2015 ATP WTF RR: Nishikori (8) vs. Federer (3)

Who wins?

  • Nishikori in 2

    Votes: 1 2.4%
  • Nishikori in3

    Votes: 5 11.9%
  • Federer in 3

    Votes: 11 26.2%
  • Federer in 2

    Votes: 25 59.5%

  • Total voters
    42
  • Poll closed .

Meles

Bionic Poster
Berdych has to beat Novak in straights...in which case it will be a 3 way tie between Novak/Berdych and Nishi(1 win each). They'll look at sets won and I think Nishi goes through then because he took a set off Fed.

So basically - Berdych beats Novak in straights - Fed and Nishi are through. If novak takes even a single set, it's him and Fed.
Wrong. Nishi is out in all scenarios with this loss. Please get your facts straight.
 

veroniquem

Bionic Poster
Ah, so Federer winning all three matches to avoid Nadal puts him under suspicion ! What a cheater this Fed !
That is not cheating actually, that's good strategizing. The only thing that could be considered cheating is losing a match or a set on purpose in order to manipulate outcome of RR.
 

TheGhostOfAgassi

Talk Tennis Guru
I'm into this tournament fully because I know that once it's done I won't be coming here very often until the 2016 season starts :)
Its very confusing the system, tennis is normally very straightforward :D
Boring times ahead without tennis! Luckily I'm into wintersports so I glide over to that when tennis is off.
 

Sentinel

Bionic Poster
Berdych has to beat Novak in straights...in which case it will be a 3 way tie between Novak/Berdych and Nishi(1 win each). They'll look at sets won and I think Nishi goes through then because he took a set off Fed.

So basically - Berdych beats Novak in straights - Fed and Nishi are through. If novak takes even a single set, it's him and Fed.

I don't think Berdman has any incentive to beat Novak since he isn't going through himself. Novak should handle him easily. The second set will be 6-1.
 

Sentinel

Bionic Poster
That is not cheating actually, that's good strategizing. The only thing that could be considered cheating is losing a match or a set on purpose in order to manipulate outcome of RR.

So let's get this straight. Novak losing a match was not on purpose or a manipulation of RR since you are his fan. But Fed losing is, since you don't like him.

Does all your logic and conclusion/s stem from whom you are a fan of ? :)
 

Chanwan

G.O.A.T.
What are the chances of a Fedal semi? What needs to happen? I am guessing Ferrer needs to smash Rafa in straights?
it can't happen I'm pretty sure. Both are guaranteed to be no. 1 in their groups regardless of what happens.
Its intolerable to have incorrect facts and state them. Confuses everyone and is the worst kind of trolling. Be biased and troll, but get your facts straight please!
she's intolerable alright.
 

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
Its very confusing the system, tennis is normally very straightforward :D
Boring times ahead without tennis! Luckily I'm into wintersports so I glide over to that when tennis is off.

It's so fun at the same time. I don't know how long you've been following tennis but there have been some trolling actions before at the WTF, in 2009 and 2011 for example (2009 in particular).
 

Meles

Bionic Poster
And Djoko cannot qualify first of his group, correct? So Fedal won't happen in semi for sure. I think that was crucial for Fed's chances to win the whole thing (not having to go through Nadal and Djoko back to back in the last stages). Of course Wawa can have 1 of his inspired moments. You never know when he might turn the switch on.
This is actually correct! Djoko cannot win group nor could he under any scenario today. So Djoko v Nadal is guaranteed semi unless Berdy wins in 2 today and then he takes Nole's place. Murray and Wawa play tomorrow to see who will play Fed. Wawa is the real wildcard and it will be interesting to see how he does against Murray.
 

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
No offence to anyone but I don't find it very complicated. In 2 way ties H2H is used and in 3 way ties it's set% 1st and then game%. It's not hard.

It can be confusing because if I remember correctly a couple of years ago because if there was a two-player-tie a better set ratio got you through to the SF, not the H2H record.
 

Chanwan

G.O.A.T.
It's normal Fed should be under suspicion at WTF since there was a precedent (with Murray) in the past. Not even mentioning what Fed did last year. Djoko OTOH has won his last 3 WTF without losing a match. No reason to suspect him of any foul play.
please elaborate on exactly what's the precedent was.
A tank job like today?
 

