2020 Australian Open QF :- [1] Rafa Nadal vs [5] Domi Thiem

Match Result prediction poll


  • Total voters
    134
  • Poll closed .
LOL, give me a break that a pink shirt on a man is “effeminate.” Pink shirts look better on fair men as opposed to darker men IMO, but are usually attractive. This is effeminate to you!?

WZHChxNiLol36fxmh9BdIUNRCh63rNTAP7-kgN8ccgguv9eyomlnc6P-BLr0uZjHCOcvAvGx_hZW3e7SxKd-y5e-OoivDzKeJaZ4nSy49w2HBj_zuEWeyY8v8FgJQVhEh2oSYvAVtI7_htvOrXqmyji-9SHWS4LWsAtGfZUIQt-lkfKcFCRXrZnF26OB5YDs0xPyRTZWdmTb2hhRwU-J4MZXMTbr

Bright pink looks bad on everybody, including women, and it looks even worse on masculine men, it makes them look silly, almost clownish. But light pink shirts can be stylish on men, too.

And here's one theory why pink could be considered feminine for natural reasons:

 

TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
He’s the prohibitive favorite, obviously, but never count your chickens before they’re hatched. I was fully expecting a Djoker-Nadal final, but Thiem is another matter. He beat Nole both times they played in 2019, including in a slam and also 7 weeks ago. Nadal would have had no chance against Novak, but a Thiem will have a small chance, perhaps 15%.
@BeatlesFan - you of all the people should NOT be overrating the next gen.
How is the F.O 2019 relevant to A.O 2020 Final? In French Open, Thiem barely won in 5 when Novak was mad about the weather with conditions not suiting the Serb.
On this court, it's a different story. Novak has NEVER lost after the SF stage. He morphs into a BEAST at the business end here. He loses at other slams, but never loses here.

Do you remember AO 2008? OMG - Djokovic beat Fed in straights in the SF. I was so stunned by that. The biggest surprise ever (other than Nadal-Soderling). Just goes to show how strong Djokovic is on this court.

You are guilty of over-rating Thiem's chances. I would put it at 5% at best. Thiem won't get into a position of winning sets vs Novak. But even if he does, he will choke like he did today, and Novak, unlike Nadal, will take full advantage.
 
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TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
Big hitters hurt Djokovic. I think Thiem has a good shot here. But Djokovic is the favourite as you said.

Good post. You do always make a big deal about big hitters.
They haven't done anything so far, as they are SERIAL chokers.
No one wins a slam by beating Nadal and Novak both. Even the great Federer did not do that.

Thiem won against Nadal, but will have his clock cleaned by Novak in the final. Assuming Thiem beats Zverev, which is far from a given.
 

Legend of Borg

G.O.A.T.
Bright pink looks bad on everybody, including women, and it looks even worse on masculine men, it makes them look silly, almost clownish. But light pink shirts can be stylish on men, too.

And here's one theory why pink could be considered feminine for natural reasons:


i was reading that in Victorian times pink was a boys color and blue was for girls

gendered colors doesn't really make sense to me considering how it can shift depending on time period
 

marc45

G.O.A.T.
Nadal had Thiem pinned so far behind the baseline consistently yet you can count on one hand how many times Nadal tried keeping Thiem honest with a dropshot.

I did think he was going to use it more, particularly after he hit that sweet one earlier in the match...might have helped break up the rallies and he could have won some cat and mouse points...problem is when those points did break out Thiem was winning most of them...the net loved Domi too :)
 

TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
First Slam semi-final on hardcourt for both Thiem and Zverev (first on any surface for Zverev). They will now have to fight it out for the (dubious) honour of getting beaten by Djokovic in the final. :cool:

Everyone is playing for 2nd place here. But I hope Zverev wins and faces Novak in the final.
At least Zverev can serve big and make the match competitive. Thiem will just brainlessly ball bash and choke hard.
 

weakera

Talk Tennis Guru
I did think he was going to use it more, particularly after he hit that sweet one earlier in the match...might have helped break up the rallies and he could have won some cat and mouse points...problem is when those points did break out Thiem was winning most of them...the net loved Domi too :)

Definitely. Dominic had good fortune today. Just maddening in a way to see Dominic move so well from side to side without having to worry about approaching really. You've got to mix in more droppers to keep him honest back there.
 

TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
Thiem is actually really talented but when he gets tight he just hits harder and harder, going for impossible shots for no reason. He did it serving for it and on that 1st match point. His tennis IQ just does not match someone of his caliber.

This is a GREAT post. Thiem's tennis IQ and mental strength is the reason he NEVER will be a great player. He might win a slam or two, but that's it.
Every other young player: Medvedev, Zverev and Tsitsipas have FAR HIGHER potential than Thiem.

