Originally Posted by Zarfot Z
60% chance Djokovic gets YE #1
40% chance Federer gets YE #1
Trying to be optimistic here, but Fed isn't gonna go perform as well as he did in last year's end of season run.
I'd say 75-25 to Djokovic now.
If Fed wins Shanghai (or reaches the final but with Djokovic losing in the SF or earlier) I'd give it a 60-40 to Djokovic.
1000 points is huge at this stage of year, there are only 4-5 tournaments to be played which means that Federer at 31 has to gain at least 1000 more points than a 25-year old Djokovic in those remaining events. It's a big ask but Fed has an outside chance if he GOATs again.