2022 Roland Garros QF: [3] Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz [6]

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D

Deleted member 629564

Guest
Zverev's 12th approach to defeat a Top 10 opponent in BO5 formula.
He's at 0-11 at this moment:
Code:
01 2016 AO  R128: #2 Murray    0-3 [1-6 2-6 3-6]
02 2016 WIM R32:  #9 Berdych   1-3 [3-6 4-6 6-4 1-6]
03 2017 AO  R32:  #9 Nadal     2-3 [6-4 3-6 7-6 3-6 2-6]
04 2017 WIM R16:  #7 Raonic    2-3 [6-4 5-7 6-4 5-7 1-6]
05 2018 RG  QF:   #8 Thiem     0-3 [4-6 2-6 1-6]
06 2019 RG  QF:   #1 Djokovic  0-3 [5-7 2-6 2-6]
07 2020 AO  SF:   #5 Thiem     1-3 [6-3 4-6 6-7 6-7]
08 2020 USO F:    #3 Thiem     2-3 [6-2 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-7]
09 2021 AO  QF:   #1 Djokovic  1-3 [7-6 2-6 4-6 6-7]
10 2021 RG  SF:   #5 Tsitsipas 2-3 [3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 3-6]
11 2021 USO SF:   #1 Djokovic  2-3 [6-4 2-6 4-6 6-4 2-6]

Alcaraz on a 14-matches winning streak, trying to extend this to 15.

H2H
Zverev 2-1 Alcaraz
5OdTAhZ.png


Vegas odds
(as of 30 May)
iaZFSEq.png


Sources:
atptour.com
oddsportal.com
 
Last edited by a moderator:
T

TheNachoMan

Guest
Let’s go for Zod in 5.
I‘m hoping for a five setter either way.
 

Kralingen

Bionic Poster
Zverev to put in a surprising performance and push harder than expected. I think he’ll get a set, when he gets into a zone on serve he can be very tough.

That being said, can’t wait to see the look on mr. Zod’s face at 15-30 having to hit a second serve. Carlos will absolutely unload on that creampuff shot with his FH.

Carlos in 4.
 

Krish872007

Talk Tennis Guru
Will be a huge upset if Zverev wins this to be honest, 0-11 is not a pretty sight.

But let's see - if he plays his best tennis he could certainly push Alcaraz more than the last couple of opponents did.
 
V

Vamos Rafa Nadal

Guest
I obviously want Carlos to win on Tuesday and believe he will win.

The one thing I will say about Zverev is that he needs to calm himself down - if he goes in with the attitude he has been expressing the past several days he will definitely lose and runs the risk of throwing a temper tantrum again. Carlos will just be Carlos and go about trying to win the match and he will not give up no matter what - Zverev tends to slouch, get angry, and implode internally - unless he can figure out how to calm himself down, which is the only way imo that he could possibly win.
 

tudwell

G.O.A.T.
All things point to an Alcaraz win and probably a fairly comfortable one. I think he’ll have a loose patch that Zverev capitalizes on to win a set but otherwise fairly one-way traffic. Alcaraz in four.
 

ChrisRF

Legend
knowing Z's temperament there's a non-zero chance he does something impulsive/dumb (before the 3rd set) and gets himself forcibly removed from the match, the rest of the tournament, and from the tour for 8 weeks.
I think it will be so one-sided that even Zverev starts to accept things quite early. And I really mean it, I don't think Zverev will take even 5 games in any set.
 

tsamo

Semi-Pro
I voted for Zverev to win in 5, just for the chaos.
Could you imagine if after going 0 of 11 against top 10 opponents in slams, he beats Alcaraz and suddenly he's in the zone and beats Djokovic or Nadal to go to the final and then whoever has come out of there to win his maiden slam?
 

BenC

Professional
I think it will be so one-sided that even Zverev starts to accept things quite early. And I really mean it, I don't think Zverev will take even 5 games in any set.
he's still 2-1 on Alcaraz ... I think if Z serves well it'll be competitive, otherwise he'll be eating bakery products
 

middleballs

Semi-Pro
he's still 2-1 on Alcaraz ... I think if Z serves well it'll be competitive, otherwise he'll be eating bakery products
Those first two meetings are hardly relevant though since they took place last year. If you were to go by the H2H, Alcaraz is 0-2 against Ymer and 0-1 against Gaston. Does that mean you would consider putting your money on them if they were to meet the young Spaniard again?
 

middleballs

Semi-Pro
Zverevs bitter remarks about the scheduling made me think of the Madrid prize ceremony. When Alcaraz praised Z and said he was convinced that the German will one day be ranked as number one, Zverev just shrugged and laughed it off and not in a tryin-to-look-humble kind of way, but rather that he actually didn’t believe it himself. Seems like he’s turning more and more to straight up self negativity. Will probably be noticeable tomorrow if that match comes anywhere close to resemble the final in the Spanish capital.
 

BenC

Professional
Those first two meetings are hardly relevant though since they took place last year. If you were to go by the H2H, Alcaraz is 0-2 against Ymer and 0-1 against Gaston. Does that mean you would consider putting your money on them if they were to meet the young Spaniard again?
Zverev is hardly in the same league as Ymer and Gaston. Believe me I'd like to see Z eat a triple bagel but it's not like he suddenly turned into a pumpkin overnight.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
I voted for Zverev to win in 5, just for the chaos.
Could you imagine if after going 0 of 11 against top 10 opponents in slams, he beats Alcaraz and suddenly he's in the zone and beats Djokovic or Nadal to go to the final and then whoever has come out of there to win his maiden slam?
No. I prefer non-fiction.

Alcaraz in three.
 
D

Deleted member 629564

Guest
Last match in a day session on CPC.
Will it work pro-Zverev or rather pro-Alcaraz?
 
I hope Zverev wins. The alcaraz hype needs bringing down to earth a bit. Nothing against alcaraz as I like the guy and his hand but the press, pundits, crowd and many are going overboard on the dude. It gets a bit tiring. I do quite like goldie chainz too so will be cool if he surprises.

Alcaraz will probably win on current form but I wouldn’t discount Zverev here and could be closer than some think.
 

40L0VE

Professional
Based on the non-linear progression and hype of Alcaraz's results in the past couple of weeks I wouldn't use the h2h of only 3 matches as a measure of who will win. The pressure is now on Zverev, Tsitsipas and Medvedev to perform because Alcaraz is coming for them in the QF, SF and finals, or any other round where they're barring his way.

Zverev will need to hit big serves and groundstrokes to keep Carlito on the defensive otherwise IMO Carlito's speed will give him the edge in the rallies.

Carlito will get the crowd going and in that type of atmosphere I can't be sure Zverev will keep his mind on track.
 
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