2023 Australian Open R128: [13] Matteo Berrettini vs Andy Murray

[Deleted member 629564]

H2H
Berrettini 3-1 Murray

Vegas odds
(as of 13 January)

Sources:
atptour.com
oddsportal.com

 

[Jonesy]

This will be hard for Murray, but at least Berrettini has a clear weakness that Andy can exploit at will.

 

[Poisoned Slice]

Berrettini to increase his lead to 4-1 after a 3-1 win here.

 

[Purestriker]

Tough draw for Andy.

 

[HFK]

Andy goes down in 3, fires Lendl.

 

[Picmun]

 

[Deleted member 629564]

When you hear Feliciano Lopez is going to retire.

 

[RF-18]

Woah what.

 

[stringertom]

JudMoo looking even older in her grief over FeLo’s announcement he is retiring. @Larry Duff needs to fill the void, maybe get a customized Dunlop CX200 Sureshs Signature Special Edition stick and pair up with Muzziah for some dubs titles.

 

[Larry Duff]

JudMoo looking even older in her grief over FeLo’s announcement he is retiring. @Larry Duff needs to fill the void, maybe get a customized Dunlop CX200 Sureshs Signature Special Edition stick and pair up with Muzziah for some dubs titles.

Total babe

 

[Mike Sams]

Murray would've been making mincemeat out of players like Berretini back in his 2008-2016 form.

 

[Picmun]

Murray would've been making mincemeat out of players like Berretini back in his 2008-2016 form.

 

[Picmun]

Murray would've been making mincemeat out of players like Berretini back in his 2008-2016 form.

 

[Terenigma]

Berrettini in 4. He's too good of a player to lose to current Murray although I don't expect it to be an easy match for him. Probably a very tight first 2 sets and then I expect him to see off in 2 more comfortable sets. Will be a good match to watch though! Probably one of the better R1 matches to catch along with Rublev vs Thiem.

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Poor Murray. Very tough first round draw for metal hipray. I say berra in 4 sets.

 

[taylor15]

I’m gonna watch it, no matter the time of night. I’m ready for the stress of this one

 

[Larry Duff]

Be still my heart

 

[Picmun]

Be still my heart

 

[stringertom]

Here’s a nice piece to inspire the @Larry Duff crush to epick level:

 

[Zardoz7/12]

Murray really needs to raise his ranking to be seeded at slams, you don't run into Matteo in a first round of a slam or a 3rd round as was the case at the US Open.

 

[Terenigma]

Murray really needs to raise his ranking to be seeded at slams, you don't run into Matteo in a first round of a slam or a 3rd round as was the case at the US Open.

Murray is 35 and still playing after hip surgery. A surgery that would be the end of most sporting careers and yet he's still ranked inside the top 50. In the world. I think he's doing just fine personally.

 

[Deleted member 758560]

super matteo

 

[Picmun]

Murray is 35 and still playing after hip surgery. A surgery that would be the end of most sporting careers and yet he's still ranked inside the top 50. In the world. I think he's doing just fine personally.

 

[stringertom]

Murray is 35 and still playing after hip surgery. A surgery that would be the end of most sporting careers and yet he's still ranked inside the top 50. In the world. I think he's doing just fine personally.

I see his glass half full too. Add in a beautiful wife and kids. Set for life financially. That’s all good but he just lost 17 ranking spots, now down to #66 in live rankings. Obviously, without the UUUGGGEEE upset of Berry, he’s going to remain about 500 points shy of seeding at RG and then Wimby.

What should his path be to climb back into top 30? Play 250s with a few 500/1000s (may need qualies or WC for 500s) indoor or outdoor, USA or Europe; clay in SA? First up on the schedule after AO are Dallas and Montpellier 250s (indoor HC) and Córdoba on clay down South. Then there’s Delray (outdoor 250), Buenos Aires (clay 250) or Rotterdam (indoor 500).

#DecisionsDecisionsDecisions

 

[Zardoz7/12]

I respect Murray's contribution to tennis, I was so happy when he got to number 1 even though I criticise the way he plays, if there was a time where Murray should just hit hard, let rip from the forehand side now is the time, try to finish more points off via the net. Hit a harder second serve.

Matteo would be shocked if Murray dictates play rather than let his opponent dictate the play, you have to take the racket away from Berrettini in order to beat him.

I'm not fond of "but he has had a career changing hip operation" as an aside, when you step out on court you're fit to play, there are no excuses, we've been through this when Nadal played injured, when he stepped out on court he's 100% in regardless of issues. Sometimes you have to put sentiments in the draw and focus on the one thing we all played tennis for either professionally or amateurly, to win.

 

[Hitman]

Tough first round match for Murray.

 

[Milanez82]

I see his glass half full too. Add in a beautiful wife and kids. Set for life financially. That’s all good but he just lost 17 ranking spots, now down to #66 in live rankings. Obviously, without the UUUGGGEEE upset of Berry, he’s going to remain about 500 points shy of seeding at RG and then Wimby.

