Who has Better Chances to Beat Nadal @ FO

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by DoubleDeuce, May 20, 2010.

?

WHo?

Poll closed May 27, 2010.
  1. Gulbis

    29 vote(s)
    33.0%
  2. Ferrer

    5 vote(s)
    5.7%
  3. Ferrero

    2 vote(s)
    2.3%
  4. Soderling

    20 vote(s)
    22.7%
  5. Tsonga

    1 vote(s)
    1.1%
  6. Monfils

    1 vote(s)
    1.1%
  7. Djoker

    18 vote(s)
    20.5%
  8. Other

    12 vote(s)
    13.6%
  1. DoubleDeuce

    DoubleDeuce Hall of Fame

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    Forgot Djoker so I am reposting the poll

    If you had to pick one, who would it be?
     
    #1
  2. rovex

    rovex Legend

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    Fernando Verdasco
     
    #2
  3. djokovicgonzalez2010

    djokovicgonzalez2010 G.O.A.T.

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    Djokovic
    watch out for giraldo
    ferrero's game was too defensive to survive him, so nadal's sure is
     
    #3
  4. DoubleDeuce

    DoubleDeuce Hall of Fame

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    Forgot about him..oh well
     
    #4
  5. P_Agony

    P_Agony Banned

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    The Djoker of course. He's the one guy who I'm sure Rafa doesn't like to see in his half of the draw on clay.
     
    #5
  6. fundrazer

    fundrazer Hall of Fame

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    Lol thanks for the chuckle rovex, the Spaniards are too afraid of Rafa. Anyways I'd have to say Gulbis or Djoker but I'm not saying they have even a decent chance of beating Rafa.
     
    #6
  7. rovex

    rovex Legend

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    #7
  8. DoubleDeuce

    DoubleDeuce Hall of Fame

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    is it possible for number 2 and 3 to be in the same half? I think they did it in one of the previous slams
     
    #8
  9. Radobg

    Radobg Rookie

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    I think Nole! But I doubt that this will happen exactly at this RG!!Maybe in one of the following years!!!Who knows....
     
    #9
  10. rovex

    rovex Legend

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    Djokovic will be hoping he hasn't got Verdasco to deal with again before the latter stages of the tournament.
     
    #10
  11. TennisFan3

    TennisFan3 Legend

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    Nadal's losses on clay have ALL been conditional. He's dominated the surface as well as any man has dominated any particular aspect of any sport.

    If Nadal is 100%, no one can beat him. If he goes lame again, then Gulbis, Soderling and Delpo have a chance (delpo is not playing unfortunately).

    As far as Djokovic or federer are concerned, Both have no chance of beating Nadal in Paris, no matter what Nadal's condition is. Djokovic is 0-10 against Nadal on clay. Federer is 2-10 against Nadal on clay. He's also lost 4 times in Paris to Rafa.

    Fed beating Nadal on clay in 5 sets in Paris? That ship sailed away in 2005, 2006. That's when the Swiss was at his peak and Nadal was a cub. Things are different now..
     
    Last edited: May 20, 2010
    #11
  12. dropshot winner

    dropshot winner Hall of Fame

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    LOL.

    I think he should start by trying to win more than 1 games in a match, and if he does that, he should try to win more than 3 games a set (which he has never done).
     
    #12
  13. AsaHartz

    AsaHartz New User

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    Gotta say Soderling because he is the only one who has ever done it.

    Wouldn't it be something if Nadal ran off another 4 or 5 in a row and retired and you were the only guy to ever beat him at RG.
     
    #13
  14. Max G.

    Max G. Hall of Fame

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    Yes, it's possible. 1 and 2 are placed on opposite sides of the draw; 3 and 4 are placed randomly between the two halves. 1-3 4-2 and 1-4 3-2 are both possible.
     
    #14
  15. rovex

    rovex Legend

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    Not saying your wrong, but how many games did Soderling win against Nadal in their encounter in a few weeks before the French Open? LOL
     
    #15
  16. dropshot winner

    dropshot winner Hall of Fame

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    True. But Söderling gave him a very though match before that, on Nadal's 2nd best surface.

    The sad thing is that it isn't just about the game, Verdasco has enough of it to eventually beat Nadal (at least on hardcourt), but the doesn't seem to really believe in his chances.
     
    #16
  17. davey25

    davey25 Banned

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    Out of these guys? I would say in order:

    1. Gulbis
    2. Djokovic
    3. Soderling
    4. Ferrer

    Gulbis is one of the hottest players on tour now and if he can play like he did at Rome or a bit better he has a shot of winning if Nadal doesnt bring his A-game. Djokovic wont ever get far enough to play Nadal at this years French given his recent form and confidence, but if he somehow does he has a better shot than most since he is one of the few who has given Nadal alot of tough matches on clay. Soderling's run last year I think was a fluke and I dont think he is a top clay courter at all. However he would have a shot just because of his self belief and lack of fear of Nadal. Ferrer has given Nadal some decent matches on the dirt, although winning a set seems like it would enough of a challenge for him let alone the match.

