Why does the AO always produce one surprise finalist?

Discussion in 'General Pro Player Discussion' started by svijk, Jan 17, 2009.

  1. svijk

    svijk Semi-Pro

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    The AO has a history of having one 'out of the blue ' finalist in recent times. Tsonga, Gonzo, Baghdatis, Clement surely became more famous after their improbable runs.It may have something to do with the surface, time of year, weather??? Any more theories?

    This year the draw has 2 solid players on either sides but you never know if history will repeat itself. Whose AO will it be this time....Del Potro, Simon , Nalbandian???
     
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  2. thejoe

    thejoe Hall of Fame

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    The Aussie crowd love getting behind an underdog. Thats what I think anyway. They gave Tsonga ridiculous support last year.
     
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  3. matchmaker

    matchmaker Hall of Fame

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    Nalby would not be so much of a surprise finalist, he has already played the Wimbledon final.

    Maybe a Monfils would make a good surprise finalist.
     
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  4. R_Federer

    R_Federer Professional

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    You guys are not thinking too hard in giving the guesses on the surprise. Usually it is someone out of the blue. Tsonga, Del Potro, Simon are already known of. Usually it is someone completely unknown.
     
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  5. dantespark33

    dantespark33 Semi-Pro

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    nishikori would be pretty out of the blue
     
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  6. Alexio92

    Alexio92 Professional

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    Oscar Hernandez or Janko Tipsarevic whoever wins the first round match.
     
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  7. jmverdugo

    jmverdugo Hall of Fame

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    Davydenko in the final would be and extreme surprise, it could be even spooky! ;)
     
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  8. jamesblakefan#1

    jamesblakefan#1 G.O.A.T.

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    too bad he's hurt tho.
     
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  9. veroniquem

    veroniquem Bionic Poster

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    If you're already thinking about him, he wouldn't be out of the blue! Out of the blue means you would never quote his name before the tournament starts... IMO there are more surprises at AO because players are less prepared there than at other tournaments (not much time to get ready for it).
     
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  10. thejoe

    thejoe Hall of Fame

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    Thats a pretty good point. I'd never thought of that.
     
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  11. J-man

    J-man Hall of Fame

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    Its the first GS of the year everyone comes rested and excited and a clean slate. The crowd always gets behind the underdog, and the player can feed off of this. Its a great atmosphere.
     
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  12. Breaker

    Breaker Legend

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    This year it will be the Gooch!

    If by some miracle he gets by Hewitt in the quarters :)
     
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  13. alienhamster

    alienhamster Hall of Fame

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    I do think the fact that it's the first GS is a factor, but it has more to do with the lack of preparedness/rhythm in some of the top players that allows for some of the "streaky" players to break through them and get to the finals. The rest helps, for sure, but most players are coming in only having played 1 or 0 tournaments on similar surfaces or in similar climates in the weeks preceding the open.
     
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  14. S H O W S T O P P E R !

    S H O W S T O P P E R ! Hall of Fame

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    Yeah, I'm putting money on Monfils to make some noise.
     
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  15. 380pistol

    380pistol Banned

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    I don't know why, but keep an eye on Marin Cilic.
     
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  16. Ocean Drive

    Ocean Drive Hall of Fame

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    hes injured
     
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  17. edmondsm

    edmondsm Legend

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    Simple. The Australian Open happens right after the off-season and there is no telling who is going to come out of the lay-off on fire. As the season progresses the stronger players start to hit their stride.
     
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  18. vbranis

    vbranis Professional

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    This year might be Gulbis.
     
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  19. thejoe

    thejoe Hall of Fame

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    That isn't a bad shout.
     
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  20. oneguy21

    oneguy21 Banned

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    I 2nd that. His hitting can be ridiculously hard.
     
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  21. kelz

    kelz Professional

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    Those are some goals.
     
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  22. Winners or Errors

    Winners or Errors Hall of Fame

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    After watching him play last year, I'm rooting for him. Unfortunately, since he can't string together more than 1.5 sets of good tennis against the best players, I expect disappointment. Who knows? Perhaps he's matured in the off-season.
     
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  23. Sentinel

    Sentinel Bionic Poster

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    Does less prepared suggest more talent ?

    Does a fast court have any bearing on someone being able to pull an upset - although we are talking about reaching all the way to a final.

    btw, this is NOT a thread on who the surprise finalist will be - thats another thread -- this is WHY ?
     
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  24. raiden031

    raiden031 Legend

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    In the thread about moving the AO to februrary, Nadal is quoted in the article to say that the AO is most unpredictable because they are not prepared for it like the other slams. While Nadal (and perhaps Fed) think this is bad for the AO, I think it is good. Every slam should have something unique about it to make it more interesting. It would be boring if every slam had the same set of players challenging for the championship.
     
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  25. Teamtomo

    Teamtomo Semi-Pro

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    Gulbis or Cilic.
     
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  26. musicalmedic81

    musicalmedic81 Semi-Pro

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    Ok, if we're talking true out of the blue finalists, how bout the likes of: Potito Starace or Ivo Minar. Or, we can get real crazy with guys like Michael Berrer, Florian Mayer, and of course, Bjorn Phau!


    LOL imagine that, 2009 AO final M. Berrer def. R. Federer 6-1 6-3 6-0
     
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  27. Ocean Drive

    Ocean Drive Hall of Fame

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    Since 2000, their has always been a surprise finalist pretty much, except Hewitt in 05, clement, johansson (winning), schuettler, safin (coming back from injury), baghdatis, gonzalez, tsonga...........i would like to see the trend continue, but i have my doubts this time round
     
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