Recent content by schmke

  1. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Not a big surprise. My ratings had a couple more very close.
  2. schmke

    Playing with or against self rated players

    I think part of the discussion/disagreement is due to terminology. On one hand, and what I think @Dartagnan64 is referring to, there is the coarse grained NTRP "rating", which to me is more of a "level" given how coarse grained it is. It is this level that has the arbitrary thresholds and is a...
  3. schmke

    Predictions and future ratings for Mixed doubles?

    I will do my simulations and predictions for Mixed Nationals too.
  4. schmke

    2021 40+ 4.5M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Just posted on my blog. Two matches have been fully "tied" so far and been decided by the winner of court 1 doubles. Eight others were within a game or two of also being fully tied.
  5. schmke

    2021 40+ 4.0 Men Predictions

    Hey, I posted a simulation/prediction on my blog! And an equal mention in my forthcoming summary of the weekend (if the 4.5M result would be posted on TL). Nice job on 10th though, my projection was a few spots lower so your guys overachieved a bit.
  6. schmke

    2021 40+ 4.5M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Was a 5.0M at the end of 2010, in 2014 self-rated at 5.0 again but played just two men's matches and got another 5.0M, managed to self-rate as a 4.5, perhaps due to age and/or an appeal down of what should have been a required 5.0S. Appears to still have 5.0 game though. If it was an appeal...
  7. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Also, Intermountain's roster was huge, so one could make the argument playing time had to be spread around. But still USTA's fault for relaxing the rules that allow such a large roster of self-rates.
  8. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Another case of the USTA dropping the ball, they relaxed their rules on the number of matches self-rates had to play to be eligible for Nationals. I think the intent was to reduce the burden for teams that may have had trouble getting players in matches due to the pandemic, but I'm pretty sure...
  9. schmke

    2021 40+ 4.5M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    A few matches have been tied all the way to the game winning percentage, meaning the team that won court 1 doubles "wins" the match. Will do a full summary on this topic on my blog shortly.
  10. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Yeah, it is hard to do. A few years ago I had a team that was doubles heavy and went 21-3 on the doubles courts in the regular season, then 3-0 in a playoff match to qualify for Sectionals, 3-0 in the first Sectionals match, but then lost a doubles court in a super tie-break to the team that...
  11. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Impressive to be able to pull that off.
  12. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    The whole reason for year-end ratings is that player's abilities change over time. The pandemic didn't suddenly stop this from happening, particularly when we are being told more tennis was played in 2020 because it was considered a safe activity in many areas. So a decision to not publish...
  13. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Yes, there were a few. Looking at the way out of level (> 0.25 over) players in the semis that played in 2020: Southern has one, would likely have been bumped up at 2020 year-end but was not wildly out of level then, their rating has gone up 0.25 since then Northern has one, would likely have...
  14. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    A number of ringers, some even C rates. A big part of the issue is a 2-year rating period. A lot of these players would have been bumped up at 2020 year-end and wouldn't be at this Nationals. Give players 2 years to improve, you will have some wildly out of level.
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