Will Federer regain the #1 ranking after the 2012 US Open?

[sbengte]

Slightly getting ahead of ourselves because he hasn't even taken the #2 ranking yet and with the kind of form Berd is in, I am not so sure he will take it.

There is a lot of truth in monfed's post though it may sound like a 'Clarky' impersonation as it is based on facts.

[sbengte]

Originally Posted by monfed

Freddy will draw one of the big hitters in his quarter or in an earlier round such as TBerd/JMDP/Raonic/Tsonga,guaranteed. We know how that's gonna pan out looking at his stellar performance in the past two years. The guy couldn't even win from 2-0 in sets. What is the indication that he'll reach the Wimby final let alone win it? He's declined the most on the surface. I don't think he can beat Ralph there, Djokovic perhaps he could.

Fed plays like JesusFed in one tourny and turns into a chump in the very next. Refer Miami 2012. This is Olderer,not PrimeFed.

I haven't even mentioned the Nadal. Ralph has been in incredible form since AO 2012. Madrid was a blip in the radar.

All of this.

[BreakPoint]

Originally Posted by merlinpinpin

Nope.

I think he'll regain it *before* the US Open...

"...by the end of the US Open" means it could happen before the US Open.

[tennis_pro]

First of all, Federer needs to get to no 2, have Nadal drawn with Djokovic in one half a couple of times and see what happens. He won't get to no 1 if he has to blast through both Djokovic and Nadal in every tournament.

[zagor]

Originally Posted by Evan77

guys, get real. It is very unlikely he'll get back to #1. Djokovic is too solid (holding 3 slams), Rog is almost 31 yo. Most of the big hitters can take him down at slams. I know he is the most loved player in the world (and on this board) but please. He hasn't won a major in 2 years. Well, dreaming is free.

I agree Fed's unlikely to get back to #1 but not mainly because of Novak who so far is nowhere near his 2011 level, he won AO this year through grit and confidence he carried over from his insane success last year but other than that his tennis has been lacking. To be honest I wouldn't be even that surprised if Fed finished the year ranked ahead of Novak.

The guy who IMO is most likely to end the year as #1 is Nadal who is my pick for both RG and Wimbledon. USO this year I think will go to Novak or Fed.

[joeri888]

Originally Posted by zagor

I agree Fed's unlikely to get back to #1 but not mainly because of Novak who so far is nowhere near his 2011 level, he won AO this year through grit and confidence he carried over from his insane success last year but other than that his tennis has been lacking. To be honest I wouldn't be even that surprised if Fed finished the year ranked ahead of Novak.

The guy who IMO is most likely to end the year as #1 is Nadal who is my pick for both RG and Wimbledon. USO this year I think will go to Novak or Fed.

If Federer makes final in RG OR Wimbledon and wins the USO, and PLAYS Shanghai, he has a great chance to be no.1 Especially if Djokovic doesnt win Slams.

[zagor]

Originally Posted by joeri888

If Federer makes final in RG OR Wimbledon and wins the USO, and PLAYS Shanghai, he has a great chance to be no.1 Especially if Djokovic doesnt win Slams.

Either way Fed will IMO have to win another slam to have even a semi-realistic chance at getting back to #1 and I don't really fancy his chances at winning another FO or Wimbledon, the only slam I think he has a somewhat decent chance of winning this year is USO.

[Rock Strongo]

I certainly hope not.

[underground]

I say Fed will get it sometime after the Olypmics (Toronto, Cinci period).

The earlier he gets #1 the better, that allows him more time to get extra points (USO, Shanghai) to get a cushion and go into the indoor swing.

[BreakPoint]

Federer +1

Nadal -1

Federer is halfway there.

[Tony48]

Originally Posted by monfed

Freddy will draw one of the big hitters in his quarter or in an earlier round such as TBerd/JMDP/Raonic/Tsonga,guaranteed. We know how that's gonna pan out looking at his stellar performance in the past two years. The guy couldn't even win from 2-0 in sets. What is the indication that he'll reach the Wimby final let alone win it? He's declined the most on the surface. I don't think he can beat Ralph there, Djokovic perhaps he could.

As far as USO goes, yea ok he's got a shot. But it may not be enough.And If Djokovic simply improves his RG performance(a semi) and wins Wimbledon, it will be curtains for Federer.

And no Fed ain't winning Canada AND Cincy. He couldn't even do that in 2006.

