What will 2013 be like for Federer

[McEnroeisanartist]

Other than Laver and Rosewall, the only players that had any sort of quality results at Federer's age in their careers were Connors and Agassi.

In 2013, Federer will be 31 until August, then he turns 32.

In 1984, Connors was 31 and turned 32. That year, he went 74-14 won 5 titles in 7 finals, didn't win a slam after winning one the year before, and finished the year ranked #2. He reached a grand slam final and two semifinals.

In 2002, Agassi was 31 and turned 32. That year he went 53-12 won 5 titles (including 3 Masters Series). He reached a grand slam final, quarterfinal, and 2nd round.

I think Federer's win/loss in 2013 will be closer to Agassi's. I could see him winning 3 or 4 titles. Reaching a grand slam final seems very difficult.

What do you think Federer's 2013 will be like?

[Sabratha]

I think Federer will get to the QF round at the AO, FO, Wimbledon and the US Open, ending the year at #4.

[Dark Magician]

^^ This would be the scenario in 2014. 2013 will be better. I am quite hopeful.

[ricki]

I think he will retire in 2013 season

[VPhuc tennis fan]

Originally Posted by ricki

I think he will retire in 2013 season

Pessimist! Always half-empty glass, aren't you?

[VPhuc tennis fan]

Originally Posted by Sabratha

I think Federer will get to the QF round at the AO, FO, Wimbledon and the US Open, ending the year at #4.

Why only QF @ AO and USO? Not because he lost to Berdieman at QF, USO this year that's bound to happen again next year. That loss was an aberration, an outlier IMO. Fed will make SF in all GS. Whether or not he wins, that's another matter.

[Sabratha]

Originally Posted by VPhuc tennis fan

Why only QF @ AO and USO? Not because he lost to Berdieman at QF, USO this year that's bound to happen again next year. That loss was an aberration, an outlier IMO. Fed will make SF in all GS. Whether or not he wins, that's another matter.

I think after every year he will lose more and more consistency. He will still be incredibly consistent, but not enough to actually win the slams anymore. Perhaps he will post SF round results for the US Open and the AO, but I can't see that for Wimbledon or the FO.

[NatF]

Originally Posted by Sabratha

I think after every year he will lose more and more consistency. He will still be incredibly consistent, but not enough to actually win the slams anymore. Perhaps he will post SF round results for the US Open and the AO, but I can't see that for Wimbledon or the FO.

If he can win Wimbledon this year going through Djokovic and Murray why can't you see him reaching the semi's in atleast 2013?

[batz]

Originally Posted by McEnroeisanartist

Other than Laver and Rosewall, the only players that had any sort of quality results at Federer's age in their careers were Connors and Agassi.

In 2013, Federer will be 31 until August, then he turns 32.

In 1984, Connors was 31 and turned 32. That year, he went 74-14 won 5 titles in 7 finals, didn't win a slam after winning one the year before, and finished the year ranked #2. He reached a grand slam final and two semifinals.

In 2002, Agassi was 31 and turned 32. That year he went 53-12 won 5 titles (including 3 Masters Series). He reached a grand slam final, quarterfinal, and 2nd round.

I think Federer's win/loss in 2013 will be closer to Agassi's. I could see him winning 3 or 4 titles. Reaching a grand slam final seems very difficult.

What do you think Federer's 2013 will be like?

Bookies have him as 3rd favourite for AO and Wimbledon, 4th favourite for RG, USO and YE number 1. Also, he's the only top 4 member not to be odds on to win a slam in 2013.

Looks like the bookies are expecting some decline - I wouldn't be so sure.

[Sabratha]

Originally Posted by NatF

If he can win Wimbledon this year going through Djokovic and Murray why can't you see him reaching the semi's in atleast 2013?

Maybe he will make the SF round at Wimbledon next year, but I believe Tsonga and other threats on grass may get the better of him.

[TMCW140]

Pretty much the same as this year, I'd imagine

[6-1 6-3 6-0]

It's not looking good for Federer. If Nadal can tie Sampras this year, Nadal will have 14 (or 15) slams at the age of 27. And then Nadal can win Roland Garros for the next five years AT LEAST, taking him to 19-20 slams. All Federer will be able to do is try to retain his QF streak. Looks like a Santoro-like end for Federer... (although Santoro was more skilled than Federer)

[President]

Depends how hard he trains in the offseason and his motivation levels. I honestly haven't seen much of a physical decline from Federer since 2009 or so, his level of play actually improved in 2012 relative to the previous few years so I don't foresee much of a decline

[Homeboy Hotel]

Slower.

And much more reliant on his serving.

If he's not serving well, its FedERROR straight to the airport.

[Sabratha]

Originally Posted by 6-1 6-3 6-0

It's not looking good for Federer. If Nadal can tie Sampras this year, Nadal will have 14 (or 15) slams at the age of 27. And then Nadal can win Roland Garros for the next five years AT LEAST, taking him to 19-20 slams. All Federer will be able to do is try to retain his QF streak. Looks like a Santoro-like end for Federer... (although Santoro was more skilled than Federer)

Yes, just like Nadal won Roland Garros in 2009.

[batz]

Originally Posted by 6-1 6-3 6-0

It's not looking good for Federer. If Nadal can tie Sampras this year, Nadal will have 14 (or 15) slams at the age of 27. And then Nadal can win Roland Garros for the next five years AT LEAST, taking him to 19-20 slams. All Federer will be able to do is try to retain his QF streak. Looks like a Santoro-like end for Federer... (although Santoro was more skilled than Federer)

You don't think Rafa matching his best ever season on tour after being out for 6 months is a bit of a stretch? Not saying he can't do it - but I think you need to give him some time to get back in the groove.

[6-1 6-3 6-0]

Originally Posted by Sabratha

Yes, just like Nadal won Roland Garros in 2009.

Yep, when his parents split. But it's unlikely they'll split again, and since Nadal has experienced the pain before, he'll have got used to it, so it will affect his play a lot less.

[6-1 6-3 6-0]

Originally Posted by batz

You don't think Rafa matching his best ever season on tour after being out for 6 months is a bit of a stretch? Not saying he can't do it - but I think you need to give him some time to get back in the groove.

Even if Nadal loses AO 2013, then Nadal has SIX months to get into his Roland Garros groove, and since Nadal's game is based on confidence, then Nadal's confidence can propel him to the remaining 3 slams, matching Sampras by at least the US Open.

[batz]

Originally Posted by 6-1 6-3 6-0

Even if Nadal loses AO 2013, then Nadal has SIX months to get into his Roland Garros groove, and since Nadal's game is based on confidence, then Nadal's confidence can propel him to the remaining 3 slams, matching Sampras by at least the US Open.

He has 3 and a bit months between the end of the AO and the start of RG. The guys who price tennis matches for a living have him at 5/4 to win RG - that's the first time in about 6 years that he hasn't been odds on to win it.

I think you are only considering the best case scenario.

[merlinpinpin]

Originally Posted by 6-1 6-3 6-0

It's not looking good for Federer. If Nadal can tie Sampras this year, Nadal will have 14 (or 15) slams at the age of 27. And then Nadal can win Roland Garros for the next five years AT LEAST, taking him to 19-20 slams. All Federer will be able to do is try to retain his QF streak. Looks like a Santoro-like end for Federer... (although Santoro was more skilled than Federer)

You really think Nadal can already be as good as Sampras in Roland Garros, by losing to a Gallos Blanco-like player in the second round? That would be mighty impressive, but I honestly think we'll have to wait a bit longer to see him posting such results on clay.

Of course, should he draw Rosol, all bets are off, obviously...