What should his path be to climb back into top 30? Play 250s with a few 500/1000s (may need qualies or WC for 500s) indoor or outdoor, USA or Europe; clay in SA? First up on the schedule after AO are Dallas and Montpellier 250s (indoor HC) and Córdoba on clay down South. Then there’s Delray (outdoor 250), Buenos Aires (clay 250) or Rotterdam (indoor 500).

#DecisionsDecisionsDecisions

He could play challengers to get those critical points

 

[stringertom]

He could play challengers to get those critical points

Now that he has dropped from top 50 he would have more latitude to go that route with less restrictions. For example, if he chose the Dallas/Delray combo of 250s he could play Cleveland Challenger (indoor) as a warmup. In the long run, playing a full calendar of Challengers instead of sprinkling in a few via a late WC is very tricky because he will be on the cusp of that top 50 exclusion on Challenger participation. It’s a tough way to plan a playing/travel schedule.

 

[Milanez82]

Now that he has dropped from top 50 he would have more latitude to go that route with less restrictions. For example, if he chose the Dallas/Delray combo of 250s he could play Cleveland Challenger (indoor) as a warmup. In the long run, playing a full calendar of Challengers instead of sprinkling in a few via a late WC is very tricky because he will be on the cusp of that top 50 exclusion on Challenger participation. It’s a tough way to plan a playing/travel schedule.

I'm not aware of the actual rules. Top 50 player can't enter a challenger?

 

[RS]

Don't see Murray winning but hope he does.

 

[stringertom]

I'm not aware of the actual rules. Top 50 player can't enter a challenger?

#1-10 totally locked out
#11-50 restrictions apply; several pages of the ATP rule book dedicated to those restrictions. Section VII if you’re not a TL/DR type.

 

[RS]

I think Berr in 4/5

 

[ChaelAZ]

I think Andy can have one good push and take one set, but Matty will have the other three. No matter the score I see Andy trying to be OVERLY demonstrative in this match and lots of f bombs. And then some small thing that Andy will have to turn into a MAJOR issue. Maybe a controversial MTO or bathroom break.

 

[DSH]

Murray will get destroyed again.

 

[Deleted member 629564]

They've played 3 tiebreaks so far in H2H matches. All of them won by Murray.
Murray just needs to hold his serve.

 

[Chanwan]

Berrettini to increase his lead to 4-1 after a 3-1 win here.

This

 

[Chanwan]

I respect Murray's contribution to tennis, I was so happy when he got to number 1 even though I criticise the way he plays, if there was a time where Murray should just hit hard, let rip from the forehand side now is the time, try to finish more points off via the net. Hit a harder second serve.

Matteo would be shocked if Murray dictates play rather than let his opponent dictate the play, you have to take the racket away from Berrettini in order to beat him.

I'm not fond of "but he has had a career changing hip operation" as an aside, when you step out on court you're fit to play, there are no excuses, we've been through this when Nadal played injured, when he stepped out on court he's 100% in regardless of issues. Sometimes you have to put sentiments in the draw and focus on the one thing we all played tennis for either professionally or amateurly, to win.

Difference between Murray and Rafa is that Murray never reached the same level after coming back - Rafa is more like a mummy. He may be slightly down for a while but we all know the resurrection is coming

 

[Nostradamus]

H2H
Berrettini 3-1 Murray

Vegas odds
(as of 13 January)

Sources:
atptour.com
oddsportal.com

when andy was healthy, he could just pick on mateo's backhand all day long and just wear him down but i am not sure andy's body will allow him to do that

 

[Mainad]

Alas, this version of Murray won't beat Berrettini. I think we all know this.

 

[stosurforehand]

Alas, this version of Murray won't beat Berrettini. I think we all know this.

Shouldn't but Berrettini is a super erratic player, and seems to be going downhill of late too, so you never know. He definitely doesn't seem on the upswing like he did about a year ago.

 

[stringertom]

Shouldn't but Berrettini is a super erratic player, and seems to be going downhill of late too, so you never know. He definitely doesn't seem on the upswing like he did about a year ago.

2022 was an injury-filled year for Berry but he is healthy for now and looked strong the past two weeks, going 3-2 in United Cup singles. Only Tsitsipas and Fritz topped him. Both were tight matches.

 

[jl809]

I am so ****ing hyped for this match. No injuries for Andy and Lendl in the box. Nearly beat Berry at the US Open on a quicker court and surely won’t repeat his mug tactics again

 

[Carax]

Berrettini blinks first and Sir Andrew breaks. Murray holds ans goes up 3-0 in the first set.

 

[Pavla]

'Mon, Andy.

 

[legcramp]

Berry would be an easy day at the office if Murray didn't break his hip.

 

[bnjkn]

Bionic Murray in five.

 

[Larry Duff]

Great start but no matter what happens MurrayGOAT has the hottest mum.

 

[Kralingen]

Murray that’s absolutely spectacular

standing ovation for that hold from 15-40. Incredible

 

[ultimathule]

Matteo should know better than to play slice and dice with Murray.

 

[Carax]

Great hold by Murray.