Thiem lacks brains and adaptability.

His plan A is hit hard, plan B is hit harder.
And if plan A, plan B do NO work, Plan C is CHOKE.
 

Ruark

Professional
I'd like to see Zev win and move up. He's maturing, and plays with great passion and an intense desire to win. He really throws himself into his play. Zev's time has come, now it's up to him.
 

Raul_SJ

G.O.A.T.
LOL, give me a break that a pink shirt on a man is “effeminate.” Pink shirts look better on fair men as opposed to darker men IMO, but are usually attractive. This is effeminate to you!?

WZHChxNiLol36fxmh9BdIUNRCh63rNTAP7-kgN8ccgguv9eyomlnc6P-BLr0uZjHCOcvAvGx_hZW3e7SxKd-y5e-OoivDzKeJaZ4nSy49w2HBj_zuEWeyY8v8FgJQVhEh2oSYvAVtI7_htvOrXqmyji-9SHWS4LWsAtGfZUIQt-lkfKcFCRXrZnF26OB5YDs0xPyRTZWdmTb2hhRwU-J4MZXMTbr

That is a different shade of pink and possibly not as bad...

Hopefully Rafa never wears this ghastly wimpy light pink outfit again. Don't know what he is thinking. Unless Nike forces these ugly colors on him...
Djoker would not be caught dead wearing this pink outfit.

2020-01-29T130248Z_1_LYNXMPEG0S13H_RTROPTP_3_TENNIS-AUSOPEN.JPG
 
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NoleFam

Bionic Poster
You have to see that match. If Nadal isn't MAD at his level of play there is NO hope for him. He didn't backup his serve. Didn't play clutch at all in the TBs. Started to ARM the backhand as he got nervous. His technique was all wrong on so many shots. I swear to you I was watching the match and knew so many times that Nadal is going to miss the shot. And he did. This is not technical - it's mental.
Thiem CHOKED so hard and just bashed brainlessly. Many times Thiem just missed sitter - but Nadal didn't even take that lifeline. Nadal had ZERO confidence on his serve and retreated behind instead of coming forward. His volleys were also pathetic.
Overall, he was just too nervous. He wanted it too much. Sort of what is happening to Serena. And this is not new. Nadal has been fragile mentally. He even won the UsOpen 2019 barely.



I would NOT be so sure. Nadal won last year when Novak and Thiem killed each other over 5 sets. He was still cramping in the 4th.
This year with indoor type of conditions and with Thiem/Novak in ascendancy, there is NO DOUBT in my mind that Nadal won't win the French.
If Thiem is in Nadal's half, he definitely won't. He will NOT be able to beat Thiem and Novak back to back.
Nadal's tennis has just declined rapidly along with his physical abilities. He just isn't as good as before. It's as simple as that..

I didn't see the match but just watched the highlights. I can't believe Nadal lost that 1st set from 5-3 set point up on his serve. That was a collapse. From what I can see though, Thiem played quite well. The problem with Thiem though is that a lot of the time he doesn't use his head and play percentage tennis and instead just bashes away uncontrollably. That's exactly what he did when serving for it with a bit of choking. I did think Nadal not being clutch when he usually is helped Thiem in the end.

I don't think Thiem can beat Nadal in a BO5 on clay unless he is so seriously declined that he can't play top level. Thiem tries to hit Nadal off the court and that is sudden death against Nadal because he just bleeds error after error. I don't see him beating Nadal there this year.
 
Looks as if a 2nd AO title will forever elude Rafa. He will never get the chance to become the only player in history to win multiple titles at all 4 Slams.

Still, he remains the only player in history to win multiple Slam titles on all 3 surfaces. He can continue to take solace and pride in that.

Roy Emerson and Rod Laver both won multiple titles at all four Slams. Mats Wilander won multiple titles on all three surfaces: two on grass, two on hard courts, three on clay.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
This is a GREAT post. Thiem's tennis IQ and mental strength is the reason he NEVER will be a great player. He might win a slam or two, but that's it.
Every other young player: Medvedev, Zverev and Tsitsipas have FAR HIGHER potential than Thiem.

Thiem lacks brains and adaptability.

His plan A is hit hard, plan B is hit harder.
And if plan A, plan B do NO work, Plan C is CHOKE.

