Hall of Fame
Nole in 3This is exactly how the match will turn out:
Djokovic will come out playing worse than everyone is expecting and Shapovalov will come out nervy too but will strike first.
If Shapovalov wins first set it goes 5 if not then 4.
Djokovic will look in real trouble but Shapovalov's wanton mistakes on crucial points will let him off the hook.
The match will have a starting patch where Shapo dominates, and Novak either holds on(a scenario where he wins the 1st) or starts looking beaten( where he is a set and a break down)
However Novak will steady the ship, get the second set irrespective of whether he lost the first or not.
In third his level will dip again but the set will be close because Shapo will make mistakes on important opportunities. But he will win the set.
Again Novak will steady himself and finally hit a gear that Shapo won't be able to match due to his inconsistency, he will then end it in 4th or 5th depending on who won the first set.
So Djokovic in 4- 5.
HOWEVER, if Shapo's coach has a long talk with him today and tells him to depend on fixed non risky patterns on some points, he might pull out the win.
I have a feeling Novak is very vulnerable this year, he just hasn't met someone who can show that. His return is off, his BH is off so is his footing.