Actually mad how much Nadal's draw would have opened up if he'd managed to find some form

Kralingen

Talk Tennis Guru
Nadal should have the done the same thing as last year and just stay in Melbourne for at least 2 weeks before the tournament begun. I think he does better the longer he has to practise on the surface.
He arrived in Melbourne on Jan 4, and played his first match on Jan 15th… are you saying 3 extra days would’ve transformed his level?
 

Kralingen

Talk Tennis Guru
I thought he played some exhibition somewhere else?
He played United Cup but his last match was Jan 2nd, he then went immediately to Melbourne.

i don’t think lack of prep time in Melbourne was the issue I think mainly he didn’t have a proper off season due to the baby, the SA tour, and general rehab from abdominal tear. Basically he never got back to 100% and the AO came too early for him.

Seems to be the logical conclusion based on all available evidence.
 

ADuck

Legend
He played United Cup but his last match was Jan 2nd, he then went immediately to Melbourne.

i don’t think lack of prep time in Melbourne was the issue I think mainly he didn’t have a proper off season due to the baby, the SA tour, and general rehab from abdominal tear. Basically he never got back to 100% and the AO came too early for him.

Seems to be the logical conclusion based on all available evidence.
I guess the 2 weeks really flew by for me :unsure:
 

Kralingen

Talk Tennis Guru
I guess the 2 weeks really flew by for me :unsure:
I just think it was a perfect storm last year for Rafa and 2022-23 in comparison was very much the opposite.

off season:
2021: hurt in June, takes 6 month break for rehab and focuses on getting his body right
2022: hurt in July, rushes back for USO swing, hurt again, plays indoor season, not much rehab
2021: no Laver Cup and no preseason tour
2022: takes SA preseason tour and has young child

pre-season:
2022: plays Melbourne 250 on literally Rod Laver Arena, gets full match practice vs easy players on exact AO conditions
2023; plays United Cup in Sydney vs Norrie/De Minaur, only 2 matches of high intensity, then Dunlop balls in AO are different
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
[31] Nishioka vs. [18] Khachanov
[10] Hurkacz vs. [29] Korda

[3] Tsitsipas vs. [15] Sinner
[6] Auger-Aliassime vs. Lehecka


lol
 

ADuck

Legend
I just think it was a perfect storm last year for Rafa and 2022-23 in comparison was very much the opposite.

off season:
2021: hurt in June, takes 6 month break for rehab and focuses on getting his body right
2022: hurt in July, rushes back for USO swing, hurt again, plays indoor season, not much rehab
2021: no Laver Cup and no preseason tour
2022: takes SA preseason tour and has young child

pre-season:
2022: plays Melbourne 250 on literally Rod Laver Arena, gets full match practice vs easy players on exact AO conditions
2023; plays United Cup in Sydney vs Norrie/De Minaur, only 2 matches of high intensity, then Dunlop balls in AO are different
I think Nadal should end season after USO from now on then.
 

StrongRule

Talk Tennis Guru
Where is Nadal though?

Where is he?
Unfortunately, Nadal had to deal his whole career with real injuries which made him skip lots of tournaments. Not with magic injuries which only hurt between matches and tournaments, but never during the game itself.
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
Fm6yw0_WIAENEJV


This image, the end of Medvedev's career
 

T007

Hall of Fame
Would have gone from Nakashima - Tiafoe - Medvedev to (most likely) Mackie - Khachanov - Korda. Just goes to show how mad the men's side has been this year and how easily circumstances can work out for the big 2
Korda could have straightsetted him in his current form even without injury. Last year Korda had MPs before choking.
 