Sentinel

Bionic Poster
This is actually correct! Djoko cannot win group nor could he under any scenario today. So Djoko v Nadal is guaranteed semi unless Berdy wins in 2 today and then he takes Nole's place. Murray and Wawa play tomorrow to see who will play Fed. Wawa is the real wildcard and it will be interesting to see how he does against Murray.

Can Berdych really take Nole's place by beating him ?
 

cc0509

Talk Tennis Guru
It's normal Fed should be under suspicion at WTF since there was a precedent (with Murray) in the past. Not even mentioning what Fed did last year. Djoko OTOH has won his last 3 WTF without losing a match. No reason to suspect him of any foul play.

Oh my gosh vero. I logged on and am getting a real chuckle from your posts today! It looks like you are having another meltdown during this WTF as you did during the WTF last year. Calm down, your pets Djokovic and Nadal are still in the running, what's the problem? God help us all if Federer somehow manages to win this thing and we are subjected to more of your gibberish. You might need a padded cell if that happens. :rolleyes:
 

Dark Magician

Professional
Dude, Ferrer is out. Wawrinka-Murray is a straight shoot-out. Whoever wins goes through from 2nd place. Nothing less nothing more.
Ya Ferrer is out. I forgot the H2H rule. If set%, then games won% were followed, then there was a minute chance for Rafa to come 2nd in his group.
 

TheGhostOfAgassi

Talk Tennis Guru
It's so fun at the same time. I don't know how long you've been following tennis but there have been some trolling actions before at the WTF, in 2009 and 2011 for example (2009 in particular).
I grew up w tennis as I have players in my family. So basically for as long as I can remember. Some of my first memories as a kid was watching tennis. I played too but got an injury when I was very young and couldn't compete anymore from I was 18. When I grew up we normally cheered for the underdog ;)
 
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Steve0904

Talk Tennis Guru
Haha pretty sure it'll be a quick affair no matter who wins. Someone will throw in the towel after the first set...whoever loses it.

Not sure about that. The winner is straight through without any complications at all so I can't see one of them "giving up" unless Murray really does set his sights on DC, but somehow I doubt that.
 

Meles

Bionic Poster
Can Berdych really take Nole's place by beating him ?
That is what published scenarios state. And I've posted them back in the thread several times. Berdy must win in 2 sets, otherwise Nole is in. Perversely, if Nishikori had beat Fed, Berdy would be out, however a Berdy victory in 2 or 3 sets would have elmininated Nole. Fed tanking this would have given Berdy a better shot of eliminating Nole, but perhaps less motivation since Berdy would have been eliminated from semis by the Nishi win.
 

Chanwan

G.O.A.T.
I don't remember the details except that Fed lost a set in an odd way and it stopped Murray from qualifying.
year? player? odd way? like today, when Nishi suddenly hit the zone?
What does IIRC mean?
if I remember correctly.

@tennis_pro please elaborate on the trolling actions of 2009, Vero seems to think Fed trolled Murray. I don't recall and don't trust her (who can't remember the details) that much on it.
 

veroniquem

Bionic Poster
So let's get this straight. Novak losing a match was not on purpose or a manipulation of RR since you are his fan. But Fed losing is, since you don't like him.
Novak losing the match vs Fed doesn't "gain" him anything. It would also have been Novak's best interest not to meet Rafa in semi (the most in form player in the other group) and it woud have been better for him to not have to care about last match of RR (not even mentioning the overall h to h issue vs Fed).
So, the reason why the Novak loss shouldn't be suspected of being a tank is that he gains absolutely nothing from it. (Quite the opposite. He is now at risk of not qualifying at all)
 

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
I grew up w tennis as I have players in my family. So basically for as long as I can remember. Some of my first memories as a kid was watching tennis. I played too but got an injury when I was very young and couldn't compete anymore from I was 18. Its in my blood. Lol. I lived in Wimbledon because of tennis. Though here where I live now its not that much tennis and distances so far.. :( Europe is the best when it comes to tennis, thats for sure! What fanboys write in here is pretty ridiculous at times, but quite amusing to see how it from the other side, its fun. When I grew up we normally cheered for the underdog ;)

Ye, that's quite a roller coaster ride. Btw It's also cool to see someone who didn't just start watching tennis this year (and is rooting for Djokovic) because of Djokovic's domination.

