VaporDude95
Banned
Nadal lost to Cilic in straights at Hurlingham.(6-3 6-3)
He didn’t lose a match there last year if my memory is served correctly.
He didn’t lose a match there last year if my memory is served correctly.
I think he lost to Pouille, so I wouldn't read much into itNadal lost to Cilic in straights at Hurlingham.(6-3 6-3)
He didn’t lose a match there last year if my memory is served correctly.
I think he lost to Pouille, so I wouldn't read much into it
Also Lukas Rosol is still in the qualifying. You can guarantee that if he makes the main draw, the organisers will try and keep him far away from Nadal.
And my further apologies to Majchrzak, as I misspelled his name!Kamil Majchrzak. Has potential to be a solid top 50 or 20.
So, what would be worst case scenario for Fed in terms of the draw? Anderson is going to be the better draw than Nadal, given the season he has had. 5-8 we have Thiem, Zverev, Tsitsipas, Nishikori. They can all be dangerous on the day, but I would take Zverev and Nishikori as the easier opponents.
The 13-16 seeds (potential R4 opponents) are actually all quite dangerous compared to the 9-12 seeds. I'd take Monfils as the easiest of the bunch, probably, on grass (although Coric's win % on grass is actually lower, but I guess he's earlier in his career so it will go up). Raonic, Cilic and Coric all can be dangerous on grass, but haven't had the greatest season, or good results recently. Hard to call, but maybe Raonic is the one to avoid most? Not too much danger in 25-32 (potential R3 opponents). Goffin and Berrettini, and maybe Stan (though on grass?) could be dangerous alternative R4 opponents. So e.g. a worst-case draw could look like this:
R3 Kyle Edmund (?)
R4 Raonic OR Goffin
QF Tsitsipas OR Isner
SF Nadal OR Thiem
F Djokovic
A best-case draw could look something like this:
R3 Djere
R4 Monfils OR Schwartzman
QF Nishikori OR Fognini
SF Anderson OR Zverev
F Djokovic
Actually, if Fed is playing well, he should have a good chance at a deep run. Although I thought he did last year also.
well CIlic is a pretty damn good grass player as of late, be more worried if he lost to some no name, but i don't expect him to win wimbledon unless he avoids fed and djoker and the roof haahahahYeah I went and watched it. He played MUCH better and it was a lot closer.
Cilic routined Nadal this year.
So, what would be worst case scenario for Fed in terms of the draw?
He had “muscular overload” during his practice sessions in Mallorca before hurling at Hurlingham vs Cilic.Yeah I went and watched it. He played MUCH better and it was a lot closer.
Cilic routined Nadal this year.
He had “muscular overload” during his practice sessions in Mallorca before hurling at Hurlingham vs Cilic.
Can someone please define this newest Nadal malady???
I don't think he can meet Wawrinka in R3.I reckon a nightmare draw for Federer would look something like this.
Kyrgios
Tsonga
Wawrinka
Raonic
Tsitsipas
Nadal
Djokovic
Tsonga is indeed a dangerous floater. Feli might be another. With Kyrgios - yes if he has a good day, but there are so few of these.I don't think he can meet Wawrinka in R3.
(Sent from my mobile phone.)
Majchrzak was drubbing Kei at AO after qualifying (beat Schnur, Rubin and Moraing in straight sets) but cramped badly. Since then he put his Challenger shorts back on and has won 2 titles (indoor HC and clay). His one Challenger on grass ended in SFs but he beat both Sugita and Vesely along the way. He should qualify.And my further apologies to Majchrzak, as I misspelled his name!
I don't think he can meet Wawrinka in R3.
(Sent from my mobile phone.)
The top 3 seeds will be protected as much as possible so that maximum revenue can be generated from live attendance and television ratings. So that means the organizers are hoping for any combination of Federer/Nadal/Djokovic to meet in the SF and Finals. Most likely we'll get French Open 2019 style draws where Federer, Djokovic and Nadal are drawn against their usual pigeons and don't face any type of credible threat other than each other in the business end.
Also, expect Marin Cilic to go out in the first week to a much lower seed, Kei Nishikori to be completely exhausted by the QF after having played back to back to back 5 set matches, and Wawrinka to be drawn against Federer as always. Also expect the big hitters and big servers to be put in the Federer section and the dirtball pushers to be put in Nadal's section. Djokovic will routinely handle the NextGen clowns on his way to the second week. So again, it comes down to the big 3.
But Wawrinka is seeded 22nd, so the only players Federer can't meet before R16 are the top 16 seeds, which doesn't include Wawrinka.
The top 3 seeds will be protected as much as possible so that maximum revenue can be generated from live attendance and television ratings. So that means the organizers are hoping for any combination of Federer/Nadal/Djokovic to meet in the SF and Finals. Most likely we'll get French Open 2019 style draws where Federer, Djokovic and Nadal are drawn against their usual pigeons and don't face any type of credible threat other than each other in the business end.
