What are the chances of the following men winning a grand slam in the future?

[weakera]

2. Andy Murray - 10%
3. Roger Federer - 9%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 11%
5. Rafael Nadal - 9%
6. Kei Nishikori - 1%
7. Tomas Berdych - 1%
8. David Ferrer - negative 50%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 0%
10. Richard Gasquet - 0%
11. Marin Cilic - 1%
12. Milos Raonic - 8%
13. David Goffin - 0%
14. Dominic Thiem - 20%
15. John Isner - negative 50%
16. Gael Monfils - 0%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 0%
18. Kevin Anderson - negative 50%
19. Gilles Simon - 0%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 25%


Has the tour ever been weaker?

 

[Red Rick]

Has this forum ever been weaker?

 

[weakera]

Has this forum ever been weaker?

Honestly maybe not? We need to make the forum great again imo.

 

[Sirius Black]

I wouldn't give Goffin a zero percent chance.

 

[thomasferrett]

I would give everyone apart from Nadal, Djokovic and Federer a 0% chance. Including ALL of the 'next generation' (Kyrgios, Thiem, Dimitrov, Nishikori, Zverev, Fritz, Tiafoe...etc...).

 

[TheMaestro1990]

Seems pretty accurate I must say. Outside of French Open I don't see Nadal ever getting close to another one though. Maybe Nishikori a few procents higher? If he develops a better serve and stays injury free he can challenge when the moment is right.

 

[Chicharito]

2. Andy Murray - 25%
3. Roger Federer - 10%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 15%
5. Rafael Nadal - 10%
6. Kei Nishikori - 33%
7. Tomas Berdych - 5%
8. David Ferrer - 3%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 5%
10. Richard Gasquet - 3%
11. Marin Cilic - 33%
12. Milos Raonic - 50%
13. David Goffin - 6%
14. Dominic Thiem - 50%
15. John Isner - 4%
16. Gael Monfils - 4%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 1%
18. Kevin Anderson - 8%
19. Gilles Simon - 2%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 75%

 

[weakera]

6. Kei Nishikori - 33%

 

[boredone3456]

Nishikori has a darn good chance at winning a major if he stays healthy and fit.

Murray can win another for sure if he keeps plugging away

Kyrgios has talent but I hold back largely because it's still early for him and I don't want to see him derailed by the excessive hype machine.

Wawa has already proven he can beat inform Novak when he sets his mind to it so why not again

Raonic..maybe

The rest....slim chance...

 

[mattosgrant]

2. Andy Murray - 40%
3. Roger Federer - 20%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 55%
5. Rafael Nadal - 30%
6. Kei Nishikori - 55%
7. Tomas Berdych - 0%
8. David Ferrer - 0%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 2%
10. Richard Gasquet - 0%
11. Marin Cilic - 10%
12. Milos Raonic - 50%
13. David Goffin - 5%
14. Dominic Thiem - 55%
15. John Isner - 0%
16. Gael Monfils - 0%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 0%
18. Kevin Anderson - 0%
19. Gilles Simon - 0%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 85%

 

[duaneeo]

4. Stan Wawrinka - 11%
5. Rafael Nadal - 9%
19. Gilles Simon - 0%

If facing Djokovic in the 2016 RG final, I think all of the above would win. Tsonga and Murray are 50%.

 

[dannythomas]

Nadal could definitely still win another French. 25 % chance. Especially if Uncle Tony takes more of a back seat.

Murray could win any slam if he successfully begs Lendl to work with him again. Then it could be a 50 % chance. If he keeps working with people who he blames and yells at on court for his errors I would give him a 2 % chance

Federer only if Novak gets injured or suffers a shock defeat to someone else. So I would make his chances 20 %.

Nishikori definitely has a shot. 25 % ,

Thiem , Goffin and Kyrgios could all have a shot after Novak retires or gets to his mid 30s. Too early to quantify.

Wawrinka I think French only if Novak is jinxed and fails again. 15 %.

 

[GabeT]

2. Andy Murray - 10%
3. Roger Federer - 9%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 11%
5. Rafael Nadal - 9%
6. Kei Nishikori - 1%
7. Tomas Berdych - 1%
8. David Ferrer - negative 50%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 0%
10. Richard Gasquet - 0%
11. Marin Cilic - 1%
12. Milos Raonic - 8%
13. David Goffin - 0%
14. Dominic Thiem - 20%
15. John Isner - negative 50%
16. Gael Monfils - 0%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 0%
18. Kevin Anderson - negative 50%
19. Gilles Simon - 0%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 25%


Has the tour ever been weaker?

