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  1. schmke

    2021 40+ 4.5M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    Unlike the 18+ 4.0M that have tightly bunched schedule strengths, the 40+ 4.5 men have quite the range. The easiest is just 4.36 while the toughest is 4.51! The team with that easy schedule is not that strong on paper, but may squeak into the semis due to the easy schedule. The teams likely...
  2. schmke

    2021 18+ 4.0M USTA League Nationals Predictions

    I just posted my predictions from my simulation, looks to be a very tight competition with 14 of the teams having schedule strengths from 3.98 to 4.02. A big tie at 3-1 is likely, but Texas, Middle West, MoValley, and Middle States appear most likely to advance, SoCal, Eastern, Northern...
  3. schmke

    2021 40+ 4.0 Men Predictions

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  4. schmke

    18+ 4.5M Nationals Predictions

    Just posted this simulation/prediction too, and again there is a good chance for a huge tie for the last semi spot at 2-2. Who is likely to advance? SoCal, Florida, MoValley, and Mid-Atlantic/PNW, but Eastern, NorCal, Texas, and New England could all be in it.
  5. schmke

    40+ 4.0M Nationals Predictions

    I just posted my predictions for 40+ 4.0M, see my blog for details, but the interesting detail is that a full 12 teams have a 20% or higher chance of making the semis with a 9-way tie at 2-2 for 4th place a real possibility. Of course, a bunch of teams have a good chance at getting to 3-1 for...
  6. schmke

    Call for 2021 All TT Team Candidates

    Thanks to @BallBag's reminder, it is time to start thinking about 2021 All TT Teams. For those that are new, I post All TT Teams for each gender and level for which there are enough candidates. In the past, I've been able to post men's 3.5, 4.0, and 4.5 teams and a ladies tri-level team. To...
  7. schmke

    2021 USTA League Nationals schedule is out

    The event is planned, let's hope nothing happens to cause it to be canceled again. Main page: https://www.usta.com/en/home/play/adult-tennis/programs/national/usta-league-nationals-schedule.html Schedule...
  8. schmke

    USTA League play in January is growing ...

    ... in a few sections. But participation largely way off from last year comparing January to January as you would expect with continued restrictions in several sections. See my blog for more details and discussion, but below is a chart I included there showing, by section, the percentage...
  9. schmke

    USTA gets rid of family and multi-year Adult/Senior memberships

    I got an e-mail this morning from the USTA listing a variety of changes to their membership structure, a few good, no cost memberships for Juniors and Organizations, but some probably not so good, doing away with family memberships as well as multi-year memberships for Adults and Seniors. I...
  10. schmke

    TennisLink is gone! Well, sort of ... For tournaments at least

    I've written on my blog about developments for replacing TennisLink in the past and just wrote a new article on the first step actually occurring effective January 1, which really means now. No, TennisLink is not being fully replaced all at once and we will not be using something new for USTA...
  11. schmke

    USTA League Plus flights gone for 2021

    I just wrote a blog entry on the new USTA League regulations document that was published in July, the most notable change being that plus flights are gone. So no more 5.0+ for 18+ and no 4.5+ for 40+. This means the issues with non-competitive matches when 5.5s played weak 5.0s or even 4.5s...
  12. schmke

    USTA reorganizing resulting in staff cuts and office closure

    Reported by ESPN: https://www.espn.com/tennis/story/_/id/29283446/usta-cuts-jobs-closes-new-york-office-amid-pandemic Says 110 jobs eliminated, about 20% of the national staff, and closing the office in White Plains.
  13. schmke

    USTA National suspends sanctioned activities through 4/20

    See below. It is interesting the are keeping facilities/campuses open, just limiting group activity sizes. Basically, if you want to play on your own, you can, but players are now not compelled or pressured to if they were part of a team or tournament. Presumably this forces all sections to...
  14. schmke

    New playoff format in situations where top-2 teams advance

    In my section (PNW), our Sectionals is generally filled with 8 teams from 4 districts (sometimes 5 or 6), so the winners from playoffs in each district advance, along with the runner's up from 2-4 of the districts. At least 2 of the districts have playoffs where there is a single elimination...
  15. schmke

    Year-end Rating Distribution

    We've been discussing bumps up/down by section, and a related topic is just the distribution of players across the levels and how it has changed. I've written the first in what will be a series of blog posts taking a look at that. Here is the chart across all sections and both genders. See...
  16. schmke

    2019 All TT Team - 4.0 Men

    For the next All TT Team for 2019, I'll continue with the 4.0 men. This is a hotly contested level with quite a few TTers that opted in. As a reminder, the All TT Teams are formed from those Talk Tennis users that opt-in to being candidates, and then taking the top-N players by level using my...
  17. schmke

