Originally Posted by tudwell
I think that (i.e. your first sentence) was true at the beginning of their match-up, but not so much anymore. When Federer went down 2-6 to Murray, he would usually start out by winning the first set and then dropping the next two in a blaze of unforced errors. Credit to Murray, of course, who never went away and kept getting balls back. More recently, though, Murray's gotten more aggressive and most of their recent meetings have been in straight sets, regardless of the winner. If Murray comes out swinging like at the Olympics, Federer's gotta be on his top game to have a chance, otherwise he loses, and vice versa. The Wimbledon final is the only recent match where I think both were playing at or near their best.
But you also have to take into account the draw and the fact that Federer had just played a very tough 5 setter against Tsonga. Murray coasted up to the SF. I'm not saying there should be an asterisk, just that if the draws were equal and both of them had only played 3 setters leading up to their match against similar opponents, Federer would have won. That's just my opinion. If you look at how Murray played against Djokovic, who is the same age as him, after playing a tough 5 setter against Federer you have to admit that the SF took something out of Murray, just as the QF took something out of Federer.