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#1 |
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Rookie
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 157
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When people want to argue for the greatness of present players like Federer or Sampras, they sometimes point to total victories of major tournaments (Wimbledon, FO, USO, AO), where Federer (16) and Sampras (14) top the list. This is an absurd argument, because those specific four tournaments didn’t always mean what they do today, for reasons that vary by era. To whatever degree that list matters, it matters only from the mid-1980s onward and can’t be used to compare recent players to those of earlier eras.
Similarly, when people want to argue for the greatness of past players like Laver or Rosewall, they sometimes point to total victories of the top tournaments from the professional tour of the 1960s. With all due respect, I believe that this too is completely wrong. Pro majors were different from Open majors, and they should not be treated the same way. The three big differences between pro and Open majors are these: 1. From 1963-1967, all pro majors were played on fast surfaces. 2. Pro majors had fields of anywhere from 8 to 14 players, as opposed to 128 players. 3. Amateurs, who were among the world’s best players, could not compete in pro majors. These things made it easier to win pro majors in bunches, which aided Laver and Rosewall in winning so many of them. To be clear: You can only play who’s in front of you, and you can only play on the surfaces that are being used. It’s not Laver’s fault that things were like this in the mid-1960s. Also, Point #3 shouldn’t be overstated. The pro majors of the mid-1960s typically included 4 out of the 5 best players in the world, with only Roy Emerson missing. Emerson certainly wasn’t as good as Laver or Rosewall, though his absence did matter, as did the absence of other amateurs who were among the top 10 or top 15 players in the world. To illustrate what pro majors were like, here’s an accounting of Laver’s major wins in 1967. I've supplied rough, theoretical 2011 equivalents of the opponents if Djokovic (the current #1) were substituted for Laver: 1. US Pro (field of 14): Laver beat Olmedo, Ayala, Stolle, and Gimeno 2011 equivalent: if Djokovic beat Seppi, Chela, Monfils, and Murray 2. Wimbledon Pro (field of eight): Laver beat Stolle, Gimeno, and Rosewall 2011 equivalent: if Djokovic beat Monfils, Murray, and Nadal 3. French Pro (field of 12): Laver beat MacKay, Stolle, and Gimeno 2011 equivalent: if Djokovic beat Malisse, Monfils, and Murray 4. Wembley Pro (field of 12): Laver beat MacKay, Davidson, and Rosewall 2011 equivalent: if Djokovic beat Malisse, Almagro, and Nadal Bottom Line Laver’s achievement in sweeping those four tournaments in 1967 was very impressive and significant, just as it would be very impressive and significant if Djokovic were to beat the equivalent players from 2011 in four important tournaments (two on grass and two on a fast indoor surface, with fields of 8 to 14 players) in a calendar year. But that achievement was not nearly as impressive or significant as Laver’s achievement in 1969 of winning the Grand Slam. The pro tour of the 1960s was terrific, and its best players were as great as those of any other era. But the right way to assess those players is not to count up majors from that era as if they were the same as majors of other eras. The 1960s majors were less difficult to sweep than Open majors from the mid-1980s to the present. Pro majors ≠ Open majors Last edited by John123 : 07-12-2011 at 01:04 PM. |
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#2 |
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G.O.A.T.
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Bierlandt
Posts: 10,019
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Really? What was the surface at Wembley? Was it a carpet or a canvas laid down? (Just asking.)
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The smart man thinks he knows a lot; the wise man is aware that he knows little. Last edited by hoodjem : 07-12-2011 at 12:34 PM. |
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#3 |
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Rookie
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 157
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#4 |
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Legend
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 7,148
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You may be correct but it's all debatable. Let's look at the first Open Era Open tournaments. The first Open era tournament was won by Ken Rosewall over Rod Laver. The first French Open was won by Ken Rosewall over Rod Laver. The first Wimbledon was won by Rod Laver over Tony Roche and Roche was a Pro. The first US Open was won by Arthur Ashe (technically an amateur) over Tom Okker. The first Australian Open was won by Rod Laver over Andres Gimeno, both pros. The second French Open was won by Rod Laver over Ken Rosewall, both pros. The second Wimbledon was won by Rod Laver over John Newcombe, both pros in 1968 although Newk (and Roche too) were amateurs in 1967. The second US Open was won by Laver over Tony Roche.