Also, expect Marin Cilic to go out in the first week to a much lower seed, Kei Nishikori to be completely exhausted by the QF after having played back to back to back 5 set matches, and Wawrinka to be drawn against Federer as always. Also expect the big hitters and big servers to be put in the Federer section and the dirtball pushers to be put in Nadal's section. Djokovic will routinely handle the NextGen clowns on his way to the second week. So again, it comes down to the big 3.
I may misremember, but I thought seeds 1-8 are seeded to face 15-32 in R3.
I have nothing against the guy, but honestly.. feels a bit in-your-face for constantly broadcasting only his matches as if he's some promising up and comer just because he happens to be British and a Wimbledon-junior winner. He has absolutely NEVER delivered after breaking through to the ATP tour.Liam Broady was 2 sets up, but is behind in the fifth now. A catastrophe for the young Brit.
Unless it had been changed, #1-4 play #29-32.But Wawrinka is seeded 22nd, so the only players Federer can't meet before R16 are the top 16 seeds, which doesn't include Wawrinka.
Plus his grunt is annoying.I have nothing against the guy, but honestly.. feels a bit in-your-face for constantly broadcasting only his matches as if he's some promising up and comer just because he happens to be British and a Wimbledon-junior winner. He has absolutely NEVER delivered after breaking through to the ATP tour.
More importantly: Kwon Soon-Woo is through to the main draw after beating Brands 6-2 6-7 6-1 6-0. Only lost 1 set (by tiebreak) in the qualies and judging from the scoreline, won all his matches pretty easily. If i'm correct, this is the first time he enters a Grand Slam main draw through the qualifying system.
Damn
Ymer, Rosol, and D Young out in qualies.
Broady was a WC, so in theory he's done well, but as a WC going through qualies so under the radar, I can't imagine he'd have choked? Seems a comprehensive 3 sets from Barrere after losing the first 2. Unfortunately, as with many of the British cohort, they get handed WCs through the grass season and do very little the rest of the year. Broady rarely makes a splash on the Challenger circuit, even. From what I can see he's 0-4 in Challenger finals - you need to be winning a couple here and there to be getting anywhere close to direct entries or regular qualifier entry at the slams and not just taking WCs. The thing for GB tennis is that you could overlook people like Broady, Watson etc and give the WCs to lower ranked players but they're often ranked so much lower that that also makes little sense...I have nothing against the guy, but honestly.. feels a bit in-your-face for constantly broadcasting only his matches as if he's some promising up and comer just because he happens to be British and a Wimbledon-junior winner. He has absolutely NEVER delivered after breaking through to the ATP tour.
More importantly: Kwon Soon-Woo is through to the main draw after beating Brands 6-2 6-7 6-1 6-0. Only lost 1 set (by tiebreak) in the qualies and judging from the scoreline, won all his matches pretty easily. If i'm correct, this is the first time he enters a Grand Slam main draw through the qualifying system.
These draw rigging accusations come out with regularity, without any evidence. Mainly I think this is because people don't understand probability. IIRC, there are some very precise rules for how the draw is carried out. I have never seen any evidence that these rules are violated. I assume this is also observed and checked by ATP/ITF.
I've believe draws were rigged when Roddick kept drawing Federer at Wimbledon. Always semi's or finals and I just got sick of it.one of the few times I didraised my brows and was like this is one hell of a coincidence is when isner/mahut were drawn in round 1 a year after that saga of a match. the thing is , i think in people's heads, when people see 50/50 chance they think it means it should alternative every year or something and that is not how it works. I mean if I'm going to a flip a coin 10 times and there is a 50% chance i get heads each flip, doesn't mean 5 times i get heads (that might be a poor example lol), but you get my drift so when people see there is a 50/50 chance no.3 can be drawn to no.1 or no.2 but they see that for example that fed and novak were drawn in the same half many times, it raises people's eyebrows.
this is the rational me. the petty me firmly believes that rafa's draws are rigged so they can keep eh slam race close because that is the only story men's tennis alive.
Also Lukas Rosol is still in the qualifying. You can guarantee that if he makes the main draw, the organisers will try and keep him far away from Nadal.
Tomorrow 10 am uk timeWhen is the draw?
Thanks
But top 30 or top 40 not so much.Kamil Majchrzak. Has potential to be a solid top 50 or 20.
Nadal same half with Federer.Tomorrow 10 am uk time
30 and 40 are not nice round numbers. "Top 40" isn't a thing.But top 30 or top 40 not so much.
I think he could go as high as no 27.30 and 40 are not nice round numbers. "Top 40" isn't a thing.
Cant watch the draw liveNadal same half with Federer.
Don't mention it.