit there.
     
    #51
  2. monfed

    monfed Guest

    Logical order -

    1)Djokovic
    2)Murray
    3)Ralph
    4)Federer

    Likely to happen -
    1)Federer
    2)Murray
    3)Djokovic
    4)Ralph
     
    #52
  3. PeteD

    PeteD Hall of Fame

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    Yes! Murray-Dokovic go five sets all tie-breaks! Then all Rog has to worry about is Del Birdy. Rafa's not an issue -- He's going to be up on the camera wire with a mask on, "Phantom of the Stadium."
     
    #53
  4. joeri888

    joeri888 G.O.A.T.

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    Less than two months to go right? zzzzzzzz
     
    #54
  5. Jeepers

    Jeepers Professional

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    Federer will win, without dropping a point. The Golden Slam!
     
    #55
  6. zam88

    zam88 Professional

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    Maybe 7 consecutive pre-match retirements by his opponents.

    it'd be sweet to host the trophy without taking a single swing!
     
    #56
  7. Prisoner of Birth

    Prisoner of Birth Banned

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    Eh? What is this, I don't even...
     
    #57
  8. Ripster

    Ripster Hall of Fame

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    Djokovic loves the AO, it suits his game perfectly. He just finished the season as the best player in the world - it's his tournament to lose.
     
    #58
  9. Towser83

    Towser83 Legend

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    have to admit it's looking like Djokovic, followed by Murray then Federer and then either Nadal or Del Potro. Unless nadal somehow gets back to top shape in time, in which case he has a better chance than Federer and Murray.
     
    #59
  10. NadalAgassi

    NadalAgassi Guest

    My odds of wnning:

    Djokovic- 65%. The huge favorite. Will cement himself as probably the Australian Open GOAT ahead of both Agassi and Federer if he wins.

    Murray- 15%
    Nadal- 10%
    Federer 8%
    All others- 2% combined

    As usual any of the top 4 could win, but it would still be surprising if that one isnt Djokovic in this case. Anyone outside the top 4 at this venue would be a huge surprise. Del Potros least likely slam to ever win is the Australian Open, the conditions are way too hard for him. That plus he isnt even ready to win another slam yet anyway. Ferrer is never going to win a slam on a surface that all the more favored people excel on. The others arent worth a mention.
     
    #60
  11. Netspirit

    Netspirit Hall of Fame

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    I do not think Fedal have good shots at the AO 2013 trophy.

    For Nadal, winning a slam after 6 months of not playing is going to be very hard.

    Federer won his last 5 slam finals by beating Murray 3 times, Roddick+Soderling pigeons in 2009, so his slam winning odds are quite poor since 2008. He is still good and can win more, but 5 years after his prime he is just very unlikely to.
     
    Last edited: Nov 21, 2012
    #61
  12. joeri888

    joeri888 G.O.A.T.

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    I agree that Novak's the favourite followed by MUrray. However, if they both end up in the same half of the draw, you have to favour Fedal to have at least one of them in the final. In which case basically everything is possible.
     
    #62
  13. Prisoner of Birth

    Prisoner of Birth Banned

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    Looking forward, 2013 promises to be a most interesting year of Tennis, with a 4-way Tug of war for every title.
     
    #63
  14. joeri888

    joeri888 G.O.A.T.

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    This has been said many years for the last few. I'm a bit afraid that if Nadal can not come back and Fed plays a reduced schedule, it'll be a two-way grind, with Djokovic easily more consistent, but Murray winning some big ones.
     
    #64
  15. Mike Sams

    Mike Sams Legend

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    The trophy belongs to Novak Djokovic. His offense and defense on the AO surface is something else. Twice he straight-setted Federer. The only guy who has any chance is Murray and to a much lesser extent, Nadal who has no form, no confidence and no physical or mental strength to grind with the current form of Djokovic.
     
    #65
  16. Mike Sams

    Mike Sams Legend

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    Federer can't compete with Djokovic on the slow hardcourts of Australia. Nadal even in superman mode and an extra day off couldn't beat a tired Djokovic in the final. The only guy who has any chance is Murray.
     
    #66
  17. Towser83

    Towser83 Legend

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    yeah but he's beaten Djokovic as well in two of those title runs and also at his run to the RG final in 2011. Just because it wasn't a final doesn't mean it wasn't a good win.

    however I don't give Fed much of a shot on the slow courts of Australia when he had enough trouble with Djokovic indoors.
     
    #67
  18. joeri888

    joeri888 G.O.A.T.

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    Even if you are right i am not wrong. If murray beats Djokovic in the semis hè might still lose the final to a fresher Federer or Nadal
     
    #68
  19. kalic

    kalic Professional

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    There's some software bug... Fed must be favorite in all TT polls.
     
    #69
  20. Seventeen

    Seventeen Rookie

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    Big fella's won over 40% of the last decade's slams ;)
     
    #70
  21. kishnabe

    kishnabe G.O.A.T.