In 1970 Rosewall won the US Open over Tony Roche and was in the finals of Wimbledon. He also won the Australian in 1971 and 1972 over Ashe and Anderson respectively. There were also a number of boycotts in which Laver, Rosewall and company did not play the majors. Gimeno won the French Open in 1972 in a relatively weak field. But Kodes won the French in 1970 and 1971. It's debatable whether Kodes would have won the French if Laver and Rosewall were in the tournament. Considering that Laver beat Kodes easily in the Italian Open final in 1971 I would tend to think that Laver or Rosewall would have been favored over Kodes even though Kodes was an excellent clay court player. As you can see by the results, the pros did quite well in the majors. Actually the Pros from the 1960's dominated the early majors. They may as well been the Old Pro Majors considering the results. This happened regularly in those days. A small field with greats I think would be preferable to a large field with weaker players. Think of it this way, the YEC has been ranked as about equivalent to majors in the past and clearly above the Australian for some years. The WCT championship was clearly considered a major although not a classic major. It only had an eight man field. Arthur Ashe was ranked number one in 1975 primarily on his Wimbledon win and his WCT win. You have a point John123 but imagine a field in the 1950's with Hoad, Rosewall, Sedgman, Segura, Trabert and Gonzalez. All at or near their primes. Might be a small field, but it definitely is an awesome tournament. Last edited by pc1 : 07-12-2011 at 06:30 PM. |
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#5 |
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G.O.A.T.
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 13,937
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The pro majors consist only 8 to 14 players vs. to today's 128 is a huge difference. Even today's smallest event(atp 250) consists of at least 32 players. I'm curious to know how many countries participated in the pro majors. The pro major event can only be use against Laver's era. B/c the way i see it is...if there's a bigger pool and more matches to play, the greater chance of getting eliminated. When you have 128 players, the best players and the one who brings their A game will march into deeper round. There's no fluke performance that a player can sneak in deep. You either a better player AND can't have a bad week. As appose to 8/14 players, suppose 6 of the players don't showed up or had a bad week, that would makes it easier for Laver. Sure it would.
And while we can't equate the 60s tournaments today's slam event, but on average, the tournament today has much more weight than in the 60s.
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NadalAgassi: I think Serena's final slam tally will be something from 18-27. My best guess is 24 or 25 though; Nole(2010) will never win Wimbledon |
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#6 | |
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Legend
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 7,148
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Quote:
Was the 1975 Australian Open more important or the 1975 WCT championship at that time? I'm not going to point the direction in any way but to point out there are debatable points either way. Last edited by pc1 : 07-12-2011 at 01:56 PM. |
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#7 | |
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Legend
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,287
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Quote:
Sorry, but your analysis doesn't withstand scrutiny. I agree that pro events of the 60's aren't equivalent to majors. Pro events with 8-16 players were like playing a major starting in the round of 16 or quarter finals with only seeded players. No easy rounds with qualifiers and low ranked wannabees. When players like Gonzales, Rosewall and Laver dominated the pro tour, they dominated 16 of the best players in the world. |
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| Limpinhitter |
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#8 |
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Legend
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,287
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IMO, the WCT finals of the early 70's might have been the most important tournament in the of the year.
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| Limpinhitter |
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#9 | |
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G.O.A.T.
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 13,937
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Quote:
I don't know about the 1975 AO. Did all the best players in the world competiting? Or were some just didn't take it seriously?
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NadalAgassi: I think Serena's final slam tally will be something from 18-27. My best guess is 24 or 25 though; Nole(2010) will never win Wimbledon |
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#10 | |
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Legend
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 7,148
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Quote:
The Masters for much of the 1970's was also an elite event that the top players didn't want to skip. My point is that size of the draw doesn't not necessarily equal prestige. Here's a video of the 1975 WCT and notice at around the 4:30 mark Heston says the WCT Championship is this years first major. It had great prestige at the time. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5sBBFQfcNU Last edited by pc1 : 07-12-2011 at 06:29 PM. |
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#11 |
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Legend
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 7,148
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John123 raises some excellent points but I just wanted to write that size of draw doesn't necessary equal prestige and strength of draw. We could have an eight man tournament today with Nadal, Djokovic, Federer, Murray, Tsonga, Ferrer and some others and it would considered terrific. We could have a 128 man tournament without the aboved mentioned and it would be awful. Is the 1973 Wimbledon that Jan Kodes won really that impressive? It's a great accomplishment but with the player boycott it really wasn't as great as in the past years.
John Newcombe in 1974 was considered number one by perhaps most for the first half of the year. Why? The reason was that he won the WCT Championship and dominated the WCT tour. Jimmy Connors won the Australian and yet was not considered at that point to have as good a year as Newcombe. That changed later of course as Connors won Wimbledon and the US Open. So is it so unreasonable that the old Pro Tour majors may be considered very strong and prestigious? Can we so casually say these tournaments aren't considered even close to majors? Last edited by pc1 : 07-12-2011 at 07:48 PM. |
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#12 |
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Hall Of Fame
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 2,348
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question: what did you need to do in order to gain entrance into the grand slam tournies of the 60's? Did you have to establish yourself in the qualies, challengers, futures, satillites? How did it work...was the overall competitve structure as hierarchial and large as today?
