The better player will win - that should be Rafa on clay at this stage of their careers. Novak doesn’t seem to have the offensive firepower anymore from the baseline to trouble top players on clay and has to grind it out in almost every match. He certainly doesn’t look like the player who used to force Nadal into errors and beat him on clay between 2011-2016.
What happened to Djokovic’s outstanding serve form from the AO? I know it’s clay, but he is not trying to serve as big anymore and I didn‘t see him winning too many free points on service in the last couple of months. If he doesn’t get too many easy, quick points against Nadal, I doubt that he is going to outlast him like he does against other players on clay.
What strategy can Novak use to beat Nadal tomorrow? I don’t have the answer and I wonder if his coaching team does.
If he has a strategy to use to beat Nadal on clay, he's better off keeping it in his back pocket for RG and taking the L tomorrow.