When should I place a bet on Wimbledon?

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by palmerpursuit, Jun 11, 2008.

  1. palmerpursuit

    palmerpursuit Rookie

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    I want to place a bet on Nadal to win Wimby...but I'm not sure if I should do it now or later. On the site I bet at they have him at 4-1 odds,joko at 3-1 and fed at 1-1...do you think the odds will change as we approach wimbledon? should I bet on Nadal now or wait?
     
  2. Supernatural_Serve

    Supernatural_Serve Professional

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    I would want to see the draw and let time give me information rather than tie up my money, even if I was 100% behind Nadal, because I would want to leave some cash aside as a potential hedge against time (things change) and the draw.

    Spread the money around (at least a little).
     
  3. Rickson

    Rickson G.O.A.T.

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    That's an easy question to answer. Wait and by that I mean wait a few more years. You will lose your money if you bet on Nadal to win it all this year. A safer bet would be to bet on Nadal winning the 1st round.
     
  4. palmerpursuit

    palmerpursuit Rookie

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    I'm only talking about a $50 bet guys,lol
    My real question is do you think the odds on Nadal will change at all before we get to Wimledon?
     
  5. Tchocky

    Tchocky Hall of Fame

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    Of course the odds will change. If Rafa wins Stella Artois, then his price will go up. You should get your bet in now.
     
  6. palmerpursuit

    palmerpursuit Rookie

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    Do you see any possibility of his price going down?
     
  7. Moose Malloy

    Moose Malloy Legend

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    dude, make your bet now. If he wins queens he may go as low as 2-1(seriously)

    and if Fed loses early at halle...god knows what the odds will be, esp in light of the FO final.

    people shouldn't mess around with futures' bets, if you find a line you like, take it.
     
  8. Tchocky

    Tchocky Hall of Fame

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    Nadal is currently at +345. I got him at +450. I don't see the price going down on him. Federer is currently +110 and Djokovic is still at +425. Nadal went from +450 to +345 in one day. That is a huge line movement!
     
  9. palmerpursuit

    palmerpursuit Rookie

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    I put $50 on Nadal to win at playersonly
    I'll get a profit of $200 if he wins,4-1 odds
     
  10. ezdude1970

    ezdude1970 Semi-Pro

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    now is probably would be the worst time to place a bet on him, because the preception after his impressive win at french open that he can do it on multiple surfaces, i would wait until he loses at one of those smaller grass tournaments, or struggles against some lesser player, at that point you will probably get a more favorable line.
     
  11. palmerpursuit

    palmerpursuit Rookie

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    Doesn't look like it, Nadal destroyed Bjorkman today 6-2,6-2 and everyone already knows that Nadal is the Clay God. So that shouldn't affect the line..but I already placed the bet anyway.
     
  12. Moose Malloy

    Moose Malloy Legend

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    have the odds changed after yesterday?
     
  13. Thor

    Thor Professional

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    "Rafael Nadal has been cut from 11/4 to 9/4 at Ladbrokes to win this year's Men's title at Wimbledon after coming back from 0-3 to win the Artois Championship at Queen's.

    The Spaniard is second in the betting for the All England Club tournament behind Roger Federer - who has drifted from 11/10 to 5/4 - with Novak Djokovic unchanged on 7/2.

    Ladbrokes spokesman Robin Hutchison said: "The last man to win the French and Wimbledon in the same season was Bjorn Borg 28 years ago so history is not on Nadal's side. But he's in such sizzling form that we have had to sit up and take note."

    The Harrow-based firm laid a £20,000 bet at 5/1on Nadal to win Wimbledon to a customer in South London last week.

    Hutchison added: "At this stage we're cheering on the entire field."

    Wimbledon 2008 Odds
    Roger Federer 5/4
    Rafael Nadal 9/4
    Novak Djokovic 7/2"

    http://www.bettingpro.com/category/Tennis/Wimbledon-2008-Odds/
     
  14. Thor

    Thor Professional

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    Spot on.Nadal was 6-1(after monte carlo) and then 5-1 and now he's 2.25-1
     
  15. palmerpursuit

    palmerpursuit Rookie

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    I am using a site called playersonly and the odds for Nadal have not changed yet,there still at 4-1...is this strange??? Is this site legit?
     
  16. Moose Malloy

    Moose Malloy Legend

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    A site I use still has him at 4-1. Some sites are just slow to update that stuff.
     
  17. Lefty5

    Lefty5 Hall of Fame

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    Nadal at 4-1 is the value pick of the year. Love it.
     
  18. veroniquem

    veroniquem Bionic Poster

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    I just love how people keep underestimating Nadal. His potential opponents had better not fall in that trap this year!
     
  19. palmerpursuit

    palmerpursuit Rookie

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    I would be genuinely delighted to see Rafael Nadal win Wimbledon.
     
  20. veroniquem

    veroniquem Bionic Poster

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    That makes 2 of us :) although delighted doesn't even start to describe how I would feel...
     
  21. tennis-hero

    tennis-hero Banned

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    3-1 on djokovic is a GREAT bet

    4-1 on nadal, i'd go with djokovic

    then again, at queens nadal was playing the best grass tennis he's ever played

    then again, if fed decides to play he's still probably too good for either of them
     
  22. Nadal_Freak

    Nadal_Freak Banned

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    It would be a dream come true but I got doubts. Fed and Djokovic as well as many others could destroy that hope. Wimbledon is not as slow as the perception by many *******s. Still not a favorable surface to Nadal. We'll see what happens.
     
  23. pound cat

    pound cat G.O.A.T.

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    If you watch matches on betting sites you will see the odds sometimes changing with every point.
     
  24. zagor

    zagor Talk Tennis Guru

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    He reached 2 finals in a row and pushed a 5 time winner there to 5 sets last year so I'd say the surface suits Nadal otherwise he wouln't have that much success there.The surfaces that aren't favourable to Nadal are those at AO and USO where he has yet to reach a single final(he hasn't even been past quarters at USO yet).Grass suits Nadal and 2 Wimbledon finals in a row and a Queens title prove this.
     
  25. BullDogTennis

    BullDogTennis Hall of Fame

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    the way i see it is.

    he's one the french for the last several years-they think he'll win there
    fed has one wimbly for the last several years-they think he'll win there

    now the US open could be where it changes a bit, especially how fed got beat in the semi's on hardcourt at australia(even if he was sick)
     

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