10th time lucky for Roberto Bautista-Agut?

RBA didn't do well in Slams last year (actually, after a good start, it was a disappointing year for him in general) but now gets a 10th shot at a round 4 match. So far, here's his record in them:

1. 2014 AO: lost to Dimitrov
2. 2014 UO: lost to Federer
3. 2015 WI: lost to Federer
4. 2015 UO: lost to Djokovic
5. 2016 AO: lost to Berdych
6. 2016 RG: lost to Djokovic
7. 2017 AO: lost to Raonic
8. 2017 RG: lost to Nadal
9. 2017 WI: lost to Cilic

Cilic again stands in his way. On hard courts, he should be more competitive against Cilic than he was on grass, and he goes in on the back of a great start to 2019, winning Doha and beating Khachanov easily yesterday. But Cilic will likely draw momentum from his Verdasco match. Can RBA do it?
 

lud

Hall of Fame
1. 2014 AO: lost to Dimitrov
2. 2014 UO: lost to Federer
3. 2015 WI: lost to Federer
4. 2015 UO: lost to Djokovic
5. 2016 AO: lost to Berdych
6. 2016 RG: lost to Djokovic
7. 2017 AO: lost to Raonic
8. 2017 RG: lost to Nadal
9. 2017 WI: lost to Cilic

10. 2018 AO: lost to Cilic
 
I think you're both right that Cilic is favorite, but it's one of RBA's better draws in round 4. I mean, he played Nadal on clay, Federer on hard and grass, Djokovic on clay and hard, and Cilic on grass. He hasn't even gone in to a round 4 match as the higher-ranked player, or played a no-name. That is partly because he's usually ranked outside the top eight, but it's also down to just plain bad luck. Look just at this year's AO, for example: Dimitrov is seeded two spots higher but they are effectively seeded equal #17 as far as the draw is concerned. And Dimitrov is playing Tiafoe in round 4. RBA would be favorite against Tiafoe. And Cilic had to save match point against Verdasco. RBA would be 50-50 or perhaps slight favorite against Verdasco (not sure about whether he'd be favorite against a Verdasco who'd just beaten Cilic, but it'd be close).

Really bad luck for him to make round 4 10 times and never once get an easy draw.
 

IowaGuy

Hall of Fame
Cilic might be tired after the long match with Verdasco?

Whereas RBA should have very fresh legs after his easy 3 setter against Kha.
 

Big_Dangerous

Talk Tennis Guru
He’s led 1-4 in his H2H wit Cilic...BUT...

his only win was at the AO in 2016 R32 straight setted Cilic :cool:
I watched some of that match courtside, I was surprised at how well RBA played and how Cilic didn't seem to have any answers. He definitely comes into the match with a good chance, because let's face it, Verdasco should have beaten Cilic. Unfortunately for Dasco, those past demons reared their ugly head and he choked once again. RBA has been playing some very solid ball to start this season. He beat Djokovic in Doha in 3 tight sets, and then just beat Khachanov in straight sets in his previous match.
 

Big_Dangerous

Talk Tennis Guru
Cilic might be tired after the long match with Verdasco?

Whereas RBA should have very fresh legs after his easy 3 setter against Kha.
And if you are tired after a tough physical and emotional match like that, RBA is not someone you want to see in the next round. He will make you play a lot of shots and extend the rallies. I could honestly see RBA winning this in 4 sets.
 
I like RBA. He has better groundy package than any of the next-genners because he is more old school and doesn't slap at the ball. But his problem is his wimpy serve. Guys like Cilic can coast on service games against him and focus energy on getting at least one break per set. RBA will start going farther in slams when he gets deeper into his 30s after the good players decline or retire, and then he can feast on the weak younger guys.
 

Bukmeikara

Legend
He needs to call Gasquet for a tip. At one point Richard was 1-15 in R16 matches. Agut should like his chances against Cilic, they are probably at even odds at the moment and Bautista is riding on that confidence
 

Boom-Boom

Hall of Fame
I watched some of that match courtside, I was surprised at how well RBA played and how Cilic didn't seem to have any answers. He definitely comes into the match with a good chance, because let's face it, Verdasco should have beaten Cilic. Unfortunately for Dasco, those past demons reared their ugly head and he choked once again. RBA has been playing some very solid ball to start this season. He beat Djokovic in Doha in 3 tight sets, and then just beat Khachanov in straight sets in his previous match.
Agreed, RBA could perfectly won that one, Cilic looked really up and down against Fiasco, should have lost...
A gruelling 5-setter would be good in any case for Fedr (if he gets past Tsitsi) ;)
 

arvind13

Semi-Pro
If I were fed I would prefer cilic over RBA. RBA has looked in very tough mental and physical form. he has the groundstrokes to overpower federer, and unlike cilic, he has the movement too. if fed and rba met, RBA has good chance to knock out fed just like Millman
 

Big_Dangerous

Talk Tennis Guru
If I were fed I would prefer cilic over RBA. RBA has looked in very tough mental and physical form. he has the groundstrokes to overpower federer, and unlike cilic, he has the movement too. if fed and rba met, RBA has good chance to knock out fed just like Millman


He has the counter punching and consistency to trouble Federer, yes.

RBA overpowering Fed?

 

Clay lover

Hall of Fame
RBA is not your stereotypical Spanish grinder with two last names. While he does have grinding capabilities his forehand is flat as a pancake and is actually quite effective at penetrating the court. His serve might not be powerful but it's actually quite well-placed as evidenced by his 10 aces today. VS someone like Cilic or Federer of course he looks like a counterpuncher. People stereotype him because he's a Spaniard and I think it doesn't do his game justice. He's one of the Spaniards I actually enjoy watching.
 
Two straight wins in round 4 of a major for RBA now. And he will go into the quarter-final as favorite against Pella. But it's not a gimme by any means.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
Two straight wins in round 4 of a major for RBA now. And he will go into the quarter-final as favorite against Pella. But it's not a gimme by any means.
He’s the only one left that hasn’t dropped a set. Fresher legs should get him into his first slam SF.
 
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