2019 Australian Open - Men's Singles - Discussion Thread

Who will win AO?

  • Novak Djokovic

    Votes: 54 39.7%
  • Roger Federer

    Votes: 29 21.3%
  • Alexander Zverev

    Votes: 4 2.9%
  • Dominic Thiem

    Votes: 4 2.9%
  • Rafael Nadal

    Votes: 21 15.4%
  • Stan Wawrinka

    Votes: 4 2.9%
  • Andy Murray

    Votes: 8 5.9%
  • Kei Nishikori

    Votes: 2 1.5%
  • Karen Khachanov

    Votes: 3 2.2%
  • Other

    Votes: 7 5.1%

  • Total voters
    136
Is is even possible to have a tough draw for Djokovic at the AO? Not unless you stacked KK,Cilic/Zverev, Fed etc together, and maybe not even then.

I think Nole breezes to the final with his B- game. Over there he likely gets Fed, and we know how those types of matches go. Novak in 3 or 4.

Honestly at this point, I'd think there would have to be a young gun/big-hitter, who could surprise Djoko. I don't anticipate the stalwarts such as Fed/Nadal/Cillic/Wawrinka/Delpo(who's not playing)/Anderson etc etc - giving him any trouble whatsoever. Not least at the AO, which is his best surface. Novak is just clearly better.

In a way, Fed/Nadal should be thankful that they racked up some slams while Novak was out injured and out of form. I don't know if Fed would have won AO 2017/2018 had Djoko been there and even Wimbledon 2017. Ditto for Rafa with UsOpen 2017. Perhaps maybe one of the F.Os as well, especially in 2018 when he wasn't playing at his best.
 
fed to win no.7 and no.21 by beating nadal and djokovic back to back (only in my dreams)
Even if this miracle occurs, endless posters here would claim one of the following:

1. Nadal was injured
2. Djoker was injured (possibly on life support)
3. Fed had "preferential scheduling"
4. Unfair because Djoker played in the heat while Fed didn't
5. "Weak era"
6. AO organizers cheating for Fed
7. Fed on PED's "and it's like so obvious!"
8. Blah, blah, blah
 

Red Rick

Talk Tennis Guru
Even if this miracle occurs, endless posters here would claim one of the following:

1. Nadal was injured
2. Djoker was injured (possibly on life support)
3. Fed had "preferential scheduling"
4. Unfair because Djoker played in the heat while Fed didn't
5. "Weak era"
6. ELO skewed
7. Fed on PED's "and it's like so obvious!"
8. Blah, blah, blah
To be fair, 7 and 8 apply to whoever wins.
 
when Rafa had these two in his quarter at last USO his draw was cakewalk but when Federer have these two it is brutal.. Lol
Kind of like looking at the 1990 USO draw with a kid named Sampras in it. He beat Lendl, Mac and Agassi for the title. So that was an "easy draw" at that tournament. After that result, he was never an easy draw again.

Am I comparing either Karen or Basilashvilli to Sampras? Of course not. The analogy is about results. When Karen and Basil played at the USO, neither had results. Since then? Basil won China defeating an in-form Del Po and Karen won the Kremlin Cup and the Paris Masters, defeating Djokovic. Their form, confidence and results have leapfrogged above what they showed at the USO.
 
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As usual Djokovic has to fight though the toughest draw. Tsonga R2? Shapo R3 and Medvedev who is playing really well in R4. An Nishikori who is coming from a title winning week? Gtfo.
I never know whether he's trolling or serious? It's gotta be trolling hard with this post.
 
So, what's notable about the draw? At first glance:

  • Federer gets into the Nadal half, which I guess is positive for him based on current form.
  • Semi-potential roadblock for Fed is Monfils in the third round, tho I don't think La Monf is at his best. Could easily meet Tsits in the 4th.
  • Some easy early rounds for Vamos, but wouldn't be surprised if KAnderson takes him out in the quarters.
  • Cilic first round vs Tomic and second round vs Rublev are potentially interesting matches, though I wouldn't bet on the upset.
  • Could absolutely see Thiem in the quarters here, but Coric can be tough in the fourth round.
  • Raonic vs Kyrgios opener is a blockbuster. Wawrinka or Gulbis for the winner is great as well.
  • Who will trip the ZedTrain this time around? Chardy?
  • Toughish draw for Novak (relatively speaking). Could get Tsonga in the 2nd, Shapo in the 3rd, Medvedev or Goffin 4th, and it sure looks like Nishikori will make the QF date. Some potentially interesting matches here.
 
The most popular and beloved tennis player in history wins slam #20 at age 36. The personification of "borefest." Surprising there was anyone in the seats to watch this hot mess.