Fed plays like JesusFed in one tourny and turns into a chump in the very next. Refer Miami 2012. This is Olderer,not PrimeFed.

I haven't even mentioned the Nadal. Ralph has been in incredible form since AO 2012. Madrid was a blip in the radar.

Almost as bad as Clarky.

[BreakPoint]

Looks like 2 out of 3 of voters think Federer will do it!

[merlinpinpin]

Originally Posted by Evan77

guys, get real. It is very unlikely he'll get back to #1. Djokovic is too solid (holding 3 slams), Rog is almost 31 yo. Most of the big hitters can take him down at slams. I know he is the most loved player in the world (and on this board) but please. He hasn't won a major in 2 years. Well, dreaming is free.

You know, a couple of months ago, you were saying that there was no way Federer would get the #2 spot and that Nadal would be back to #1 before that happened (and getting angry when it was pointed out to you that, yes, there was a chance that Federer would get to #2 before RG).

So now I'm telling you, yes, there is a (good) chance of his getting the #1 spot back. A lot of that depends on how Rome and RG turn out, but basically, Djokovic had better score a lot of points before the clay season is over. If he stays with less than a 2,000-pt difference after RG, he has basically no chance of preventing Federer to get back to #1, at least for a few weeks. Wait and see...

[Gangsta]

Wow, this forum must be filled with Fed fanatics. Who else would answer YES to this poll, when Federer hasn't won a slam in ages...

[merlinpinpin]

Originally Posted by monfed

And you've said nothing substantial to refute my points. I presented facts to support my arguments, care to post yours?

Well, I'll have no trouble refuting this one, for a start:

Fed plays like JesusFed in one tourny and turns into a chump in the very next.

Won Basel, next event was Bercy. Did he turn into a chump there?

Won Bercy, next event was YEC. Same question.

Won Rotterdam, next came Dubai. Same question.

Won Dubai, then played IW. Same question.

So yes, this is definitely trolling, Clarky-style. That's quite alright, to each his own and all that, I suppose. Plus, the Fed fan club didn't have his prophet of doom and gloom yet, so that's fine...

[merlinpinpin]

Originally Posted by BreakPoint

"...by the end of the US Open" means it could happen before the US Open.

Yep, but the title of the thread states "after the US Open", which is what I was reacting to...

[BreakPoint]

Originally Posted by Gangsta

Wow, this forum must be filled with Fed fanatics. Who else would answer YES to this poll, when Federer hasn't won a slam in ages...

Wozniacki was ranked #1 for ages. How many slams has she EVER won in her entire career?

[Evan77]

Originally Posted by merlinpinpin

You know, a couple of months ago, you were saying that there was no way Federer would get the #2 spot and that Nadal would be back to #1 before that happened (and getting angry when it was pointed out to you that, yes, there was a chance that Federer would get to #2 before RG).

So now I'm telling you, yes, there is a (good) chance of his getting the #1 spot back. A lot of that depends on how Rome and RG turn out, but basically, Djokovic had better score a lot of points before the clay season is over. If he stays with less than a 2,000-pt difference after RG, he has basically no chance of preventing Federer to get back to #1, at least for a few weeks. Wait and see...

well, we are all speculating here ... I'm not saying it's impossible but who knows? I didn't expect Nadal to fu,ck up so bad. I guess we'll have to see what happens in Rome and at RG. we are just chit chatting.

To be honest with you, it doesn't really matter to me. well, I understand you Fed fans want Fed to break that last record ... it's all good.

we'll see. I still don't think it's going to happen.

[Clarky21]

Originally Posted by BreakPoint

Wozniacki was ranked #1 for ages. How many slams has she EVER won in her entire career?

Yeah,and I am sure that you Fed fans would just sit back and keep your mouths shut if Nadal were ranked number 1 in the world after having not won a slam in 2 1/2 years. I think there's a better chance of h*ll freezing over than of that happening.

[merlinpinpin]

Originally Posted by Gangsta

Wow, this forum must be filled with Fed fanatics. Who else would answer YES to this poll, when Federer hasn't won a slam in ages...

You do understand how rankings work, right? (Apparently not, so allow me to explain.) They compute the points scored by players according to their results in a number of tournaments per year, not just the slams. The number of slams he'll win (or not) wasn't the question of this poll (there are other threads that cover this, lol).