He's really good though and more talented than those guys but he doesn't think a lot of the time. He just goes for broke too much. I don't want to get ahead of myself though because if the final is between him and Novak, I don't want to jinx Novak. Lol
 

TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
I didn't see the match but just watched the highlights. I can't believe Nadal lost that 1st set from 5-3 set point up on his serve. That was a collapse. \
Nadal's inability to close sets/matches on serve was bound to catchup with him. He was faltering vs no name journeymen. It was going to be a problem vs a top player.
So it's not a surprise really. I've been watching Nadal enough to know that he wouldn't make the final of this tournament. I had said that in R1 itself.

I don't think Thiem can beat Nadal in a BO5 on clay unless he is so seriously declined that he can't play top level. Thiem tries to hit Nadal off the court and that is sudden death against Nadal because he just bleeds error after error. I don't see him beating Nadal there this year.
I do agree with you here. But Thiem is improving. And if he is Nadal's half at RG, he might not beat Nadal, but can soften him up for Djokovic in the final. And Novak can then deliver the Coup de Grace.
You would love that, wouldn't you? Haha.
 

TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
He's really good though and more talented than those guys but he doesn't think a lot of the time. He just goes for broke too much. I don't want to get ahead of myself though because if the final is between him and Novak, I don't want to jinx Novak. Lol

If I am Novak, I'd want Thiem to be in the final. Everyone knows Thiem will choke at the big moments.
Zverev is such a wild card. He can play crap in a match. But if he's ON, he doesn't choke. He has the game to blow away anyone.

In other words, even if Thiem plays the match of his life, and Djokovic plays C game, Novak can still hang with him and Thiem will choke away leads. With Zverev you never know. The German may play pathetic and lose in straights.
Or he might come guns blazing and just go nuts. That is more frightening IMO.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
Nadal's inability to close sets/matches on serve was bound to catchup with him. He was faltering vs no name journeymen. It was going to be a problem vs a top player.
So it's not a surprise really. I've been watching Nadal enough to know that he wouldn't make the final of this tournament. I had said that in R1 itself.


I do agree with you here. But Thiem is improving. And if he is Nadal's half at RG, he might not beat Nadal, but can soften him up for Djokovic in the final. And Novak can then deliver the Coup de Grace.
You would love that, wouldn't you? Haha.

I actually haven't been able to watch much of Nadal this tournament because of the time difference. He probably was much more efficient in 2019 except the final though.

Now that is actually a possibility although Djokovic himself is more vulnerable on clay these days. He would need a really good draw I think and definitely no Thiem since he has caused him all kinds of problems since 2017.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
If I am Novak, I'd want Thiem to be in the final. Everyone knows Thiem will choke at the big moments.
Zverev is such a wild card. He can play crap in a match. But if he's ON, he doesn't choke. He has the game to blow away anyone.

In other words, even if Thiem plays the match of his life, and Djokovic plays C game, Novak can still hang with him and Thiem will choke away leads. With Zverev you never know. The German may play pathetic and lose in straights.
Or he might come guns blazing and just go nuts. That is more frightening IMO.

Yea you make good points there. Zverev is probably a little more of a wildcard, although both can be dangerous, but a Zverev serving huge at 80% is a scary prospect. In that case, you'd much rather have Thiem who will make mistakes and give you openings.
 

aditya123

Hall of Fame
I actually haven't been able to watch much of Nadal this tournament because of the time difference. He probably was much more efficient in 2019 except the final though.

Now that is actually a possibility although Djokovic himself is more vulnerable on clay these days. He would need a really good draw I think and definitely no Thiem since he has caused him all kinds of problems since 2017.
2017 Rg, Djokovic purposefully tanked in third but then he was going to lose however and in Rome earlier he did beat Thiem
 

oldmanfan

Legend
If I am Novak, I'd want Thiem to be in the final. Everyone knows Thiem will choke at the big moments.
Zverev is such a wild card. He can play crap in a match. But if he's ON, he doesn't choke. He has the game to blow away anyone.

In other words, even if Thiem plays the match of his life, and Djokovic plays C game, Novak can still hang with him and Thiem will choke away leads. With Zverev you never know. The German may play pathetic and lose in straights.
Or he might come guns blazing and just go nuts. That is more frightening IMO.

I also think Z is the bigger threat to Djokr. It's match-ups, always match-ups.

Assuming they both play fairly well:
BH: Z's is slightly worse than Djokr's.
serve: Z's is comfortably better than Djokr's (see WTF18).
ROS: Z's is worse, but he will have enough looks (see WTF18).
FH: Z's is comfortably worse than Djokr's.

Based on their form at this AO, a Z/Djokr finals would be close.
 
i was reading that in Victorian times pink was a boys color and blue was for girls

gendered colors doesn't really make sense to me considering how it can shift depending on time period

Yeah, I've heard that before, but I still believe pink is naturally more feminine than masculine.

