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Old 12-24-2012, 09:15 AM   #16
Monsieur_DeLarge
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Join Date: May 2009
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In the short term I think Ferrer's almost certain to do it, unless Rafa pulls something amazing out the bag and reaches at least the AO SF. However, in the long term I think there might not be a "top four"; the current era just happens to be an unusual circumstance. Look at how things were prior to Federer/Nadal in 2005...

2004:
  1. Federer
  2. Roddick
  3. Hewitt
  4. Safin

2003:
  1. Roddick
  2. Federer
  3. Ferrero
  4. Agassi

2002:
  1. Hewitt
  2. Agassi
  3. Safin
  4. Ferrero

2001:
  1. Hewitt
  2. Kuerten
  3. Agassi
  4. Kafelnikov

2000:
  1. Kuerten
  2. Safin
  3. Sampras
  4. Norman

1999:
  1. Agassi
  2. Kafelnikov
  3. Sampras
  4. Enqvist

1998:
  1. Sampras
  2. Rios
  3. Corretja
  4. Rafter

1997:
  1. Sampras
  2. Rafter
  3. Chang
  4. Bjorkman

That's eight times in a row where there were at least two new faces in the top four every year. The stability at the top that we've had for so long is pretty unprecedented in my experience; I have a feeling that when the current guys' time is over, it'll go back to the [less predictable] way it used to be, at least for a while.


Regards,
MDL
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