What will 2013 be like for Federer

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by McEnroeisanartist, Dec 3, 2012.

  1. McEnroeisanartist

    McEnroeisanartist Hall of Fame

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    Other than Laver and Rosewall, the only players that had any sort of quality results at Federer's age in their careers were Connors and Agassi.

    In 2013, Federer will be 31 until August, then he turns 32.

    In 1984, Connors was 31 and turned 32. That year, he went 74-14 won 5 titles in 7 finals, didn't win a slam after winning one the year before, and finished the year ranked #2. He reached a grand slam final and two semifinals.

    In 2002, Agassi was 31 and turned 32. That year he went 53-12 won 5 titles (including 3 Masters Series). He reached a grand slam final, quarterfinal, and 2nd round.

    I think Federer's win/loss in 2013 will be closer to Agassi's. I could see him winning 3 or 4 titles. Reaching a grand slam final seems very difficult.

    What do you think Federer's 2013 will be like?
     
  2. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    I think Federer will get to the QF round at the AO, FO, Wimbledon and the US Open, ending the year at #4.
     
  3. Dark Magician

    Dark Magician Professional

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    ^^ This would be the scenario in 2014. 2013 will be better. I am quite hopeful.
     
  4. ricki

    ricki Professional

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    I think he will retire in 2013 season
     
  5. VPhuc tennis fan

    VPhuc tennis fan Professional

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    Pessimist! Always half-empty glass, aren't you?
     
  6. VPhuc tennis fan

    VPhuc tennis fan Professional

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    Why only QF @ AO and USO? Not because he lost to Berdieman at QF, USO this year that's bound to happen again next year. That loss was an aberration, an outlier IMO. Fed will make SF in all GS. Whether or not he wins, that's another matter.
     
  7. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    I think after every year he will lose more and more consistency. He will still be incredibly consistent, but not enough to actually win the slams anymore. Perhaps he will post SF round results for the US Open and the AO, but I can't see that for Wimbledon or the FO.
     
  8. NatF

    NatF G.O.A.T.

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    If he can win Wimbledon this year going through Djokovic and Murray why can't you see him reaching the semi's in atleast 2013?
     
  9. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    Bookies have him as 3rd favourite for AO and Wimbledon, 4th favourite for RG, USO and YE number 1. Also, he's the only top 4 member not to be odds on to win a slam in 2013.

    Looks like the bookies are expecting some decline - I wouldn't be so sure.
     
  10. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    Maybe he will make the SF round at Wimbledon next year, but I believe Tsonga and other threats on grass may get the better of him.
     
  11. TMCW140

    TMCW140 Hall of Fame

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    Pretty much the same as this year, I'd imagine
     
  12. 6-1 6-3 6-0

    6-1 6-3 6-0 Banned

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    It's not looking good for Federer. If Nadal can tie Sampras this year, Nadal will have 14 (or 15) slams at the age of 27. And then Nadal can win Roland Garros for the next five years AT LEAST, taking him to 19-20 slams. All Federer will be able to do is try to retain his QF streak. Looks like a Santoro-like end for Federer... (although Santoro was more skilled than Federer)
     
  13. President

    President Legend

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    Depends how hard he trains in the offseason and his motivation levels. I honestly haven't seen much of a physical decline from Federer since 2009 or so, his level of play actually improved in 2012 relative to the previous few years so I don't foresee much of a decline
     
  14. Homeboy Hotel

    Homeboy Hotel Hall of Fame

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    Slower.

    And much more reliant on his serving.

    If he's not serving well, its ******** straight to the airport.
     
  15. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    Yes, just like Nadal won Roland Garros in 2009.
     
  16. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    You don't think Rafa matching his best ever season on tour after being out for 6 months is a bit of a stretch? Not saying he can't do it - but I think you need to give him some time to get back in the groove.
     
  17. 6-1 6-3 6-0

    6-1 6-3 6-0 Banned

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    Yep, when his parents split. But it's unlikely they'll split again, and since Nadal has experienced the pain before, he'll have got used to it, so it will affect his play a lot less.
     
  18. 6-1 6-3 6-0

    6-1 6-3 6-0 Banned

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    Even if Nadal loses AO 2013, then Nadal has SIX months to get into his Roland Garros groove, and since Nadal's game is based on confidence, then Nadal's confidence can propel him to the remaining 3 slams, matching Sampras by at least the US Open.
     
  19. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    He has 3 and a bit months between the end of the AO and the start of RG. The guys who price tennis matches for a living have him at 5/4 to win RG - that's the first time in about 6 years that he hasn't been odds on to win it.

    I think you are only considering the best case scenario.
     
  20. merlinpinpin

    merlinpinpin Hall of Fame

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    You really think Nadal can already be as good as Sampras in Roland Garros, by losing to a Gallos Blanco-like player in the second round? That would be mighty impressive, but I honestly think we'll have to wait a bit longer to see him posting such results on clay.

    Of course, should he draw Rosol, all bets are off, obviously... ;)
     
  21. Towser83

    Towser83 Legend

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    Who the hell is 3rd favourite for RG??! Not Murray lol. can see him being ahead of fed at every slam except RG not that it really matters, at best its a 2 horse race.
     
  22. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    Yep. It's a bit mad, eh.
     
  23. smoledman

    smoledman Legend

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    I don't even care about titles anymore, just win Wimbledon. The reason he can still win it in 2013 is Djokovic's spider-like movement is compromised on grass and Murray doesn't have the weapons.
     
  24. smoledman

    smoledman Legend

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    Tsonga's decline has already begun.
     
  25. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    That guy with no weapons gave Roger the biggest beatdown of his grasscourt career.
     
  26. NatF

    NatF G.O.A.T.