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| World Beater |
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#13 |
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Rookie
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 157
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Pc1 and Limpinhitter:
There's no question that the pro majors were significant tournaments, or that the pros were better than the amateurs. There's also no question that it was a very impressive feat for Laver to sweep those tournaments in 1967. The 1950s and 1960s produced fantastic tennis: I view Laver and Pancho as two of the greatest three players of the past 80 years. But I started this thread to disagree with what I see a lot in this forum, which is the claim that pro majors were basically like starting a modern Slam in the quarters, with the top eight players. They most certainly were not like that. Just look at Laver's draws in 1967: he won 13 total matches to sweep the pro majors, and 5 of those matches were against guys who definitely weren't top-10 players in the world (most not even close), with another 3 matches against a guy who wasn't in the top 5. Of the five matches he did play against the best competition, three were against Gimeno, who is an analogue to Andy Murray: excellent, but never a guy who really challenged for #1 or won majors (excepting the 1972 FO over Proisy). Still, it's a great feat. But not that great. Rosewall basically duplicated it in 1963, and Pancho would have done the same in the mid-1950s if the French Pro had been played on indoor wood (or maybe just played at all) then. It's no stretch to imagine Federer, Nadal, or Djokovic doing something like that at their respective peaks. What no one else did, by contrast, is win the Grand Slam like Laver did in 1969. That was a much, much more important and difficult accomplishment. |
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#14 |
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Rookie
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 157
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TMF:
Let's suppose you like Roger Federer and think he's really great. You'd be right -- he is really great -- and it would be ignorant for anyone to say otherwise. Rod Laver was the Federer of his day. If you'd rooted for him during his era, then you'd probably feel the same way about him that you do about Federer. And that's how those who support him in this forum feel: they like him and think he's really great. And they're right -- he is really great -- and it would be ignorant for anyone to say otherwise. No one needs to make arguments against Laver in order to argue how great Federer is. It is indisputable how great Federer is. And no one needs to make arguments against Federer to argue how great Laver is (a point that I wish some others here would take to heart). It is indisputable how great Laver is. Really, the two have nothing to do with each other. Sure, I'm the worst person to make this point because I just put together a GOAT list that ranked them, but the point is still true. The best approach is probably just to say that they (along with Bill Tilden and Laurie Doherty, but no one else) were the greatest of their own times and as great as anyone from any other time. |
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#15 | ||
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Legend
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 9,287
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Quote:
Quote:
Last edited by Limpinhitter : 07-12-2011 at 09:00 PM. |
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#16 |
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Legend
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 5,578
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You aren't giving Barry MacKay enough credit.
I like your analysis. Still, winning a 3 round tournament filled with guys like Nadal, Murray, Monfils, etc. is pretty impressive. I think in 90's and earlier when early round upsets were more common, playing a 128 draw was tougher, but these days with 32 seeds and everyone playing similar games on surfaces that are closer to medium in speed, the early rounds really are rarely a challenge. Last edited by NLBwell : 07-12-2011 at 09:52 PM. |
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#17 | |
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Legend
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 7,148
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Quote:
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#18 | |
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Rookie
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 157
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I was hoping someone would bring this up! My reason is that in 1967, Barry was far past his prime.
Thanks! Quote:
Maybe, maybe not. Nadal has had some close calls in early rounds (Kendrick at Wimbledon, Isner at the French), and I think Federer beat Tipsarevic 10-8 in the fifth set in the 3rd round of the Australian Open a few years ago. This is just off the top of my head. I think we should give the top guys of today some credit for how rarely they lose early. |
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#19 | |
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Hall Of Fame
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 2,317
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Quote:
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"I can cry like Roger, it’s just a shame I can’t play like him." - Andy Murray |
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#20 | |
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G.O.A.T.
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 13,937
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Quote:
I've said it before...if there's more athletes and countries competing on the tour, it's natural to have more quality players players in the draw. Of all the 128 best players made the slam draw, you can bet there's many more talented players that were left out. And these left out players could have easily qualify to play the slam from the previous era. Just think of it..the more players trying to improve and fighting for the spot on the tour, the more difficult for a tennis player to make a living on the tour. I heard that the average career for an NBA player's only lasted < 5 yrs. Why is that? Too many players around the world competing for the position.
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NadalAgassi: I think Serena's final slam tally will be something from 18-27. My best guess is 24 or 25 though; Nole(2010) will never win Wimbledon |
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