3.5 and below and I would say the soft baller with placement wins. 4.0 and above and I think who ever is better at there game style would win. 3.5 and below and I don't think there are too many who can hit relatively big shots without making lots of errors. At the top 25% of the 4.0 level and above, you begin to see players with more pace that are still consistent.
But, a 4.5 retriever can win just as much as a 4.5 smasher. It will come down to the better player in their style.