Depends on the feddy on a given day, i dont think he will lose to berdych this time although he remains a threat, fed should play cool as he is not a favorite for AO anyway. I think he got that pressure get to him in uso this year and stressed that djoker is favorite even though he won cincinatti
Fed is not going to win the AO. Eeyore has already won it.
Federer is not beating Murray or Djokovic in slams. That train has left the station in 2012.
#1 - Nadal is out
#2 - Fed is not obsessed about the #1 ranking and is mentally free to focus on individual slams
#3 - he's putting in his best training block since 2009 and we know that's the last time he won the AO
#4 - he's past worrying about "history" and is free to start ripping his forehand again
There was no pressure at the USO. He just had to win a standard '100% crowd on his side' night match (he's never lost a night match to that point). And lost.
Berdych with more spring in his legs than Federer, more aggression and at night where the ball zips through the court a little quicker = Devastating upset.
We saw it in Miami and USO, we've also seen it at Wimbledon.
Federer is not beating Murray or Djokovic in slams. That train has left the station in 2012.
Federer will lose to Berdych in the night QF/SF match.
And be as successful as Djokovic and Nadal in defeating Federer in 3/4 slams.
djoker is the favourite vs fed at the AO ..
But if federer plays well and smartly, using his full repertoire of shots, mixing it up including junkballing instead of trying to trade hammerblows with novak , he can pull it off .....
djoker is the favourite vs fed at the AO ..
But if federer plays well and smartly, using his full repertoire of shots, mixing it up including junkballing instead of trying to trade hammerblows with novak , he can pull it off .....
Anyone other than Djokovic winning will be a major upset.
I'm so sure I'm tempted to put some money where my mouth is and place a large bet, and I'm not normally a gambling man.
Love him or hate him you have to admit you're looking at an all time great in the making who, like it or not, is destined to dominate and win many more slams.
The only fly in Djokovic's ointment could be peak Murray but how often is that going to show up?
Hi mate - hope you and the family had a great Xmas.
Re your statement in bold - don't do it mate. He's nowhere near the level of favourite that Rafa used to be at RG.
Let's consider things for a minute. He's around 5/4 - that equates to 44% in relative probability terms; let's be generous and make it 50%.
So - the guys who, for a living, price the risk of Djokovic winning the AO rate that event as being less likely than correctly calling heads on the toss of coin.
Would you bet a lot of money on the toss of a coin? Thought not - so it follows that you shouldn't bet a lot of money on an event with a lower probability of occuring.
Hi mate - hope you and the family had a great Xmas.
Re your statement in bold - don't do it mate. He's nowhere near the level of favourite that Rafa used to be at RG.
Let's consider things for a minute. He's around 5/4 - that equates to 44% in relative probability terms; let's be generous and make it 50%.
So - the guys who, for a living, price the risk of Djokovic winning the AO rate that event as being less likely than correctly calling heads on the toss of coin.
Would you bet a lot of money on the toss of a coin? Thought not - so it follows that you shouldn't bet a lot of money on an event with a lower probability of occuring.
You've gotta look at past slow court efforts in their match ups... Federer played a truly inspired match to beat Djokovic in the 2011 French Open semis - when Djokovic was in his peak form.Roger can't beat Nole in Australia.. Don't be ridiculous. This isn't indoor fast grass. The last two times they have played, Djoker took a huge **** on him..
He better not win now, otherwise you might have robbed Fedex of a life of wealth and glamour.
You've gotta look at past slow court efforts in their match ups... Federer played a truly inspired match to beat Djokovic in the 2011 French Open semis - when Djokovic was in his peak form.
Roll forward a year and Djokovic reversed the result this year - but, Federer didn't play nearly as inspired as in 2011 (nor did the slower 2012 balls help him in that respect). I'd say if both Federer and Djokovic made it to the Aussie final the biggest factor would be whether Federer had avoided an epic 5 setter in the previous match or two. If he had his chance of beating Djokovic at the AO would be arguably better than Nadal's. On the right day he can bring more in terms of strategy and un-playability than Nadal can.
The question is, how often can Federer produce that sort of genius tennis anymore - especially after a series of potentially tough matches? He did it at Wimbledon, but can he do it somewhere slower and hotter?
I have slight hopes in Federer. It's not like Djokovic is gonna win it like Rafa win RG. And Roger is certainly the third favorite after Djokovic and Murray, irrespective of his loss to Berdych in USO
There's every chance Federer could meet Ferrer in the semi and Murray and Djokovic could be on the other side in a marathon slugfest. If that doesn't set Federer up for a good chance of taking home the trophy I don't know what does. Ferrer can't seem to trouble Fed yet he's had great runs in Oz. Murray and Djokovic are very close and will grind each other to dust. It's just one of many possibilities but the people who are caps lock DEFINITE that Djokovic can't be beat don't seem to understand the vagaries of professional sport.
He's not beating Djoker. Not a chance......
Australia and a indoor grass court is night and day. Grass (especially indoors grass, is Nole's worst surface and Roger's best.). Australia is Nole's best surface by far and one of Roger's worst now.
He's not beating Djoker. Not a chance......
The three setter at AO 2011 was not that one sided. First set was a tie breaker, second Roger was leading 5-2 and he lost, third he broke back to 4-4 and then lost. It was just eight points difference in the end. It wasn't that one sided as many make it out to be. It's NOT like Roger doesn't have any chances at all
A better chance than nadal for sure >> who has zero chance ......
He's not beating Djoker. Not a chance......
against Djoker his chance = 0% hahahahahahaha
LOL what's it got to do with Nadal who's not even playing? Fed's playing and still against Djoker his chance = 0% hahahahahahaha
NOT 1 set against Novak on plexicushion and now that he's even older he's going to beat him??? LOL dumb **** logic.
Anyway, Fed's not making it to the quarters this year. Get ready
Nothing happened.. They put a roof on thus making grass faster which was perfect conditions for Roger. (he may not even have beaten Nole without the roof, I don't know)
Australia and a indoor grass court is night and day. Grass (especially indoors grass, is Nole's worst surface and Roger's best.). Australia is Nole's best surface by far and one of Roger's worst now.
LOL what's it got to do with Nadal who's not even playing? Fed's playing and still against Djoker his chance = 0% hahahahahahaha
LOL what's it got to do with Nadal who's not even playing? Fed's playing and still against Djoker his chance = 0% hahahahahahaha
NOT 1 set against Novak on plexicushion and now that he's even older he's going to beat him??? LOL dumb **** logic.
Anyway, Fed's not making it to the quarters this year. Get ready
that's what they said at Wimbledon 2012
Whoa! Say It Ain't So Lo!Or are you just like every other idiot in this section, making broad assumptions about X players like you're their siblings?
And Djoko will break a leg??
Honestly.... Can you guys be realistic. Obiously we cant count Roger out he's amazing. But on the note of Wimbledon 2012 yes they said Nole had it but come on. Thats Noles worst surface by far and Rogers best. The AO is where Nole excels. So im giving it to him.
Nobody is beating Novak Djokovic on the AO surface. Not even god-level Rafa who is grinding and defending his butt off!
He hit the nail on the head.
He didn't. Hards are Nadal's worst surface. And Federer's second best (relative to the field).
Not saying Federer is gonna beat him, though. I do think it's extremely unlikely.
Are you saying that Federer is a better player on the AO surface than Nadal?
Because I have some evidence that refutes such a statement.
Course he is. And don't bring up the freaking head-to-head. Federer was past his prime and then there's the match-up.