2023 Australian Open QF: [5] Andrey Rublev vs Novak Djokovic [4]

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Who will put himself in the SF?

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Deleted member 629564

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H2H
Rubweh 1-2 Djokovic
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Vegas odds
(as of 23 January)
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Sources:
atptour.com
oddsportal.com
 
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The disrespect for Rublev in this thread is disappointing to see. The guy is a regular top 5-10 player and very consistent. He will push Novak and it will be battle. Djoko will need his best game and stay injury free to have good chance.

Looking forward to the matchup.
 
I am definitely not under estimating Rublev. He has been serving fantastic throughout this tournament and played with so much belief and confidence from 7-3 down in tie breaker.

Novak needs to be in same form as today and have no injury fare up when playing Rublev if he wants to ensure the win.

The big test for Novak is when he goes a set down and if the injury is niggling.
 
I watched that Belgrade final that Rublev won... after match point, nobody applauded or cheered for Rublev, it was just bizarre... might as well be the Pyongyang Open...

Anyway, I got Djokovic in 4. He'll drop a set to goad Rublev into thinking about the "injury".
 
Rublev can move Djokovic around, this is a totally different match to De Minaur. He has a brilliant I/O Fh which will test Novak’s defense. Remember he bageled a subpar Djokovic in Belgrade, he isn’t just going to roll over.

On the other hand, he isn’t a great mover or defender, just an OK one, and you can draw misses too easily for my liking. I think Djokovic can pin him to his BH. Djokovic in 4, maybe a couple 7-5 or 7-6 sets.

 
All I will say is this:-

1. Rublev hit 34 errors in 5 sets against Rune. That is amazing for someone so ballbashingly one-dimensional, and he will need to repeat that trick in the next round, though he is unlikely to get 60 from his opponent next time to help him out. :-D

2. The most amazing thing about Rublev in that match was how calm he remained the whole time. Hardly any screaming, no self-mutilation. To go through 5 dramatic up-and-down sets like that and stay as composed as he did is very un-Rublev.

Both those things will serve him well in his next round if he can maintain them. The thing I'm not sure he has an answer to is that he'll surely be brought to net plenty to get him out of his rhythm, and even against Rune he was only 18/28, which is not great.
 
We're into the latter rounds and Rublev just had a long 5 setter vs. Djoker's walk through the park in 3, I know he's young but might be a factor because Rublev may end up wanting to shorten the points at some point and with it will come errors.
 
paolo2143 said:
I am definitely not under estimating Rublev. He has been serving fantastic throughout this tournament and played with so much belief and confidence from 7-3 down in tie breaker.

Novak needs to be in same form as today and have no injury fare up when playing Rublev if he wants to ensure the win.

The big test for Novak is when he goes a set down and if the injury is niggling.
Click to expand...

Djok will take an MTO if BWEH wins more than one game in a row
 
Last loss by a healthy Djokovic in Australia happened in 2014. If he looks healthy like he did last night, it will be ‘Goodbye and Good Night’ for the guy from the One Direction cover band.

 
The russian is in the form of his life. The conditions favor Rublev's game since the balls are so slow he will have time to unload his gigantic strokes. Djoker will have to use the energy of revenge for that Belgrade loss and play smart.
 
Last edited:
Kralingen said:
Why not the big favorite?
Click to expand...
I think he should be but he has a tendency to play passive sometimes on the BH side and sometimes on return. He can make it tough for himself but he’s in better physical condition than Novak so I see him as the more likely winner. Plus if his FH remains as strong as it has then it’s going to be very tough for Djokovic to defend that on the BH side and where the injury is.
 
Hitman said:
That forehand and serve is clicking and he has been quite clutch when he absolutely needed to be.
Click to expand...
Yeah I agree. His FH and serve have Goated at times and if he maintains a high level on both then he can potentially go all the way. Rublev has worked very hard to improve his game and now he’s getting rewards.
 
Lets be real.

Rublev has a flat 0% chance of winning even against Injured Djokovic. He hasn't even won a set vs Novak on Hard Courts in best of 3, this is best of 5, what can he do?
 
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