Nadal is capable of losing to everyone on tour at this state. A draw opening up for him really doesn’t matter at 37 years old IMO

his speed is gone, his explosion is gone, his serve is non existent, his grounds are short. No depth. It’s too easy to smash all the balls back to him

he’s basically a top 20-30 player now. He’ll go out early at the French too. 4th round or so. He doesn’t have the ground game any longer. 2022 was his swan song. What a great one though. It is possible without the injuries last year he was in a legit hunt for a calendar slam. Djoker in the finals would have been the major hurdle
 

ibbi

G.O.A.T.
Such a simple thing, right? After having hardly played a good match since the US Open, after fading in numerous matches since then, playing with balls completely antithetical to his game (Berrettini, Ruud, also with heavy topspin, also out. Felix almost joined them too) expecting him to just find some form like it's something you can pull out of a hat is a remotely reasonable thing to have expected?:oops:
 

mike danny

Bionic Poster
Such a simple thing, right? After having hardly played a good match since the US Open, after fading in numerous matches since then, playing with balls completely antithetical to his game (Berrettini, Ruud, also with heavy topspin, also out. Felix almost joined them too) expecting him to just find some form like it's something you can pull out of a hat is a remotely reasonable thing to have expected?:oops:
Well, it worked last year.
 

The Blond Blur

G.O.A.T.
Eh, he got the title last year. All I wanted was another AO title and the way the capped off last year’s title by beating the most in form HC player from down 2-0 was a storybook ending. Sure, it sucks that he’s out so early, but the guy is about to be 37 and has been struggling with form and injuries for the better part of 6 months. I just hope he has enough in the tank for RG and can hold on until the Paris Olympics in 2024. I think that’d be the perfect place to end his career.
 

MichaelNadal

Bionic Poster
Eh, he got the title last year. All I wanted was another AO title and the way the capped off last year’s title by beating the most in form HC player from down 2-0 was a storybook ending. Sure, it sucks that he’s out so early, but the guy is about to be 37 and has been struggling with form and injuries for the better part of 6 months. I just hope he has enough in the tank for RG and can hold on until the Paris Olympics in 2024. I think that’d be the perfect place to end his career.

Big facts
 

StrongRule

Talk Tennis Guru
Eh, he got the title last year. All I wanted was another AO title and the way the capped off last year’s title by beating the most in form HC player from down 2-0 was a storybook ending. Sure, it sucks that he’s out so early, but the guy is about to be 37 and has been struggling with form and injuries for the better part of 6 months. I just hope he has enough in the tank for RG and can hold on until the Paris Olympics in 2024. I think that’d be the perfect place to end his career.
Yeah, honestly, after last year I don't care if he never plays AO again. The USO loss last year was much more disappointing.
 
I don’t want to see him play until the end of 2024 because it’s going to be an absolute crap show between now and then. It’s better to go out at least close to the top. He deserves better than to go out with a whimper

just call it a career after this year. The last thing I want to see is one of the greatest to ever played be reduced to a train wreck before retirement. Heck it was sad to see Fed going out like that post 2019 Wimbledon. Just call it a day
 
Problem is, I don't think it's his "form" that's the problem.

He's not getting to the ball like he used to, causing him to chip too many shots back.

Also causing him to force drop shots at bad times, giving his opponent easy winners.

I believe it's his health hurting his mobility, not his "form".
 
I'd argue that with how mentally suspect the current top players are, some earlier-round lower ranked opponents are more dangerous to Djokodal. Those guys just want a round victory badly, they are not competing for the title, the whole 'so much pressure' thing isn't about them. So if they see a vulnerable Djokovjc or Nadal across the net, they are like sharks so if they catch fire - bam, an upset. Djokovic said something along those lines yesterday about guys who rarely come out on the big stage and that in itself is a great experience for them.

On the other hand, the generally better, higher-ranked players on the tour have time and time again showed that in place of killer instinct, they have nerves and self-doubt when facing even poorly-playing versions of Djokovic and Nadal in Slams.
 

Chanwan

G.O.A.T.
Eh, he got the title last year. All I wanted was another AO title and the way the capped off last year’s title by beating the most in form HC player from down 2-0 was a storybook ending. Sure, it sucks that he’s out so early, but the guy is about to be 37 and has been struggling with form and injuries for the better part of 6 months. I just hope he has enough in the tank for RG and can hold on until the Paris Olympics in 2024. I think that’d be the perfect place to end his career.
not a Rafa fan, but so much this. AO 2022 was a tournament he, on paper, had no business winning yet somehow did. Anything else is gravy and there's been plenty of gravy already
 
Top