    The others on the list are not even worth considering.
     
    #17
  18. bluetrain4

    bluetrain4 Legend

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    I expect Nadal to win, so I'm not saying that these players will beat him, but seriously, the players with the best chance in my opinion are

    1. Federer - he's actually beat him on clay and played him close before.

    2. Almagro - he seems to go through patches where Nadal's hitting patterns just don't bother him, and he has the big shots. That said, I can't see him sustaining it over 5 sets.

    I always expect Monfils-Nadal to be at least be interesting since Monfils can run so many shots down, can play great defense, and has good offense. But, he's clearly a tier below the top guys and can't execute consistently enough. So, I'm not choosing him, just making this observation.
     
    #18
  19. veroniquem

    veroniquem Bionic Poster

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    That's not a bad logic: that or an unexpectedly on fire player. Bottom line is though: if Rafa feels fine, noone can beat him on clay, period.
     
    #19
  20. Tennis_Bum

    Tennis_Bum Professional

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    I don't think it would matter if you put Verdasco in the poll.
     
    #20
  21. Tony48

    Tony48 Legend

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    Gulbis: has a decent shot. He has already proved that he can take it to Nadal on clay.

    Ferrer: he's Spanish, so no.

    Ferrero: ditto

    Soderling: he's done it before, although he isn't exactly the #1 favorite to do so. I'd say that he has a small shot.

    Tsonga: No.

    Monfils: not this year, at least. That beat down a few weeks ago indicates to me that he's still a little leery from injury. Plus, he's not consistent enough anyway.

    Djoker: Who knows. I'm going to say that Nadal has to be a little off of his game and Djoker has to be absolutely HOT (and we haven't seen this in a long time). Might be close but I'm going to say no. But like I said: who knows.
     
    #21
  22. kishnabe

    kishnabe G.O.A.T.

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    This year I would say Gulbis on form and Verdasco( Potenteially could beat Rafa) but Rafa is so physically tough to beat with his spin.
     
    #22
  23. veroniquem

    veroniquem Bionic Poster

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    I agree (with tony48). Gulbis and Sod have the kind of game that bothers Rafa and I'm not saying they would be likely to do it but there would be more of a chance than with other players.
     
    #23
  24. Dutch-Guy

    Dutch-Guy Legend

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    He's 9-0 against Nadal on clay(3-0 in Paris).
    Back on the topic: a red hot Gulbis may cause Nadal a serious problem but at the end the King of clay 'd still prevail(just like in Rome).
     
    #24
  25. NamRanger

    NamRanger G.O.A.T.

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    I'm gonna go out on a limb and say Youhzny just for giggles.
     
    #25
  26. Anaconda

    Anaconda Hall of Fame

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    The clay field is a joke. I mean how weak is the clay field if Gulbis is seen as the biggest threat to Nadal?


    Davydenko is out, so i'll say Djokovic.
     
    #26
  27. veroniquem

    veroniquem Bionic Poster

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    It's all a matter of matchup. Guys like Ferrer, Verdasco, Almagro may be big threats for other players but not for Rafa. And the players who annoy Fed are also different.
     
    #27
  28. Anaconda

    Anaconda Hall of Fame

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    JMDP would have been a threat to Nadal. Too bad, i would have wanted to see that match go down.
     
    #28
  29. Drago

    Drago New User

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    Marin Cilic
     
    #29
  30. pjonesy

    pjonesy Professional

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    I think you are closest to having a reasonable list. Gulbis could have won their match in Rome. He hits with tremendous pace and has developed some touch, including drop shots and slices that can disrupt Nadal's rhythm. I agree with your comments about Djokovic and I really cannot see him being a factor this year. I completely agree with you about Soderling. He played extremely aggressive last year and Nadal did not possess the energy to match his intensity. I fully expect that Soderling will not have the success he had last year and Nadal will be the aggressor in all of his matches at Roland Garros. Do not expect him to play passively. I disagree with you about Ferrer being on the list. Ferrer can beat anyone else but he will not take 3 sets from Nadal. Ferrer does not have the weapons to beat him. I would say that Almagro has a slim chance against Nadal. He can hurt Nadal with his powerful strokes and is adept at finishing points when he has the chance. Almagro looked very strong against Nadal in the 1st set in Madrid. I think that he will have difficulty taking 3 sets from Nadal, but if he can add some variety and some surprise tactics to his game (like Gulbis), he may be able to frustrate Nadal. Once again, Nadal looks as invincible as ever going into the French Open.
     