    2019 All TT Team - 3.5 Men

    For the next All TT Team for 2019, I'll continue with the 3.5 men. This is a hotly contested level with quite a few TTers that opted in. As a reminder, the All TT Teams are formed from those Talk Tennis users that opt-in to being candidates, and then taking the top-N players by level using my...
  18. schmke

    2019 All TT Team - 4.5 Men

    For the next All TT Team for 2019, I'll continue with the 4.5 men. This is a hotly contested level with quite a few TTers that opted in. As a reminder, the All TT Teams are formed from those Talk Tennis users that opt-in to being candidates, and then taking the top-N players by level using my...
  19. schmke

    2019 All TT Team - 5.0 Men

    For the first All TT Team for 2019, I'll start with the 5.0 men. Yes, we have enough for a 5.0 team this year! As a reminder, the All TT Teams are formed from those Talk Tennis users that opt-in to being candidates, and then taking the top-N players by level using my ratings. For 5.0s, I am...
  20. schmke

    Call for 2019 All TT Team Candidates

    The past couple of years, I've posted "All TT Teams" at several levels with the top-8 players according to my ratings for TT members that opted in to being considered. Here for example are a few from the past: 2017 4.5 men...
  21. schmke

    SoCal trying to one-up NorCal with inappropriate use of unflighted round-robin

    I just learned (and wrote about on my blog) about SoCal using unflighted round-robin for their Tri-Level Sectionals for the 3.0/3.5/4.0 women's event. It appears there are 13 teams and since that couldn't be split into even flights, they went this route. That is fine, unflighted round-robin...
  22. schmke

    Week 7 (the last) of Nationals - 40+ 6.0/7.0/8.0/9.0 Mixed

    The last weekend of Nationals is this weekend in Orlando where all of the 40+ Mixed levels will be played. For some reason, schedules are not yet posted on TennisLink and I usually wait for those to do my simulations as the PDF schedules are still subject to change the TennisLink sort of...
  23. schmke

    Week 6 of Nationals - 18+ 6.0/8.0/10.0 Mixed, 55+ 6.0/9.0

    Week 6 of Nationals is nearly upon us. This weekend finds three levels of Mixed being played in Orlando, and 55+ finishing up its Nationals in Arizona. A preview/simulation of 8.0 Mixed has been posted on the blog, others coming soon.
  24. schmke

    Week 5 of Nationals - 18+ 7.0/9.0 Mixed, 55+ 8.0

    Nationals continues with week 5 this weekend in Arizona (55+) and Orlando (18+ Mixed). I just posted my simulation of 18+ 9.0 Mixed, lets hope the rain stays away, but right now the forecast is 40% chance of PM showers on Friday, and 40% of thunderstorms on Saturday, very similar to the...
  25. schmke

    Week 4 of Nationals - 40+ 4.5+ and 55+ 7.0

    Nationals continue this weekend, but slow down with just two events. The weather is iffy in Orlando for the 4.5+ level, scattered thunderstorms and 40% chance of precipitation each day as I write this. Simulation of the men just posted, Southern, NorCal, Mid-Atlantic, and PNW most likely to...
  26. schmke

    We are five matches away from sending an undefeated 18+ 4.5 mens team home from Nationals

    I wrote a bit ago on my blog and the week 3 thread that after day 1 and a few matches, there was a decent chance of having five undefeated teams at the 18+ 4.5 mens Nationals, and then one would get sent home and not make the semis. Well, with all five teams having played three matches, they...
  27. schmke

    Interesting happenings with NorCal 40+ 4.5+ Nationals representative

    It does not show up on TennisLink yet, but I am hearing that the team currently listed is not the team that will be going. I do not know all the details, but apparently there were some goings on at Sectionals that resulted in the team that won Sectionals (team A) being disqualified and not...
  28. schmke

    Week 3 of Nationals is a big one - 18+ 4.0 and 4.5, 40+ 3.0 and 3.5

    The busiest weekend of Nationals is this weekend with a full four events for both genders, all events being 5-court format. I just posted my 18+ 4.0 simulation, others coming soon. The 18+ 4.0 appears to be exceedingly competitive with a large tie at 3-1 likely due to some strong teams having...
  29. schmke

    Week 2 of USTA League Nationals is four days away

    Figure we'll start a new thread for this weekend's events. Although I'm sure it will be dominated by discussion of Texas and Intermountain (where the other thread has currently gone). The 18+ 2.5 women will be playing in Las Vegas. No men's event at this level. The 18+ 3.0 levels play at a...
  30. schmke

    USTA League Nationals start in four days

    I've started posting my simulations and predictions on my blog. 18 & Over 3.5 women and men both up for those that care to look. Favorites for the women are Mid-Atlantic Middle States, Eastern, and Texas For the men it is Texas, Middle West, PNW, and NorCal. Many more details on the blog...
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