And he was challenged by the rest of the Tour for twenty minutes throughout that entire fortnight. How did he survive... :eek:

Fed or any other player winning doesn't automatically make it an entertaining, unforgettable tournament.
 

aman92

Hall of Fame
Tricky draw for Nadal here...De Minaur and Diego will give him troubles and Anderson just beat him in Abu Dhabi. Needs to take it one match at a time
 

Red Rick

Talk Tennis Guru
So, what's notable about the draw? At first glance:

  • Federer gets into the Nadal half, which I guess is positive for him based on current form.
  • Semi-potential roadblock for Fed is Monfils in the third round, tho I don't think La Monf is at his best. Could easily meet Tsits in the 4th.
  • Some easy early rounds for Vamos, but wouldn't be surprised if KAnderson takes him out in the quarters.
  • Cilic first round vs Tomic and second round vs Rublev are potentially interesting matches, though I wouldn't bet on the upset.
  • Could absolutely see Thiem in the quarters here, but Coric can be tough in the fourth round.
  • Raonic vs Kyrgios opener is a blockbuster. Wawrinka or Gulbis for the winner is great as well.
  • Who will trip the ZedTrain this time around? Chardy?
  • Toughish draw for Novak (relatively speaking). Could get Tsonga in the 2nd, Shapo in the 3rd, Medvedev or Goffin 4th, and it sure looks like Nishikori will make the QF date. Some potentially interesting matches here.
I think Basil is moer likely and more dangerous than Tsitsipas for Fed in the 4th round

Thiem pulled out of his practice match this morning, not sure with what ailment. But he was bad in Doha, and I don't expect much on a fast HC, even though he's been a 4th round fixture at HC Slams foreeeeever. Coric being Coric too, so we can get a total rando from this section.

Raonic/Kyrgios almost as bad as Isner/Opelka. Totally fixed so they can prove themselves that 5th set tiebreaks are a good idea, even though I'm pretty convinced Isner and Raonic should win quite easily

Nobody knows who will protect the Zvirginity of the Australian Open. Could literally be anybody.

Tsonga is the only relatively dangerous draw for Djoko relative to the round I think. Shapovalov isn't playing well and should be an overhyped walking bye. Medvedev hasn't really made any Slam runs and goes awol for stretches in matches, so he may play him tough for like 1 set. Zverev not so much of a fast court animal as on the slow HCs.

Really really not sure what Nishikori did do wrong in a past life, cause he's getting Djokovic in like 80% of Slam QFs.

Absolutely fearing for Murray getting destroyed in R1.

Phoenix person, also known as Berd Person Reborn vs Edmund should be one of the good R1 matches I feel.

All in all, I'm pretty sure the Big 3 will all semi, the young bois are making inroads, but at this point I don't think there's enough players that I consider dangerous floaters to make me really doubt it. Add that the most vulnerable player has the easiest draw and that Australia has been Fed's best hunting ground in the last 4 years, only the Zverev quarter seems relatively open.
 
I think Basil is moer likely and more dangerous than Tsitsipas for Fed in the 4th round

Thiem pulled out of his practice match this morning, not sure with what ailment. But he was bad in Doha, and I don't expect much on a fast HC, even though he's been a 4th round fixture at HC Slams foreeeeever. Coric being Coric too, so we can get a total rando from this section.

Raonic/Kyrgios almost as bad as Isner/Opelka. Totally fixed so they can prove themselves that 5th set tiebreaks are a good idea, even though I'm pretty convinced Isner and Raonic should win quite easily

Nobody knows who will protect the Zvirginity of the Australian Open. Could literally be anybody.

Tsonga is the only relatively dangerous draw for Djoko relative to the round I think. Shapovalov isn't playing well and should be an overhyped walking bye. Medvedev hasn't really made any Slam runs and goes awol for stretches in matches, so he may play him tough for like 1 set. Zverev not so much of a fast court animal as on the slow HCs.

Really really not sure what Nishikori did do wrong in a past life, cause he's getting Djokovic in like 80% of Slam QFs.

Absolutely fearing for Murray getting destroyed in R1.

Phoenix person, also known as Berd Person Reborn vs Edmund should be one of the good R1 matches I feel.

All in all, I'm pretty sure the Big 3 will all semi, the young bois are making inroads, but at this point I don't think there's enough players that I consider dangerous floaters to make me really doubt it. Add that the most vulnerable player has the easiest draw and that Australia has been Fed's best hunting ground in the last 4 years, only the Zverev quarter seems relatively open.
who is this again? to be honest AO being fed's best slam so to speak only began in 2017, so not sure if it being his best hunting ground the last 4 years fits. Up until 2018 when he defended his AO, I'd say Wimbledon remained his best hunting group.
 
As a Federer fan, I’d love for him to be in it to win again. Realistically, though I think that he will not. He has a tough draw and would have to beat both Nadal and Djokovic to win it. If Federer can’t do it, I would love to see one of the new guys step up and take it. A new grand slam winner would be an injection of excitement into the tennis season. It would create so much buzz for the rest of the year. Much as I have loved watching the big 3 over the years, it’s time for a new name to go on to the trophy.
 
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