I understand the confidence argument, but I can't get behind it.
Smiley now has two good push wins under her belt. So does that mean it is time to stop pushing? If so, then I guess we're all in agreement that now is the time to stop pushing.
Also, I lived this nightmare myself. I pushed at 2.5, and it worked great because I could push better than the next person. Oh, I was confident, all right, bordering on the cocky. I only met one person all year who could beat me.
I then pushed at 3.0. All that 2.5 confidence evaporated and I was left with nothing but crummy strokes.
Confidence achieved through pushing your way to a win evaporates on you at very predictable times: Whenever you start losing.