    Last edited: May 20, 2010
    #30
  31. nikdom

    nikdom Hall of Fame

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    john isner
     
    #31
  32. vortex1

    vortex1 Banned

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    Ok, who voted Tsonga. Come on, confess. :evil:
     
    #32
  33. Lsmkenpo

    Lsmkenpo Hall of Fame

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    Have to remember just because it is a clay event, doesn't mean it will play like the slow clay in Barcelona and Rome where Nadal can grind players to death.

    Any of the top offensive players have a chance to beat him, if they get on a hot streak.
     
    #33
  34. Polaris

    Polaris Hall of Fame

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    Only the Soderman has done it so far, but I'd love to see Gulbis do it, or Djokovic.
    Most of all, though, it would be awesome if Federer did the job once and for all.
     
    Last edited: May 20, 2010
    #34
  35. OTMPut

    OTMPut Hall of Fame

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    ah there it is!

    look up "tautology".
     
    #35
  36. OddJack

    OddJack Legend

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    Yeah, that's the title for upcoming Wimbledon Poem.
     
    #36
  37. penguinn11

    penguinn11 New User

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    Why is it that everythime Nadal or Fed loses there will be excuses?

    It is not rocket science that in a competition there will be a winner and a loser. So when Nadal or Fed take to the court to play, no excuses if they lose. Its just that the opponent play better on that day and all his shot either paint the line or so good that it force error on them.

    Give credit to all tennis players who train and sacrifice alot to get to where they are today, tennis is not just about fed or nadal, its about the whole pool of players out there trying to get to their level.
     
    #37
  38. coloskier

    coloskier Legend

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    Soderling is in Fed's half, so that won't be happening. Gulbis is also in Fed's half. I predict another Fed/Nadal final. Neither of them should be bothered by anyone in their half of the draw in a best 3 of 5. All the spaniards are in Nadal's half, and they all wilt immediately against him.
     
    #38
  39. dmt

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    rome is not slow clay
     
    #39
  40. yellowoctopus

    yellowoctopus Professional

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    Nadal will not face Gulbis, Soderling, Mofil, or Tsonga in this year's RG, so I'm guessing the poll is referring to a general case scenario.

    [​IMG]
     
    #40
  41. Legend of Borg

    Legend of Borg Legend

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    I would pay to see Delpo with 2009 FO form against Nadal in this FO. Sadly, it isn't happening.
     
    #41
  42. Leonidas

    Leonidas Semi-Pro

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    Delpo lost to federer last year. You cannot be blasting the ball for 4 hours on CLAY. He got tired , that´s the reason he lost to federer. by the way, Federer´s stamina is underrated. Mind you, he runs away with the victory in GS a lot of times because he is fitter than his opponents in the last 3 sets. Back to the topic, i think a Nadal in form and playing on a normal FO court (no ultralight balls and no removing tha layers of clay) would beat delpo, probably in straights
     
    #42
  43. tahiti

    tahiti Professional

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    Yeah I wonder why Nando isn't on the list?
    Djokovic also of course has a chance.
     
    #43
  44. tahiti

    tahiti Professional

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    Well said, good post.
     
    #44
  45. Lsmkenpo

    Lsmkenpo Hall of Fame

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    It is medium paced, slow enough for grinders to still wait for the UE , nothing compared to the French. You could count on one hand the players with the strokes to hit through the court in Rome, only the biggest hitters on tour could do it. It will be much different at Roland Garros.
     
    Last edited: May 21, 2010
    #45
  46. jamesblakefan#1

    jamesblakefan#1 G.O.A.T.

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    LOL at Gulbis leading this poll. This guy's reaching Nalbandian status already.

    Fed is the answer.
     
    #46
  47. Omega_7000

    Omega_7000 Hall of Fame

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    Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

    Wait...

    Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha




    Wait I'm still not finished...

    Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha :lol:
     
    #47
  48. Omega_7000

    Omega_7000 Hall of Fame

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    So Nadal lucked out! The two players capable of beating him are in Federer's half...:-(
     
    #48
  49. The-Champ

    The-Champ Legend

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    Cub Nadal was a much better defender than 2009-2010 Nadal.
     
    #49
  50. Blinkism

    Blinkism Legend

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    I'd vote Federer (if he was an option).

    I mean, if Nadal's playing his best tennis I can't see anyone else beating him except maybe Roger playing his absolute best tennis.

    And then I imagine the match would be similar to the final in Rome in 2006.

    Ofcourse, the scary thing about Nadal (on clay), is that he doesn't need to play near his best to beat most guys, anyways.
     
    #50

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