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    No **** there is a software bug....how could Novak be leading the poll.
     
    #71
  22. sbengte

    sbengte Legend

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    Hoping for someone outside the big 4 to take it this time.
     
    #72
  23. Mike Sams

    Mike Sams Legend

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    Djokovic will win it. The surface is perfectly designed for his game. Slow hardcourts as he likes it.
     
    #73
  24. 5555

    5555 Hall of Fame

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    I can't believe that Federer is not leading in the poll. I hope this is a sign that TW is getting serious.
     
    #74
  25. TheNatural

    TheNatural Legend

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    Feds 4 slams in the last 4 years all came while Nadal was injured, so his chances depend a lot on Nadal's condition.
     
    #75
  26. Federer20042006

    Federer20042006 Banned

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    You mean 2008, right? When they ditched rebound ace?
     
    #76
  27. Nostradamus

    Nostradamus G.O.A.T.

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    Why does everyone think Federer and Novak will do better than Murray in the polls ? I thought everybody would be picking Murray since his game suits this surface well, really well.
     
    #77
  28. Netspirit

    Netspirit Hall of Fame

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    Because he has proven his inability to beat Fedalovic in slams unless there is crazy wind or another natural disaster.
     
    #78
  29. Towser83

    Towser83 Legend

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    I can see people picking Murray over Fed, but you think everyone would pick him over Djokovic? Seriously?
     
    #79
  30. Hawkeye7

    Hawkeye7 Professional

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    This is a good thing, actually, as TW is almost never right about these kinds of things. ;)

    And aside from that, Djokovic is the 2-time-defending-champion and won the WTF. He should be the favourite. As for Fed, well... Federer forum. People will still vote for him even when he is retired.
     
    #80
  31. Lavs

    Lavs Professional

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    When exactly AO2013 (my favourite event ever :)) starts precisely? I think kick off should be either 14.01 or 21.01.. I need to plan my vacation to not miss it! :)
     
    #81
  32. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    I think it's the 14th this year.
     
    #82
  33. the cat petter

    the cat petter New User

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    Maybe Jerzy Janowicz will win. Hmmmmm..
     
    #83
  34. Hood_Man

    Hood_Man Legend

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    I'm going to say Murray, he's reached the semi's or better 3 years in a row and damn near came back to beat Djokovic this year. With the slam monkey finally off his back I think he can do it.
     
    #84
  35. Lavs

    Lavs Professional

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    I hope the season will start 07.01.. and then AO kick off 20.01.. which is more convenient time for me.. :)
     
    #85
  36. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    If he does it, he will improve his chances at #1 by fifty fold.

    It depends on what day the rankings end for the year. If they end on the 31st, it's possible it may start then.
     
    #86
  37. Hawkeye7

    Hawkeye7 Professional

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    If I remember correctly, Brisbane and Hopman Cup start on December 31st. As do two other 250 events.
     
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2012
    #87
  38. Zildite

    Zildite Hall of Fame

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    Yes, WTA events in China and New Zealand.
    Going by the GPP threads lately, they can't come soon enough.
     
    #88
  39. Hawkeye7

    Hawkeye7 Professional

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    I was actually referring to Doha and Chennai (ATP events).

    The Aussie Open starts on January 14th.
     
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2012
    #89
  40. Big_Dangerous

    Big_Dangerous Legend

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    Sweet seems like it's earlier this year. :)
     
    #90
  41. westside

    westside Hall of Fame

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    #91
  42. ThusSpokeDrew

    ThusSpokeDrew New User

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    That Whittington/Saville tiebreak was maddening!
     
    #92
  43. Timbo's hopeless slice

    Timbo's hopeless slice Hall of Fame

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    sam groth on court now, warm up is on.

    (this kid played at our local open, he's good, be interesting to see how he goes against Sam)
     
    #93
  44. westside

    westside Hall of Fame

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    Well he's not off to a bad start :)

    Hoping for a few broken racquets today.
     
    #94
  45. Timbo's hopeless slice

    Timbo's hopeless slice Hall of Fame

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    lol, indeed, Sam is such a calm sort of bloke..
     
    #95
  46. Timbo's hopeless slice

    Timbo's hopeless slice Hall of Fame

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    it might mis fire a fair bit, but damn that serve is massive..
     
    #96
  47. westside

    westside Hall of Fame

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    Could imagine this serve on grass or carpet :shock:
     
    #97
  48. Timbo's hopeless slice

    Timbo's hopeless slice Hall of Fame

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    indeed...

    some of those in teh first game of the second set were just ridiculous
     
    #98
  49. Timbo's hopeless slice

    Timbo's hopeless slice Hall of Fame

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    he'll probably implode at some point (if not today!), but I would love to see him in the main draw against somebody on Rod Laver...
     
    #99
  50. westside

    westside Hall of Fame

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    Yep, I don't see Sam lasting today. Feel as though things are going to get heated between these two as well. Kyrgios really letting Sam know!
     

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