I bet you had Cilic at 1% last year as well, right before the USO.

The reason so few can aspire to win Slams right now has little to do with weak or strong eras. It's because of Nole's dominance. Some time in the near future he will decline and plenty of others will start winning Slams. Will that mean the start of a strong era? Or course not. Your logic is faulty.

 

[mattosgrant]

If facing Djokovic in the 2016 RG final, I think all of the above would win. Tsonga and Murray are 50%.

Simon would never be in any slam final to begin with, so it is immaterial.

 

[robow7]

Milos can definitely ride that big serve and game to a slam on grass or the faster hard courts if he can get and stay hot. He seems to be still improving.

 

[duaneeo]

Simon would never be in any slam final to begin with, so it is immaterial.

Who thought Cilic would ever be in a slam final? And, Simon took Djokovic to 5 sets at the AO.

 

[mattosgrant]

Who thought Cilic would ever be in a slam final? And, Simon took Djokovic to 5 sets at the AO.

Cilic was long thought of as a potential slam winner when he first emerged on the scene. It had only been for a couple years max people had given up on the idea before his slam win. Regardless he has power and weapons to beat any top player on a given day, which Simon does not have. He has the game to frusterate and beat any top player on a really off day, but you need more than that to go all the way in a slam. He doesn't have the game to ever string 4 or 5 good wins to win the title or even make the final of a slam, no way.

 

[Fedinkum]

Thiem for French. 80%.

 

[Deleted member 738064]

This looks fun
1. Novak Djokovic - 90%
2. Andy Murray - 40%
3. Roger Federer - 30%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 30%
5. Rafael Nadal - 20%
6. Kei Nishikori - 10%
7. Tomas Berdych - 5%
8. David Ferrer - 1%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 2%
10. Richard Gasquet - 1%
11. Marin Cilic - 5%
12. Milos Raonic - 5%
13. David Goffin - 5%
14. Dominic Thiem - 20%
15. John Isner - 1%
16. Gael Monfils - 2%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 1%
18. Kevin Anderson - 1%
19. Gilles Simon - 1%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 50%

Off Topic but where has Anderson been?

 

[beltsman]

2. Andy Murray - 10%
3. Roger Federer - 1%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 7%
5. Rafael Nadal - 50%
6. Kei Nishikori - 3%
7. Tomas Berdych - 1%
8. David Ferrer - .000000000001%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - .0000000001%
10. Richard Gasquet - .00000000001%
11. Marin Cilic - 1%
12. Milos Raonic - 13%
13. David Goffin - 6%
14. Dominic Thiem - 20%
15. John Isner - .0000001%
16. Gael Monfils - 3%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - .00000001%
18. Kevin Anderson - 1%
19. Gilles Simon - 1%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 90%

 

[metsman]

Honestly maybe not? We need to make the forum great again imo.

build a wall that separates the Fed fans from the Novak fans.

 

[AnOctorokForDinner]

build a wall that separates the Fed fans from the Novak fans.

There are some Fedal fans and Djokodal fans, but I haven't seen a Fedovic fan around - must have gone extinct last year?
Probably the closest thing we get to a Fedovic fan now is a Nadal hater, lol.

 

[Aussie Darcy]

This is a stupid thread sorry.
Any of those players could win a slam as crazy as that sounds. Cilic did it, Stan's done it while playing insane. Anderson took Djokovic to a 5th set as did Simon. Ferrer consistently reaches slam QF's.
From your list the only player I can't see ever winning a slam is Isner.

 

[dannythomas]

If facing Djokovic in the 2016 RG final, I think all of the above would win. Tsonga and Murray are 50%.

I think any of those ( Nadal, Wawrinka , Simon, Murray or Tsonga ) play Novak in the 2016 RG final, Novak would be the hot favorite.

 

[VexlanderPrime]

I would give everyone apart from Nadal, Djokovic and Federer a 0% chance. Including ALL of the 'next generation' (Kyrgios, Thiem, Dimitrov, Nishikori, Zverev, Fritz, Tiafoe...etc...).

