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If he is hitting forehands like that now I think he defintely has a shot at beating Fed again. In my opinion, roddicks ground game got worse while Federer's game improved, this made a bigger gap between these two rivals.
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Yeah, but even in those clips, he's mostly punishing Fed's slice shot, when Fed pretty much went slice on everything. The topspin on Fed's BH now is precisely why other players can't go inside-out on that shot for winners anymore. Also, for some reason, Fed's shots lacked depth during the match.
The bounce on the ball is overall lower than many of the surfaces Roddick plays now, enabling him to flatten out the shot. He just doesn't get those opportunities anymore unless he plays a favorable surface.
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IN GENERAL, a high topsin shot DTL that lands deep gives Federer far more trouble than a flat, low ball, unless the flat ball is hit unbelievably fast and/or Fed was pulled incredibly wide on the previous shot.
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A key thing in Oz 2007 was Federer now being able to consistently hit the 1H BH on the rise. He absolutely controlled shots that spun to his BH.