Btw I'm not sure if you followed tennis closely at the time but this is what happened at the WTF in 2009. There was so much confusion at the end of the Federer-Del Potro match because nobody knew who would qualify and who would be packing their bags. You had to literally sit with a calculator to be sure who goes through, that's how close it was. We were counting every game in the 3rd set of the Fed-Del Po match. Good times. Still brings a smile to my face when I think about how Murray was trolled out of the tournament :D At least he didn't have to drive far to get back home :D

murray_lol.jpg
 

Sartorius

Hall of Fame
Novak losing the match vs Fed doesn't "gain" him anything. It would also be Novak's interest not to meet Rafa in semi (the most in form player in the other group) and it woud have been better for him to not have to care about last match of RR (not even mentioning the h to h issue).
So, the reason why the Novak loss shouldn't be suspected of being a tank is that he gains absolutely nothing from it.

picard_clapping.gif


You should write a book.
 

Chanwan

G.O.A.T.
She's at it again Chanwan. It's like a repeat of last year. I thought nothing could top her comments from the WTF last year but yet I log on today to find these vero gems! :D
she's still got some way to go, but I wouldn't bet against her to top it this year. :eek:
 

tennisaddict

Bionic Poster
2009 - I think when Fed knew he had already qualified when he won enough set/games in match 3, decided to lose the match and allow Delpo to get ahead of Murray since all were 2-1.
 
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TheGhostOfAgassi

Talk Tennis Guru
Ye, that's quite a roller coaster ride. Btw It's also cool to see someone who didn't just start watching tennis this year (and is rooting for Djokovic) because of Djokovic's domination.

Btw I'm not sure if you followed tennis closely at the time but this is what happened at the WTF in 2009. There was so much confusion at the end of the Federer-Del Potro match because nobody knew who would qualify and who would be packing their bags. Good times. Still brings a smile to my face when I think about how Murray was trolled out of the tournament :D At least he didn't have to drive far to get back home :D

murray_lol.jpg
Honestly, when I grew up we were never that into wtf. Its the tournament we didn't follow that closely. Though Ive been to the venue some times.
Wonder what would have happened if Delpo and Andy had the exact same Game W L!
 

tennis_pro

Bionic Poster
Honestly, when I grew up we were never that into wtf. Its the tournament we didn't follow that closely. Though Ive been to the venue some times.
Wonder what would have happened if Delpo and Andy had the exact same Game W L!

Lucky you! I'm in a crappy position cause each time there's a tournament I'd like to see it's either too far away or I have exams at the same time. The closest (and cheapest) is Halle, I really have to go there one day, especially if Fed's there.

Yeah, I'm just wondering now. This is what wiki says:
5) Steering Committee decision.

Wonder what the criteria they would've used? "Murray is a Brit so we're taking him! Sorry Del Po!"
 

Chanwan

G.O.A.T.
2009 - I think when Fed knew he had already qualified when he won 1 set in match 3, decided to lose the match and allow Delpo to get ahead of Murray since all were 2-1.
@tennis_pro
you should go to Halle next year, who knows how many more years he's playing. Don't miss him!

Murray killed himself in 2008 beating Fed despite himself being through. Perhaps Fed felt cruel a year later..... Don't recall the Delpo match well enough to determine or not whether Fed gave it his best.
 

tennisaddict

Bionic Poster
IIRC , all the 2009 group matches in Fed/Delpo/Verdasco/Murray were 3 setters. So games won-lost came into picture.

Fed had 2 blow out sets against Murray which helped
 

Steve0904

Talk Tennis Guru
year? player? odd way? like today, when Nishi suddenly hit the zone?

It was 2009. I think H2H was still used. Fed, Murray and Delpo all finished with 2-1 records and 1-1 against each other. In that case it came down to set% but as far as I can tell they all finished 5/9 in sets (all 3 setters in every RR match). So then it came down to game% and Murray was eliminated by the slimmest of margins.

Federer won a 2nd set TB against Delpo in his final RR match 7 points to 5 to basically qualify since the worst set loss of the week was Federer breadsticking Murray which killed his game% statistic.

So Federer didn't lose a set on purpose as vero says :rolleyes:. He had to win it to qualify and then even if he got bageled by Delpo in the decider he beat Murray for game%. Delpo needed to beat Fed to qualify, and since Federer was qualified he could lose a set and still qualify. In the process he eliminated Murray, but to say he was thinking that way is pretty ludicrous tbh.
 
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