Dats why ur Thomas Ferret man

 

[VexlanderPrime]

2. Andy Murray - 65%
3. Roger Federer - 10%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 40%
5. Rafael Nadal - 15%
6. Kei Nishikori - 55%
7. Tomas Berdych - 0%
8. David Ferrer - 0%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 1%
10. Richard Gasquet - 0%
11. Marin Cilic - 10%
12. Milos Raonic - 50%
13. David Goffin - 5%
14. Dominic Thiem - 55%
15. John Isner - 0%
16. Gael Monfils - 0%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 0%
18. Kevin Anderson - 0%
19. Gilles Simon - 0%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 25%

 

[nowhereman]

None of this is set in stone. If any of those players mentioned run into Monfils in the near future, their chances could easily skyrocket depending on whether they're a quick learner or not.

 

[duaneeo]

Cilic was long thought of as a potential slam winner when he first emerged on the scene. It had only been for a couple years max people had given up on the idea before his slam win.

Those thoughts had long passed, and more than just a couple years max. Regardless, no one thought of Cilic as a potential slam winner in 2014.

And what about Ferrer? If he can make it to the 2013 RG final, why not Simon in 2016?

 

[mattosgrant]

Those thoughts had long passed, and more than just a couple years max. Regardless, no one thought of Cilic as a potential slam winner in 2014.

And what about Ferrer? If he can make it to the 2013 RG final, why not Simon in 2016?

Cilic and Ferrer are both much better and more dangerous players than Simon. It is pretty simple. If you are saying Simon even in his 30s can make a slam final we might as well just say why not Donald Young too, or anyone on tour.

 

[duaneeo]

If you are saying Simon even in his 30s can make a slam final we might as well just say why not Donald Young too, or anyone on tour.

Did Donald Young just take Djokovic to 5 sets at his most successful slam?

 

[mattosgrant]

Did Donald Young just take Djokovic to 5 sets at his most successful slam?

Would Simon have made the Australian Open final even had he won that match (hell no).

 

[nowhereman]

build a wall that separates the Fed fans from the Novak fans.

And make the Novak fans pay for it!

 

[duaneeo]

Would Simon have made the Australian Open final even had he won that match (hell no).

Heavens, all I initially said is that Simon would beat Djokovic if they met in the RG final. You turned the prediction of a hypothetical scenario into an argument of if Simon can make it to a slam final.

 

[RelentlessAttack]

Lol, Raonic at 25%. Love the guy, but he just doesn't have the ground game to beat a top echelon player at his best.

If he gets to avoid Djokovic and any future true contender then maybe.

 

[Nonsense]

wonder what chances the likes of Cilic and Stan would have gotten in 2014.

 

[Jonas78]

2. Andy Murray - 10%
3. Roger Federer - 9%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 11%
5. Rafael Nadal - 9%
6. Kei Nishikori - 1%
7. Tomas Berdych - 1%
8. David Ferrer - negative 50%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 0%
10. Richard Gasquet - 0%
11. Marin Cilic - 1%
12. Milos Raonic - 8%
13. David Goffin - 0%
14. Dominic Thiem - 20%
15. John Isner - negative 50%
16. Gael Monfils - 0%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 0%
18. Kevin Anderson - negative 50%
19. Gilles Simon - 0%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 25%


Has the tour ever been weaker?

Not bad.
Of the 20 everybody is 0% except 8 (Murray, Federer, Rafa, Wawa, Nadal, Raonic, Thiem and Kyrgios).

I would also give Wawa the best chance of the older guys. Kyrgios has the best chance if he gets his head fixed.

 

[Russeljones]

2. Andy Murray - 10%
3. Roger Federer - 9%
4. Stan Wawrinka - 11%
5. Rafael Nadal - 9%
6. Kei Nishikori - 1%
7. Tomas Berdych - 1%
8. David Ferrer - negative 50%
9. Jo Wilifried Tsonga - 0%
10. Richard Gasquet - 0%
11. Marin Cilic - 1%
12. Milos Raonic - 8%
13. David Goffin - 0%
14. Dominic Thiem - 20%
15. John Isner - negative 50%
16. Gael Monfils - 0%
17. Roberto Bautista Agut - 0%
18. Kevin Anderson - negative 50%
19. Gilles Simon - 0%
20. Nick Kyrgios - 25%


Has the tour ever been weaker?

Where's Grigor Dimitrov? The disrespect..

 

[weakera]

Where's Grigor Dimitrov? The disrespect..

Where is Grigor in the rankings? He doesn't deserve to be mentioned in the same breath as Grandpa.