Originally Posted by dafinch
"Not a chance" seems inconsistent with "Possibly beat her" unless you have some OTHER big favorite you haven't mentioned. Saying that Serena has "not a chance" to win ANY tournament is, IMO, short sighted, to say the least.
Serena's FO record as of recent years is not so hot, and that generally is her weakest slam. Add to that the injury she picked up and uncertainty of how long it'll take to recover, get back in form, etc. only adds to my opinion that she's not winning the FO. I'd favor anyone in form heading into the tourney. I think Azarenka could win it, Sharapova again, any of the good clay courters (Schiavone, Errani, etc.). I think these are people that are safer bets to go far and consistent in the tourney.