I think Federer has a real chance.
1) Novak not at his peak
2) recent close encounters. Federer in average form almost beat Novak at Paris 2018
3) Federer hitting his forehand well
Federer doesn’t beat Novak through consistency but by serving well and dictating play with his forehand. Without...
Djokovic knows how it works, but It’s easy to see why it could be surprising:
-Nadal has a moderate gap over Fed in the rankings
-Nadal went further at Wimbledon last year.
Federer is ahead because of 2 other tournaments: Halle 2019, and winning Wimbledon 2017 which was a long time ago obviously.
We have (1) Djokovic v (4) Thiem, (3)Federer v (2) Nadal
In 2013 AO we had (1)Djokovic v (4)Ferrer, (3)Murray v (2)Federer, Djokovic winning at the end.
Last time it happened at Roland Garros was 2011. (1)Nadal v (4) Murray, (3)Federer v (2)Djokovic
It actually happened twice in 2011, at the...
This would work if Nadal was tired. See set 5 of AO17. Nadal can't hit a passing shot when his legs are weary.
Federer should employ this tactic more and more as the match wears on. But in the first two sets, he'll need to find a way to outmanoeuvre Rafa. This will involve resisting pressure on...