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    Roger was emotionally and physically drained ;)
     
  27. batz

    batz G.O.A.T.

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    Was probably windy too ;)
     
  28. Mainad

    Mainad G.O.A.T.

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    It wasn't fair on Roger. They didn't close the roof like in the Wimby final. How can he be expected to play goatlike with all that fresh air hampering his movement and ball-striking? ;-)
     
  29. NatF

    NatF G.O.A.T.

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    The match at Wimbledon was already starting to go his way before the roof closed anyway to be fair.

    I imagine so lol. But in all seriousness Murray's movement/retrieving abilities are a weapon in itself. Plus he's got ALOT of power off both wings when he chooses to apply it. His first serve is pretty strong when it's on too.
     
  30. smoledman

    smoledman Legend

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    To be fair about the Olympic Final, Roger was coming off a record length semifinal with Del Potro. How many times has Nadal lost in finals(even on clay) after enduring epic semis - a lot even in his prime.
     
  31. Homeboy Hotel

    Homeboy Hotel Hall of Fame

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    Not particularly. Murray has break points in the 2nd set and a chance to serve for the second set. It was still on serve at 5-6.

    Federer chooses the drop shot (desperate shot or the signs of an ice cool temperament - your call), then they go off court for 30mins to come back to an indoor court where Murray just disappeared.
     
    Last edited: Dec 3, 2012
  32. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    Yes, because posting a few bad results at the tail-end of the season means he's in rapid decline and can't make the SF round at Wimbledon like he's done before.
     
  33. 6-1 6-3 6-0

    6-1 6-3 6-0 Banned

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    Yep, just like AO 2009...
     
  34. forzamilan90

    forzamilan90 Legend

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    I think he wins at least 1 slam next year what with his "new" way of managing schedule
     
  35. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    Retaining his Wimbledon title is his best hope, really.
     
  36. forzamilan90

    forzamilan90 Legend

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    preferably vs Rosol in the final :)
     
  37. timnz

    timnz Hall of Fame

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    So

    You are talking about a guy who was number 1 in the world only a month ago right?
     
  38. beckstennis

    beckstennis New User

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    PURE GOLD :)
     
  39. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    Wow, what a beatdown that would be! :)
     
  40. cork_screw

    cork_screw Hall of Fame

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    Probably the same. I would expect a wimby win and nothing more. For now it seems Djoker is the force behind ausie, french is for the raging bull and USO is kinda up for grabs, but fed is fading from that tourney
     
  41. smoledman

    smoledman Legend

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    COMEDY GOLD.
     
  42. FEDERERNADAL13

    FEDERERNADAL13 Hall of Fame

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    Being positive:

    AO: I can see him making the semis (maybe the finals if Rafa is in his half and isn't 100%). I don't think he can beat Djoker or Murray at the AO, but hey, stranger things have happened in tennis!

    FO: I see a QF/SF finish for Rogi here. When he played Djoker at RG he didn't seem to have the will/care to fight on throughout the match. Again, I could be wrong though.

    WI: This is where I think things could happen for Roger. I think he can beat anyone there if he's on (especially if it's rainy next year and the roof is put on). I can see him getting to the Finals, maybe winning like this year.

    Cincy: If the court is fast this year, I can see Rogi defending his Real slam crown. Will be tough though, those 1000 points are well sought after.

    USO: Again, anything can happen here. Last year it seemed like Roger was a little tired throughout the USO and end of the year (except for WTF), so maybe his "new" scheduling will help him stay fresh. I can see him beating any of the other 3 top guys, but I wouldn't be shocked to see him losing early to some big hitter. This one's the X-factor for me.

    WTF: Depending on how much he wants this one, I think he could win it for sure. For example, if Roger doesn't win a slam in 2013, he'll want to win this as a "consolation" prize for sure. If Rog doesn't get a slam win in 2013, I can see him going all out for the WTF like in 2011.


    Overall:
    Depending on how his schedule turns out, I think Roger's 2013 could be a good one. If he doesn't show up rusty (due to the low # of tournaments) he could do really well! At his age I would think that being fresh would be the #1 priority, and his planning could lead to a good year. I'm not saying #1 (since he'd have to do really well at all tournaments to have a chance), I'm not even saying multi-slam (though you can't really rule that out since it's Roger Federer), but I think he could maybe win a slam, maybe make a few finals, and finish top 4 again. Allez Roger!
     
  43. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    Roger Federer is basically top 4 forever. Nobody else is going to overtake him.
     
  44. Towser83

    Towser83 Legend

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    pretty much agree with this.
     
  45. World Beater

    World Beater Hall of Fame

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    Not that optimistic in honesty.

    Federer might have a chance to pick up maybe one slam next year.

    Federer cant seem to beat novak or nadal without completely outplaying them, which happens pretty rarely these days.

    Murray is also now going to be a big obstacle.
     
  46. Tennis_Hands

    Tennis_Hands Hall of Fame

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    Federer will have quiet year, with 4-5 tournament wins(maybe one significant title).

    Followed by a stellar (for a 32-33 years old) 2014.
     
  47. monfed

    monfed Guest

    Fed might sneak in the WTF but no chance at the slams.
     
  48. DropShotArtist

    DropShotArtist Banned

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    Slam will be split between Djoker and Nadal in 2013:

    AO Nadal
    FO Nadal
    W Djoker
    USO Djoker
     
  49. Sabratha

    Sabratha G.O.A.T.

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    Not even Wimbledon? :confused:
     
  50. monfed

    monfed Guest

    Not a chance,he's used up his quota of Wimbys. And Murray will be too hard for him to stop imo. Ralph will as usual moonball his way to another final/win the title, djokovic might make semis at best.
     

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