Different colors have natural qualities, and people's personalities also have some correlation to their color preferences. There's even personality/career assessment tests based on color preference like this one:


In the test results you get recommended a "best" and "2nd best" occupational category, and the categories have 7 specific personality traits associated with them and they're very different on each category, so the descriptions are not horoscope-like but more like those in the MBTI profiles.
 

TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
Yea you make good points there. Zverev is probably a little more of a wildcard, although both can be dangerous, but a Zverev serving huge at 80% is a scary prospect. In that case, you'd much rather have Thiem who will make mistakes and give you openings.

Exactly. But it is unlikely that Zverev plays at that level in the first slam final.

Really, this should be Novak's slam now. He can pocket #17 and proceed to clay. Djokovic needs to win at least one more slam (in addition to AO) to keep the GOAT race interesting.
 

NoleFam

Bionic Poster
2017 Rg, Djokovic purposefully tanked in third but then he was going to lose however and in Rome earlier he did beat Thiem

I don't think he "purposefully tanked" but just was mentally completely out of sorts, was out of sorts all tounament really, carrying that elbow injury and just did not fight in that match. He seemed like he wanted off that court after the 1st set.
 

TennisFan3

Talk Tennis Guru
Hope Massu will infuse some champions mentality in him but wait can he??? He was a good player but aint a great champion I feel.
Sometimes these things cannot be taught. You either have it or you don't. Thiem is probably the latter.

Look at Nadal for example. Even when he was a kid in 2004 - he was a beast mentally. I've rarely seen him fold in big matches.
I mean if anything, Nadal falters as he's gotten older. But he was always so rock solid since he was a teen. You cannot teach that.
 

aditya123

Hall of Fame
Sometimes these things cannot be taught. You either have it or you don't. Thiem is probably the latter.

Look at Nadal for example. Even when he was a kid in 2004 - he was a beast mentally. I've rarely seen him fold in big matches.
I mean if anything, Nadal falters as he's gotten older. But he was always so rock solid since he was a teen. You cannot teach that.
Hmmm true...... If it(champions mentality) has to be taught it has to be taught at a young age I guess. At his present age it is difficult m
 

WhiskeyEE

G.O.A.T.
If I am Novak, I'd want Thiem to be in the final. Everyone knows Thiem will choke at the big moments.
Zverev is such a wild card. He can play crap in a match. But if he's ON, he doesn't choke. He has the game to blow away anyone.

In other words, even if Thiem plays the match of his life, and Djokovic plays C game, Novak can still hang with him and Thiem will choke away leads. With Zverev you never know. The German may play pathetic and lose in straights.
Or he might come guns blazing and just go nuts. That is more frightening IMO.

Yeah maybe. Zverev was the first next gen to win a masters. First next gen to win the YEC. May have gotten over the mental barrier and could be the first to win a slam.

He's still only 22 years old. Thiem at 26 is close to passing his prime already. Keep in mind that Nadal in 2014 was 27. By 28 his former style no longer worked and he had to get a new coach.
 

Cloister

Rookie
And only because she actually tried to enforce the rules? Petty from him.
I’m pretty sure he did shake her hand. Post match, when the camera feeds cuts to show Rafa having come around to Thiem’s side to congratulate him, you can see the umpire in the background leaning over with her arm outstretched and then sit up straight. So looks like Rafa shook her hand on the way to Thiem.
 

arvind13

Professional
Yeah maybe. Zverev was the first next gen to win a masters. First next gen to win the YEC. May have gotten over the mental barrier and could be the first to win a slam.

He's still only 22 years old. Thiem at 26 is close to passing his prime already. Keep in mind that Nadal in 2014 was 27. By 28 his former style no longer worked and he had to get a new coach.

one of the most idiotic comments. thiem at 26 is passing his prime??? when you have a 38 year old, a 33 year old and 32 year old as the top 3 players, thiem at 26 is nowhere near passing his prime. this is not 1981 when borg retired at 26. in the modern game 26 is nothing
 

WhiskeyEE

G.O.A.T.
one of the most idiotic comments. thiem at 26 is passing his prime??? when you have a 38 year old, a 33 year old and 32 year old as the top 3 players, thiem at 26 is nowhere near passing his prime. this is not 1981 when borg retired at 26. in the modern game 26 is nothing

Nadal passed his prime at 27-28 in 2014-2015. Fed passed his prime in 2010 at 28. How good they were to begin with and how weak the current/previous eras have been is why they are still on top.

It's hardly a controversial remark if you have paid any real attention to the sport. Nadal had to completely re-purpose his game around his athletic decline. And I doubt Thiem has that adaptability.
 
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